Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rio Ave Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1
Rio Ave2.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
5 GF / 8 GA
Rio Ave
WLDWL
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
5 matches
Rio Ave
3 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Rio Ave |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 5 | Goals For | 7 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.33 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 3 times, Rio Ave won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Nacional's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nacional - / Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Nacional wins 3, draws 5, Rio Ave wins 7
Last matches: Nacional
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
Last matches: Rio Ave
19.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2
2
D
15.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Portimonense
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Arouca
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
0
0
D
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
2
L
17.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
17.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
0
2
L
H2H: Nacional vs Rio Ave
25.01.26
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
17.08.25
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
10.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
3
3
D
29.12.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
2
1
L
31.07.24
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
1
D
10.04.22
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
2
0
W
28.11.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
0
L
19.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
2
L
05.02.21
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
0
D
17.03.19
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
1
L
05.11.18
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
3
3
D
29.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
2
L
18.12.16
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
2
1
L
13.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
0
W
01.11.15
H2H
Rio Ave
Nacional
1
0
L
Last matches: Nacional
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
11.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
15.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
29.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
20.09.25
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
H2H at home: Nacional
25.01.26
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
10.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
3
3
D
10.04.22
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
2
0
W
19.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
2
L
17.03.19
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
1
L
29.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
2
L
13.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
0
W
Last matches: Rio Ave
15.07.26
Fri
Rio Ave
Portimonense
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
2
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Estoril
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Tondela
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Rio Ave
SC Braga
0
3
L
25.01.26
Pri
Rio Ave
Nacional
0
4
L
28.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
0
4
L
20.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pri
Rio Ave
AVS
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Alverca
1
1
D
25.10.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Estrela
2
1
W
28.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Famalicao
0
0
D
23.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Benfica
1
1
D
13.09.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Moreirense
1
3
L
23.08.25
Pri
Rio Ave
Arouca
3
3
D
H2H away: Rio Ave
25.01.26
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
L
10.05.25
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
3
3
D
10.04.22
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
2
0
L
19.05.21
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
2
W
17.03.19
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
1
W
29.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
0
2
W
13.03.16
H2H
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
0
L
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
Rio Ave
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Nacional
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2