POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Referee: K. Arys
Nieciecza
Match Timeline
Legia Warszawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
R. Adamski · Assist: K. Piatkowski
Legia Warszawa
🟨
42'
Isik Gabriel
Nieciecza
🔄
46'
I. Durdov ↔ J. Jimenez
Nieciecza
🔄
46'
M. Matysik ↔ R. Boboc
Nieciecza
🟨
53'
Damian Szymański
Legia Warszawa
🔄
61'
J. Nsame ↔ M. Rajovic
Legia Warszawa
🟨
62'
Rafał Kurzawa
Nieciecza
🔄
71'
R. Adamski ↔ E. Krasniqi
Legia Warszawa
🔄
75'
M. Ambrosiewicz ↔ A. Trubeha
Nieciecza
🔄
78'
↔ W. Urbanski
Legia Warszawa
🔄
78'
D. Szymanski ↔ A. Jedrzejczyk
Legia Warszawa
🔄
86'
A. Putivtsev ↔ W. Jakubik
Nieciecza

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nieciecza Win 27.8%
Draw 18.6%
Legia Warszawa Win 53.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nieciecza1.21
Legia Warszawa1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nieciecza Nieciecza
WWDLW
37 GF / 60 GA
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
WLDWL
57 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
22
BTTS Yes
28
17
Over 2.5
22
4.23
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nieciecza Nieciecza 31 matches
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 45 matches
Nieciecza Statistic Legia Warszawa
7 Wins 16
7 Draws 15
17 Losses 14
37 Goals For 57
60 Goals Against 56
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
22 BTTS Yes 28
27 Over 1.5 32
17 Over 2.5 22
11 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 9
4.23 Shots On Goal 3.78
12.87 Total Shots 12.87
4.45 Corners 4.89
45.2% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Legia Warszawa. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nieciecza expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Legia Warszawa in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Legia Warszawa having the stronger overall control. Nieciecza have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Nieciecza Analysis

Nieciecza approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 28 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 37:60 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Jimenez (5 goals), K. Kubica (5 goals), K. Zapolnik (5 goals), with creative support from Damian Hilbrycht (3 assists), Sergio Guerrero (2 assists), M. Ambrosiewicz (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Legia Warszawa Analysis

So far, Legia Warszawa have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 40 points from 31 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 35:36 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Rajovic (6 goals), R. Adamski (3 goals), Antonio Čolak (2 goals), with creative support from Bartosz Kapustka (2 assists), Ermal Krasniqi (2 assists), J. Elitim (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Nieciecza won 1 times, Legia Warszawa won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Nieciecza's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Nieciecza 3-4-2-1 / Legia Warszawa 5-3-2
H2H summary: Nieciecza wins 1, draws 1, Legia Warszawa wins 3
Stats
Nieciecza Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 1
14 Fouls 17
3 Offsides 3
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
514 Total passes 361
406 Passes accurate 290
0.81 expected_goals 0.51
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nieciecza
Formation
Legia Warszawa
A. Chovan
A. Chovan
G. Isik
G. Isik
M. Matysik
M. Matysik
A. Kasperkiewicz
A. Kasperkiewicz
A. Putivtsev
A. Putivtsev
D. Hilbrycht
D. Hilbrycht
R. Kurzawa
R. Kurzawa
S. Guerrero
S. Guerrero
M. Ambrosiewicz
M. Ambrosiewicz
K. Zapolnik
K. Zapolnik
I. Durdov
I. Durdov
O. Hindrich
O. Hindrich
K. Piatkowski
🎯
K. Piatkowski
R. Augustyniak
R. Augustyniak
R. Pankov
R. Pankov
K. Chodyna
K. Chodyna
B. Kapustka
B. Kapustka
J. Elitim
J. Elitim
D. Szymanski
D. Szymanski
P. Kun
P. Kun
J. Nsame
J. Nsame
R. Adamski
R. Adamski
Nieciecza 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
A. Chovan
G
29
G. Isik
🟨 42'
D
32
M. Matysik
↓ 46'
D
3
A. Kasperkiewicz
D
77
A. Putivtsev
↓ 86'
D
21
D. Hilbrycht
D
8
R. Kurzawa
🟨 62'
M
23
S. Guerrero
M
28
M. Ambrosiewicz
↓ 75'
M
25
K. Zapolnik
F
19
I. Durdov
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
99
M. Mleczko
G
24
M. Janicki
G
7
M. Fassbender
M
53
A. Trubeha
↑ 75'
F
9
J. Jimenez
↑ 46'
F
26
W. Jakubik
↑ 86'
M
5
L. Masoero
D
27
R. Boboc
↑ 46'
D
6
M. Wolski
D
16
P. Surowiec
M
35
K. Surowiec
M
Legia Warszawa 3-5-2
Starting XI
89
O. Hindrich
G
91
K. Piatkowski
🎯 19'
D
8
R. Augustyniak
D
12
R. Pankov
D
11
K. Chodyna
M
67
B. Kapustka
M
22
J. Elitim
M
44
D. Szymanski
↓ 78' 🟨 53'
M
23
P. Kun
M
18
J. Nsame
↓ 61'
F
9
R. Adamski
⚽ 19' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
1
K. Tobiasz
G
77
E. Krasniqi
↑ 71'
F
6
H. Arreiol
M
53
W. Urbanski
↑ 78'
M
99
S. Kovacik
F
20
J. Zewlakow
F
56
J. Leszczynski
D
55
A. Jedrzejczyk
↑ 78'
D
19
R. Vinagre
D
29
M. Rajovic
↑ 61'
F
82
K. Urbanski
M
Last matches: Nieciecza
18.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Podbeskidzie
1
1
D
17.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Puszcza Niepołomice
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Resovia Rzeszów
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Wisla Krakow
4
3
W
20.06.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Unia Tarnow
5
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
3
2
W
18.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
1
5
L
24.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Zaglebie Lubin
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
3
L
11.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Widzew Łódź
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
3
2
W
22.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
1
4
L
13.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
07.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
21.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa
0
1
L
16.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
Last matches: Legia Warszawa
24.07.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Aris
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
AS Trencin
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Nürnberg II
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Bayern München II
2
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
4
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
01.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
0
4
L
17.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
11.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Riga
3
1
W
22.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
13.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
08.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Cracovia Krakow
1
0
W
01.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
H2H: Nieciecza vs Legia Warszawa
10.05.26
H2H
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
09.11.25
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Nieciecza
1
2
W
30.08.22
H2H
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
2
3
L
15.03.22
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Nieciecza
4
1
L
19.02.22
H2H
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
Last matches: Nieciecza
18.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Podbeskidzie
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Resovia Rzeszów
4
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
3
2
W
19.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
3
L
06.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
3
2
W
13.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
16.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
02.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Stal Rzeszów
8
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Stal Mielec
4
0
W
16.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Mura
1
0
W
07.12.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
21.11.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
2
0
W
31.10.25
Eks
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
0
3
L
24.10.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Zaglebie Lubin
1
1
D
04.10.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Widzew Łódź
2
4
L
20.09.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
30.08.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
1
3
L
H2H at home: Nieciecza
10.05.26
H2H
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
30.08.22
H2H
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
2
3
L
19.02.22
H2H
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D
Last matches: Legia Warszawa
24.07.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
02.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Nürnberg II
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Bayern München II
2
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
26.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
0
4
L
06.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
13.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
01.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
13.02.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
07.02.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Arka Gdynia
2
2
D
11.12.25
UEF
Legia Warszawa
FC Noah
1
2
L
06.12.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Piast Gliwice
0
2
L
01.12.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
06.11.25
UEF
Legia Warszawa
Celje
1
2
L
02.11.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
23.10.25
UEF
Legia Warszawa
Shakhtar Donetsk
2
1
W
19.10.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Zaglebie Lubin
1
3
L
05.10.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
1
3
L
20.09.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
31.08.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Cracovia Krakow
1
2
L
H2H away: Legia Warszawa
10.05.26
H2H
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
1
W
30.08.22
H2H
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
2
3
W
19.02.22
H2H
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
0
D

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation