POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Referee: P. Gryckiewicz
Nieciecza
Match Timeline
Lechia Gdansk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
A. Putivtsev
Nieciecza
29'
R. Kurzawa · Assist: D. Hilbrycht
Nieciecza
🟨
32'
Tomasz Neugebauer
Lechia Gdansk
🟨
45'
Rafał Kurzawa
Nieciecza
🟨
45'
Maciej Ambrosiewicz
Nieciecza
🟨
45+1'
Rifet Kapić
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
46'
K. Sezonienko ↔ A. Cirkovic
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
46'
T. Wojtowicz ↔ B. Kludka
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
46'
A. Tsarenko ↔ M. Glogowski
Lechia Gdansk
50'
T. Bobcek
Lechia Gdansk
57'
K. Zapolnik · Assist: J. Jimenez
Nieciecza
🔄
65'
A. Putivtsev ↔ G. Isik
Nieciecza
VAR
68'
Matej Rodin
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
73'
M. Ambrosiewicz ↔ W. Jakubik
Nieciecza
🔄
75'
M. Vojtko ↔ D. Sinkiewicz
Lechia Gdansk
🔄
82'
J. Jimenez ↔ I. Durdov
Nieciecza
🔄
82'
D. Hilbrycht ↔ I. Strzalek
Nieciecza
90'
T. Bobcek · Assist: C. Mena
Lechia Gdansk
🟨
90+1'
Wojciech Jakubik
Nieciecza
🟨
90+6'
Kamil Zapolnik
Nieciecza

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 5.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
5.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Nieciecza Win 61.7%
Draw 0%
Lechia Gdansk Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nieciecza1.48
Lechia Gdansk1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nieciecza Nieciecza
WWDLW
40 GF / 63 GA
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
WLDWL
60 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
23
BTTS Yes
25
18
Over 2.5
24
4.21
Shots on Goal
5.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nieciecza Nieciecza 33 matches
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 33 matches
Nieciecza Statistic Lechia Gdansk
8 Wins 12
7 Draws 7
18 Losses 14
40 Goals For 60
63 Goals Against 62
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
23 BTTS Yes 25
28 Over 1.5 31
18 Over 2.5 24
12 Over 3.5 14
3 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 5
4.21 Shots On Goal 5.39
12.76 Total Shots 14.15
4.48 Corners 5
45.9% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nieciecza expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Lechia Gdansk in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lechia Gdansk having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lechia Gdansk.

Nieciecza Analysis

Nieciecza approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 31 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats with a 40:63 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Damian Hilbrycht (5 goals), J. Jimenez (5 goals), K. Kubica (5 goals), with creative support from Damian Hilbrycht (4 assists), Sergio Guerrero (2 assists), M. Ambrosiewicz (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lechia Gdansk Analysis

Lechia Gdansk approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 38 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats with a 60:62 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Bobcek (18 goals), Ivan Zhelizko (7 goals), Camilo Mena (5 goals), with creative support from Camilo Mena (7 assists), T. Bobcek (6 assists), Ivan Zhelizko (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Nieciecza won 1 times, Lechia Gdansk won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:14 from Nieciecza's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Nieciecza 3-4-2-1 / Lechia Gdansk 4-4-2
H2H summary: Nieciecza wins 1, draws 1, Lechia Gdansk wins 4
Stats
Nieciecza Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
9
2 Corner Kicks 10
14 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 2
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 9
0 Blocked Shots 9
6 Shots insidebox 15
1 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
302 Total passes 407
212 Passes accurate 334
2.13 expected_goals 3.19
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Nieciecza
Formation
Lechia Gdansk
A. Chovan
A. Chovan
L. Masoero
L. Masoero
A. Kasperkiewicz
A. Kasperkiewicz
A. Putivtsev
A. Putivtsev
M. Wolski
M. Wolski
R. Kurzawa
R. Kurzawa
S. Guerrero
S. Guerrero
M. Ambrosiewicz
M. Ambrosiewicz
D. Hilbrycht
🎯
D. Hilbrycht
K. Zapolnik
K. Zapolnik
J. Jimenez
🎯
J. Jimenez
S. Weirauch
S. Weirauch
T. Wojtowicz
T. Wojtowicz
B. Pllana
B. Pllana
M. Rodin
M. Rodin
M. Vojtko
M. Vojtko
R. Kapic
R. Kapic
T. Neugebauer
T. Neugebauer
C. Mena
🎯
C. Mena
A. Tsarenko
A. Tsarenko
K. Sezonienko
K. Sezonienko
T. Bobcek
⚽ 2
T. Bobcek
Nieciecza 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
A. Chovan
G
5
L. Masoero
D
3
A. Kasperkiewicz
D
77
A. Putivtsev
⚽ 21' ↓ 65'
D
6
M. Wolski
M
8
R. Kurzawa
⚽ 29' 🟨 45'
M
23
S. Guerrero
M
28
M. Ambrosiewicz
↓ 73' 🟨 45'
M
21
D. Hilbrycht
🎯 29' ↓ 82'
M
25
K. Zapolnik
⚽ 57' 🟨 90+6'
F
9
J. Jimenez
🎯 57' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
24
M. Janicki
G
7
M. Fassbender
M
86
I. Strzalek
↑ 82'
M
26
W. Jakubik
↑ 73' 🟨 90+1'
M
29
G. Isik
↑ 65'
D
19
I. Durdov
↑ 82'
F
32
M. Matysik
D
16
P. Surowiec
M
35
K. Surowiec
M
Lechia Gdansk 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
S. Weirauch
G
33
T. Wojtowicz
↓ 46'
D
4
B. Pllana
D
80
M. Rodin
D
27
M. Vojtko
↓ 75'
D
10
R. Kapic
🟨 45+1'
M
99
T. Neugebauer
🟨 32'
M
11
C. Mena
🎯 90'
M
17
A. Tsarenko
↓ 46'
M
79
K. Sezonienko
↓ 46'
M
89
T. Bobcek
⚽ 50' ⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
29
B. Sarnavskyi
G
23
M. Kalahur
D
8
A. Cirkovic
↑ 46'
M
21
M. Glogowski
↑ 46'
F
2
B. Kludka
↑ 46'
D
15
M. Dyachuk
D
77
D. Sinkiewicz
↑ 75'
F
Last matches: Nieciecza
18.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Podbeskidzie
1
1
D
17.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Puszcza Niepołomice
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Resovia Rzeszów
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Wisla Krakow
4
3
W
20.06.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Unia Tarnow
5
0
W
18.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
3
2
W
10.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
03.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
1
5
L
24.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Zaglebie Lubin
2
1
W
19.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
3
L
11.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Widzew Łódź
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
3
2
W
22.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
1
4
L
13.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
07.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
21.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Raków Częstochowa
0
1
L
16.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
Last matches: Lechia Gdansk
18.07.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Randers FC
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Olimpia Grudziądz
1
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Petrolul Ploiesti
0
5
L
17.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
1
2
L
09.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Widzew Łódź
1
3
L
04.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom
1
3
L
25.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Raków Częstochowa
1
2
L
20.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Wisla Plock
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
4
2
W
21.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
06.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
3
0
W
27.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
2
2
D
23.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
15.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Motor Lublin
3
2
W
06.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
31.01.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
22.01.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Mladost Lucani
1
1
D
20.01.26
Fri
Lechia Gdansk
Hradec Králové
1
2
L
H2H: Nieciecza vs Lechia Gdansk
23.05.26
H2H
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
3
2
W
29.11.25
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Nieciecza
5
1
L
14.04.24
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Nieciecza
3
1
L
01.10.23
H2H
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
0
0
D
09.04.22
H2H
Lechia Gdansk
Nieciecza
2
0
L
16.10.21
H2H
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
0
2
L
Last matches: Nieciecza
18.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Podbeskidzie
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Resovia Rzeszów
4
0
W
10.05.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
19.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Wisla Plock
1
3
L
06.04.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Piast Gliwice
3
2
W
13.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
16.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
02.02.26
Eks
Nieciecza
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Stal Rzeszów
8
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Stal Mielec
4
0
W
16.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Nieciecza
Mura
1
0
W
07.12.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
21.11.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Arka Gdynia
2
0
W
31.10.25
Eks
Nieciecza
GKS Katowice
0
3
L
24.10.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Zaglebie Lubin
1
1
D
04.10.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Widzew Łódź
2
4
L
20.09.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Lech Poznan
0
2
L
30.08.25
Eks
Nieciecza
Korona Kielce
1
3
L
H2H at home: Nieciecza
23.05.26
H2H
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
3
2
W
01.10.23
H2H
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
0
0
D
16.10.21
H2H
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
0
2
L
Last matches: Lechia Gdansk
09.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Widzew Łódź
1
3
L
04.05.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Radomiak Radom
1
3
L
10.04.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Wisla Plock
0
1
L
14.03.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
27.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Arka Gdynia
2
2
D
15.02.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Motor Lublin
3
2
W
31.01.26
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Lech Poznan
3
1
W
22.11.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Legia Warszawa
2
2
D
26.10.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Raków Częstochowa
1
2
L
19.10.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
27.09.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Korona Kielce
0
3
L
21.09.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
4
3
W
31.08.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Jagiellonia
0
2
L
15.08.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Zaglebie Lubin
2
6
L
03.08.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Cracovia Krakow
2
2
D
20.07.25
Eks
Lechia Gdansk
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
L
H2H away: Lechia Gdansk
23.05.26
H2H
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
3
2
L
01.10.23
H2H
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
0
0
D
16.10.21
H2H
Nieciecza
Lechia Gdansk
0
2
W

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation