Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
89.3%
|
1.87 | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
1.83 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.88 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Monza
Catanzaro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Monza
42 matches
Catanzaro
43 matches
| Monza | Statistic | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 17 |
| 11 | Draws | 14 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 67 | Goals For | 68 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.79 | Shots On Goal | 4.47 |
| 14.14 | Total Shots | 12.79 |
| 5.6 | Corners | 4.19 |
| 52.5% | Ball Possession | 53.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 1-1, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Monza had more of the ball in the first leg (53% possession compared to 47%). Catanzaro carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 3 shots on goal compared to 2. Monza also attempted more passes (359 to 333) and completed 300. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Catanzaro.
Ahead of this knockout test, Monza arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 76 points after 38 matches. Their record of 22 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats with goals at 61:32 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on A. Petagna (9 goals), P. Cutrone (6 goals), D. Mota (5 goals), with creative support from P. Azzi (6 assists), A. Izzo (4 assists), A. Petagna (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the return of 14 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Catanzaro come into this tie placed 5 in their league with 59 points from 38 matches. With 15 wins, 14 draws, and 9 losses plus a goal ratio of 62:51, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on P. Iemmello (13 goals), Filippo Pittarello (12 goals), Alphadjo Cissè (6 goals), with creative support from P. Iemmello (10 assists), Filippo Pittarello (6 assists), S. Pontisso (6 assists), while defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Monza won 2 times, Catanzaro won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from Monza's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.
Monza
4
8
2
5
3
2
Lineups
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Empoli
Monza
Mantova
Monza
Modena
Monza
Sampdoria
Monza
Bari
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Venezia
Monza
Reggiana
Monza
Palermo
Monza
Spezia
Monza
Cesena
Monza
Virtus Entella
Monza
Carrarese
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Sudtirol
Monza
Avellino
Monza
Padova
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Bari
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Spezia
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Empoli
Monza
Modena
Monza
Bari
Monza
Venezia
Monza
Palermo
Monza
Virtus Entella
Monza
Juve Stabia
Monza
Avellino
Monza
Pescara
Monza
Frosinone
Monza
Carrarese
Monza
Sudtirol
Monza
Cesena
Monza
Spezia
Monza
Reggiana
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Padova
Monza
Sampdoria
Monza
Mantova
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
Venezia
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Bari
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Catanzaro
Spezia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Monza
Home
|
38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Catanzaro
Away
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|