ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.8%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Defensa Y Justicia Win 37.2%
Draw 14%
Platense Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensa Y Justicia1.13
Platense1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
WWDLW
30 GF / 34 GA
Platense Platense
WLDWL
27 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
16
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
10
4.23
Shots on Goal
3.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia 25 matches
Platense Platense 32 matches
Defensa Y Justicia Statistic Platense
9 Wins 9
9 Draws 13
7 Losses 10
30 Goals For 27
34 Goals Against 33
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
16 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 14
4.23 Shots On Goal 3.93
11.36 Total Shots 11.77
4.32 Corners 4.03
51.8% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Platense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Defensa Y Justicia Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Defensa Y Justicia have collected 19 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 18:21 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 goals), Ayrton Portillo (2 goals), David Barbona (2 goals), with creative support from Juan Manuel Gutiérrez (2 assists), Aaron Molinas (1 assists), César Pérez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Platense Analysis

So far, Platense have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 16 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 10:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nicolás Retamar (2 goals), Bautista Merlini (2 goals), Franco Zapiola (1 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Retamar (1 assists), Bautista Merlini (1 assists), Franco Zapiola (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Defensa Y Justicia won 3 times, Platense won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Defensa Y Justicia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.7 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
Predicted formations: Defensa Y Justicia 4-2-3-1 / Platense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Defensa Y Justicia wins 3, draws 4, Platense wins 3
Last matches: Defensa Y Justicia
23.08.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Belgrano Cordoba
2
1
W
17.08.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
09.08.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
2
1
W
01.08.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
0
3
L
29.07.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
2
1
W
24.07.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
1
1
D
16.07.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Racing Club
1
4
L
04.05.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Gimnasia M.
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
4
L
18.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Independiente
1
3
L
13.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
07.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
01.04.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
San Lorenzo
5
2
W
12.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
1
1
D
24.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
0
0
D
20.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
Last matches: Platense
23.08.26
Lig
Platense
Barracas Central
2
1
W
19.08.26
CON
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
16.08.26
Lig
Platense
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
12.08.26
CON
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
09.08.26
Lig
Platense
Independiente
1
0
W
03.08.26
Lig
Platense
Talleres Cordoba
0
4
L
30.07.26
Lig
Platense
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
25.07.26
Lig
Platense
Union Santa Fe
2
2
D
28.05.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
2
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
1
2
L
13.05.26
Cop
Platense
San Martin S.J.
0
0
D
07.05.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Platense
Estudiantes L.P.
0
2
L
29.04.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Platense
San Lorenzo
0
1
L
20.04.26
Lig
Platense
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
4
L
17.04.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
2
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Platense
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
10.04.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
0
2
L
01.04.26
Lig
Platense
Lanus
0
0
D
H2H: Defensa Y Justicia vs Platense
24.02.26
H2H
Platense
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
14.09.25
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
1
2
L
04.03.25
H2H
Platense
Defensa Y Justicia
0
1
W
29.07.24
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
1
3
L
31.01.24
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
3
0
W
27.08.23
H2H
Platense
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
18.03.23
H2H
Platense
Defensa Y Justicia
1
0
L
01.10.22
H2H
Platense
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
25.04.22
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
1
1
D
23.10.21
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
2
1
W
Last matches: Defensa Y Justicia
09.08.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Newells Old Boys
2
1
W
29.07.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Deportivo Riestra
2
1
W
24.07.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Aldosivi
1
1
D
23.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca Juniors
0
4
L
13.04.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
01.04.26
Cop
Defensa Y Justicia
Chaco For Ever
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Lanus
1
1
D
20.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Belgrano Cordoba
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
02.02.26
Lig
Defensa Y Justicia
Estudiantes L.P.
0
0
D
H2H at home: Defensa Y Justicia
14.09.25
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
1
2
L
29.07.24
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
1
3
L
31.01.24
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
3
0
W
25.04.22
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
1
1
D
23.10.21
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
2
1
W
Last matches: Platense
23.08.26
Lig
Platense
Barracas Central
2
1
W
19.08.26
CON
Platense
Coquimbo Unido
0
0
D
09.08.26
Lig
Platense
Independiente
1
0
W
30.07.26
Lig
Platense
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
28.05.26
CON
Platense
Corinthians
2
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Platense
Santa Fe
1
2
L
20.04.26
Lig
Platense
Central Cordoba de Santiago
3
4
L
17.04.26
CON
Platense
Penarol
2
1
W
01.04.26
Lig
Platense
Lanus
0
0
D
23.03.26
Lig
Platense
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
11.03.26
Lig
Platense
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Platense
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Platense
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Platense
Talleres Cordoba
2
1
W
22.01.26
Lig
Platense
Union Santa Fe
0
0
D
28.04.18
Pri
Platense
Colegiales
0
0
D
18.04.18
Pri
Platense
San Telmo
1
0
W
08.04.18
Pri
Platense
Comunicaciones
3
3
D
25.03.18
Pri
Platense
Villa San Carlos
1
0
W
14.03.18
Pri
Platense
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
H2H away: Platense
14.09.25
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
1
2
W
29.07.24
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
1
3
W
31.01.24
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
3
0
L
25.04.22
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
1
1
D
23.10.21
H2H
Defensa Y Justicia
Platense
2
1
L

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L W L L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D D D W D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D D D W W
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D L L W L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L L W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D L W L L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L L W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
W L L W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W D W L W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
W W L W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
W D W L L
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L W W L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
W W L D L
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D L W L L
Knockout Phase