Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
50.1%
|
2.76 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
2.28 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.4%
|
1.59 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
11.00 |
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Grau
23 matches
FBC Melgar
28 matches
| Atletico Grau | Statistic | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 13 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 11 | Losses | 7 |
| 19 | Goals For | 47 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4.57 |
| 11.74 | Total Shots | 14.48 |
| 4.04 | Corners | 4.91 |
| 45.9% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FBC Melgar's more proactive style and Atletico Grau's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FBC Melgar. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FBC Melgar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 38 points while Atletico Grau sit 12 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Atletico Grau sit 12 with 26 points after 23 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 19:23 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Raúl Ruidíaz (2 goals), Rafael Guarderas (1 goals), Patricio Álvarez (1 goals), with creative support from Rafael Guarderas (2 assists), Raúl Ruidíaz (1 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
FBC Melgar come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 38 points after 22 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a 39:26 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Jhonny Vidales (8 goals), Bernardo Cuesta (5 goals), Nicolás Quagliata (4 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Quagliata (7 assists), Bernardo Cuesta (3 assists), Matías Zegarra (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Grau won 2 times, FBC Melgar won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Atletico Grau's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 49 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
FBC Melgar
Away
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 45 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 4 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 37 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 |
Atletico Grau
Home
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 12 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|