POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA

--.--.---- --:--

Nieciecza

3 - 2

Lechia Gdansk

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Referee: P. Gryckiewicz

Nieciecza

Match Timeline

Lechia Gdansk

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

⚽

🟨

🔄

⚽

🔄

VAR

🔄

⚽

🟨

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 61.7%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS No

Probability 5.9%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 12.4%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	61.7%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS No	5.9%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	12.4%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-0	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Nieciecza Win 61.7%

Draw 0%

Lechia Gdansk Win 38.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Nieciecza1.48

Lechia Gdansk1.86

Recent Form (Last 5)

Nieciecza

WWDLW

40 GF / 63 GA

Lechia Gdansk

WLDWL

60 GF / 62 GA

Key Stats

1.21

Average Goals Scored

1.82

1.91

Average Goals Conceded

1.88

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.21

Shots on Goal

5.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Nieciecza 33 matches

Lechia Gdansk 33 matches

Nieciecza	Statistic	Lechia Gdansk
8	Wins	12
7	Draws	7
18	Losses	14
40	Goals For	60
63	Goals Against	62
1.21	Avg Goals Scored	1.82
1.91	Avg Goals Conceded	1.88
23	BTTS Yes	25
28	Over 1.5	31
18	Over 2.5	24
12	Over 3.5	14
3	Clean Sheets	3
7	Failed To Score	5
4.21	Shots On Goal	5.39
12.76	Total Shots	14.15
4.48	Corners	5
45.9%	Ball Possession	50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nieciecza expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Lechia Gdansk in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lechia Gdansk having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lechia Gdansk.

Nieciecza Analysis

Nieciecza approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 31 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats with a 40:63 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Damian Hilbrycht (5 goals), J. Jimenez (5 goals), K. Kubica (5 goals), with creative support from Damian Hilbrycht (4 assists), Sergio Guerrero (2 assists), M. Ambrosiewicz (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lechia Gdansk Analysis

Lechia Gdansk approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 38 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats with a 60:62 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Bobcek (18 goals), Ivan Zhelizko (7 goals), Camilo Mena (5 goals), with creative support from Camilo Mena (7 assists), T. Bobcek (6 assists), Ivan Zhelizko (6 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Nieciecza won 1 times, Lechia Gdansk won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:14 from Nieciecza's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS No

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (100%)

Predicted formations: Nieciecza 3-4-2-1 / Lechia Gdansk 4-4-2

H2H summary: Nieciecza wins 1, draws 1, Lechia Gdansk wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Lech Poznan	34	16	12	6	62:45	17	60	D W D W W
2	Gornik Zabrze	34	16	8	10	50:38	12	56	W W D L W
3	Jagiellonia	34	15	11	8	56:41	15	56	W D W W L
4	Raków Częstochowa	34	16	7	11	51:40	11	55	W W L W W
5	GKS Katowice	34	14	8	12	51:45	6	50	D D D W D
6	Legia Warszawa	34	12	13	9	42:37	5	49	W W W W L
7	Zaglebie Lubin	34	13	9	12	45:38	7	48	L L W D L
8	Wisla Plock	34	12	10	12	34:38	-4	46	D L L L L
9	Pogon Szczecin	34	13	6	15	47:49	-2	45	D W L W D
10	Radomiak Radom	34	11	11	12	52:53	-1	44	L L D W W
11	Korona Kielce	34	11	10	13	40:40	0	43	D W L D D
12	Motor Lublin	34	10	13	11	46:53	-7	43	L D W L L
13	Cracovia Krakow	34	9	15	10	39:42	-3	42	D D D D D
14	Widzew Łódź	34	12	6	16	41:41	0	42	W L W L W
15	Piast Gliwice	34	11	8	15	42:46	-4	41	L L D D W
16	Lechia Gdansk Away	34	12	7	15	62:65	-3	38	L L L L L
17	Arka Gdynia	34	9	9	16	34:61	-27	36	L L D D L
18	Nieciecza Home	34	9	7	18	43:65	-22	34	W W L L W

Champions League Qualification

Conference League Qualification

Relegation