Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Casa Pia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Nacional1
Casa Pia1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Nacional
WWDLW
5 GF / 8 GA
Casa Pia
WLDWL
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional
5 matches
Casa Pia
2 matches
| Nacional | Statistic | Casa Pia |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 1 |
| 3 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 5 | Goals For | 2 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Nacional won 5 times, Casa Pia won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Nacional's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Nacional - / Casa Pia 3-4-3
H2H summary: Nacional wins 5, draws 2, Casa Pia wins 4
Last matches: Nacional
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
Last matches: Casa Pia
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
28.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
2
0
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
23.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
02.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
2
1
W
23.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
3
3
D
H2H: Nacional vs Casa Pia
08.02.26
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
30.08.25
H2H
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
2
W
16.03.25
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
3
1
W
25.10.24
H2H
Casa Pia
Nacional
1
0
L
25.11.23
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
28.09.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Nacional
2
1
L
09.02.23
H2H
Casa Pia
Nacional
2
5
W
19.02.22
H2H
Casa Pia
Nacional
1
0
L
19.09.21
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
1
2
L
25.11.20
H2H
Casa Pia
Nacional
2
3
W
11.04.20
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.12.19
H2H
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
1
W
Last matches: Nacional
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
25.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
4
0
W
11.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
3
3
D
15.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
3
1
W
29.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
1
2
L
01.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
W
20.09.25
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
1
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
H2H at home: Nacional
08.02.26
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
16.03.25
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
3
1
W
25.11.23
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
19.09.21
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
1
2
L
11.04.20
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
Last matches: Casa Pia
25.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Benfica B
0
1
L
18.07.26
Fri
Casa Pia
Estrela
2
1
W
20.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Torreense
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Alverca
1
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estrela
0
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Estoril
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Famalicao
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Nacional
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
0
3
L
04.01.26
Pri
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Tondela
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Benfica
2
2
D
26.10.25
Pri
Casa Pia
SC Braga
0
4
L
27.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Moreirense
1
2
L
14.09.25
Pri
Casa Pia
Arouca
2
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
FC Porto
0
4
L
15.08.25
Pri
Casa Pia
AVS
2
0
W
H2H away: Casa Pia
08.02.26
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
16.03.25
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
3
1
L
25.11.23
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
19.09.21
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
1
2
W
11.04.20
H2H
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Nacional
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 |
Casa Pia
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2