🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
09.05.2026 23:30
Gillette Stadium
Referee: T. Penso
New England Revolution
Match Timeline
Philadelphia Union
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
31'
F. Westfield ↔ O. Mbaizo
Philadelphia Union
🟨
34'
Jovan Lukić
Philadelphia Union
37'
W. Sands
Philadelphia Union
🟨
45+2'
Indiana Vassilev
Philadelphia Union
61'
L. Langoni · Assist: C. Gil
New England Revolution
🔄
62'
M. Iloski ↔ B. Damiani
Philadelphia Union
🔄
62'
E. Alladoh ↔ A. Anello
Philadelphia Union
🔄
63'
G. Yow ↔ D. Fagundez
New England Revolution
🔄
73'
C. Sullivan ↔ A. Bedoya
Philadelphia Union
🔄
73'
I. Vassilev ↔ M. Jakupovic
Philadelphia Union
🔄
79'
L. Langoni ↔ M. Polster
New England Revolution
🟨
85'
Agustin Anello
Philadelphia Union
87'
C. Gil
New England Revolution
🔄
90+1'
D. Turgeman ↔ T. Beason
New England Revolution

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
New England Revolution Win 81.1%
Draw 0%
Philadelphia Union Win 18.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
New England Revolution1.88
Philadelphia Union1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WWDLW
34 GF / 19 GA
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
WLDWL
31 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2.27
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
4.2
Shots on Goal
4.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New England Revolution New England Revolution 15 matches
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 20 matches
New England Revolution Statistic Philadelphia Union
8 Wins 5
2 Draws 5
5 Losses 10
34 Goals For 31
19 Goals Against 26
2.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 6
4.2 Shots On Goal 4.13
9.9 Total Shots 13.93
2.5 Corners 6.13
46.6% Ball Possession 50.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around New England Revolution's more proactive style and Philadelphia Union's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Philadelphia Union. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. New England Revolution come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New England Revolution expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Philadelphia Union in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Philadelphia Union having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. New England Revolution arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 19 points compared to Philadelphia Union in 15 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 19 points after 10 matches. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 18:12, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Carles Gil (3 goals), P. Miller (3 goals), A. Yusuf (2 goals), with creative support from Luca Langoni (6 assists), Dor Turgeman (3 assists), Carles Gil (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Philadelphia Union Analysis

With 6 points from 11 games and a place of 15, Philadelphia Union still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 9:17, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Danley Jean Jacques (2 goals), M. Iloski (2 goals), N. Harriel (2 goals), with creative support from A. Bedoya (2 assists), M. Iloski (1 assists), C. Sullivan (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, New England Revolution won 2 times, Philadelphia Union won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:27 from New England Revolution's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: New England Revolution 4-2-3-1 / Philadelphia Union 4-4-2
Missing players: New England Revolution 4, Philadelphia Union 3
H2H summary: New England Revolution wins 2, draws 2, Philadelphia Union wins 10

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 5 2 47:17 30 53
D W W W W
2 22 12 6 4 56:41 15 42
W L D L D
3 21 11 4 6 39:28 11 37
D D W W W
4 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D W L L
5 22 10 5 7 40:32 8 35
W W D W L
6 22 8 7 7 49:51 -2 31
L D W D W
7 23 7 8 8 36:31 5 29
D D D L L
8 22 7 5 10 32:46 -14 26
L D L L W
9 22 7 4 11 37:54 -17 25
D W L D L
10 22 5 10 7 32:38 -6 25
D W D W D
11 22 5 10 7 28:36 -8 25
D L L D D
12 22 6 6 10 34:39 -5 24
W D D W W
13 22 6 3 13 25:38 -13 21
L W W W L
14 22 5 6 11 30:46 -16 21
L D W D D
15 22 5 5 12 31:39 -8 20
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)