🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Gillette Stadium
Referee: P. Lauziere
New England Revolution
Match Timeline
Atlanta United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
C. Gil · Assist: M. Polster
New England Revolution
🟨
20'
A. Yusuf
New England Revolution
🟨
31'
M. Edwards
Atlanta United FC
36'
D. Turgeman · Assist: A. Yusuf
New England Revolution
🟨
52'
W. Reilly
Atlanta United FC
56'
P. Miller · Assist: M. Polster
New England Revolution
🔄
59'
A. Yusuf ↔ J. Yueill
New England Revolution
🔄
59'
T. Muyumba ↔ L. Brennan
Atlanta United FC
67'
B. Raines · Assist: M. Zambrano
New England Revolution
🔄
68'
M. Zambrano ↔ L. Langoni
New England Revolution
🔄
68'
D. Turgeman ↔ W. Harris
New England Revolution
🔄
68'
P. Miller ↔ G. Yow
New England Revolution
🔄
69'
M. Edwards ↔ R. Hernandez
Atlanta United FC
🟨
70'
W. Harris
New England Revolution
🔄
79'
S. Gregersen ↔ E. Mihaj
Atlanta United FC
🔄
79'
F. Picault ↔ C. Togashi
Atlanta United FC
🔄
79'
M. Polster ↔ C. Baker
New England Revolution
85'
M. Almiron · Assist: A. Miranchuk
Atlanta United FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.8%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
New England Revolution Win 75.8%
Draw 4.7%
Atlanta United FC Win 19.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
New England Revolution1.72
Atlanta United FC1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
New England Revolution New England Revolution
WWDLW
38 GF / 25 GA
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
WLDWL
24 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
12
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
10
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

New England Revolution New England Revolution 20 matches
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 20 matches
New England Revolution Statistic Atlanta United FC
10 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
7 Losses 10
38 Goals For 24
25 Goals Against 29
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
12 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 8
3.8 Shots On Goal 4.25
10.13 Total Shots 13.13
3.93 Corners 4.88
50.1% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by New England Revolution's more proactive style and Atlanta United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atlanta United FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with New England Revolution expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atlanta United FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atlanta United FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. New England Revolution arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 25 points compared to Atlanta United FC in 14 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

New England Revolution Analysis

New England Revolution come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 25 points after 14 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, with a 22:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Carles Gil (5 goals), Luca Langoni (2 goals), Dor Turgeman (1 goals), with creative support from Dor Turgeman (3 assists), Carles Gil (2 assists), Luca Langoni (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Atlanta United FC Analysis

With 11 points from 14 games and a place of 14, Atlanta United FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 14:23, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Saba Lobzhanidze (2 goals), Ajani Fortune (2 goals), Aleksey Miranchuk (1 goals), with creative support from Aleksey Miranchuk (2 assists), Fafà Picault (1 assists), Cooper Sanchez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, New England Revolution won 9 times, Atlanta United FC won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:21 from New England Revolution's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: New England Revolution 4-2-3-1 / Atlanta United FC 4-1-4-1
Missing players: New England Revolution 3, Atlanta United FC 6
H2H summary: New England Revolution wins 9, draws 2, Atlanta United FC wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 4 2 47:17 30 52
W W W W D
2 22 12 6 4 56:41 15 42
W L D L D
3 21 11 4 6 39:28 11 37
D D W W W
4 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D W L L
5 22 10 5 7 40:32 8 35
W W D W L
6 22 8 7 7 49:51 -2 31
L D W D W
7 22 7 7 8 36:31 5 28
D D L L D
8 22 7 5 10 32:46 -14 26
L D L L W
9 22 7 4 11 37:54 -17 25
D W L D L
10 22 5 10 7 32:38 -6 25
D W D W D
11 22 5 10 7 28:36 -8 25
D L L D D
12 22 6 6 10 34:39 -5 24
W D D W W
13 22 6 3 13 25:38 -13 21
L W W W L
14 22 5 6 11 30:46 -16 21
L D W D D
15 22 5 5 12 31:39 -8 20
L L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)