Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Grau Win 0%
Draw 0%
FBC Melgar Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Grau0.88
FBC Melgar1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Grau
WWDLW
15 GF / 22 GA
FBC Melgar
WLDWL
41 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
6
BTTS Yes
17
6
Over 2.5
14
4.11
Shots on Goal
4.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Grau
20 matches
FBC Melgar
25 matches
| Atletico Grau | Statistic | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 6 |
| 15 | Goals For | 41 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 0.75 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 11.68 | Total Shots | 14.5 |
| 4.26 | Corners | 4.85 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Grau won 2 times, FBC Melgar won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:11 from Atletico Grau's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Grau 5-4-1 / FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Grau wins 2, draws 4, FBC Melgar wins 4
Last matches: Atletico Grau
01.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
25.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
3
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cusco
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Universitario
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
ADT
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
0
2
L
Last matches: FBC Melgar
02.08.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
26.07.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
3
1
W
18.06.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
3
1
W
22.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
4
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
2
0
W
28.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Universitario
2
1
W
15.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
3
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Cusco
1
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
ADT
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
1
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
4
0
W
H2H: Atletico Grau vs FBC Melgar
15.03.26
H2H
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
05.10.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
18.05.25
H2H
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
1
1
D
24.09.24
H2H
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
21.04.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
07.07.23
H2H
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
3
0
L
04.02.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
3
0
W
24.10.22
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
2
1
W
25.06.22
H2H
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
1
0
L
07.11.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
14.10.20
H2H
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
3
0
L
Last matches: Atletico Grau
01.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
18.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
3
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
H2H at home: Atletico Grau
05.10.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
21.04.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
1
2
L
04.02.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
3
0
W
24.10.22
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
2
1
W
07.11.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
Last matches: FBC Melgar
02.08.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
18.07.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
3
1
W
18.06.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
22.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
15.04.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
3
1
W
20.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
ADT
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
1
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
FBC Melgar
Universitario
2
3
L
H2H away: FBC Melgar
05.10.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
21.04.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
1
2
W
04.02.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
3
0
L
24.10.22
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
2
1
L
07.11.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
FBC Melgar
Away
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 |
Atletico Grau
Home
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
Play-offs