BRAZIL SERIE A
29.07.2026 22:30
Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Referee: Lucas Paulo Torezin, Brazil
Mirassol
Match Timeline
Remo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Igor Formiga
Mirassol
🟨
21'
Gabriel Knesowitsch
Mirassol
30'
Marllon
Mirassol
45'
L. Picco
Remo
🔄
46'
Gabriel Knesowitsch ↔ Willian Machado
Mirassol
54'
Joao Victor · Assist: Reinaldo
Mirassol
🔄
59'
Marcelinho ↔ Matheus Alexandre
Remo
🔄
59'
Yago Pikachu ↔ Jaja
Remo
🔄
60'
Gustavo Silva ↔ Shaylon
Mirassol
🟨
72'
Zé Ivaldo
Remo
🟨
72'
Matheus Alexandre
Remo
🔄
75'
Ze Ricardo ↔ David Braga
Remo
🔄
77'
Eduardo ↔ G. Cazonatti
Mirassol
🔄
81'
Alef Manga ↔ Gabriel Poveda
Remo
🔄
81'
Gabriel Taliari ↔ Vitor Bueno
Remo
🔄
85'
Japa ↔ Chico Kim
Mirassol
🔄
85'
Edson Carioca ↔ Carlos Eduardo
Mirassol

Mirassol vs Remo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.3%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Mirassol Win 57.3%
Draw 12.3%
Remo Win 30.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mirassol1.31
Remo1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mirassol Mirassol
WWDLW
28 GF / 30 GA
Remo Remo
WLDWL
23 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
13
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
9
4.24
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mirassol Mirassol 25 matches
Remo Remo 20 matches
Mirassol Statistic Remo
9 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
11 Losses 9
28 Goals For 23
30 Goals Against 32
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
13 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 8
4.24 Shots On Goal 4
12.92 Total Shots 11.8
5.28 Corners 4.45
50.6% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Remo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Mirassol Analysis

Mirassol sit 18 with 19 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 20:25 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Igor Formiga (3 goals), Negueba (2 goals), Eduardo (2 goals), with creative support from Alesson (4 assists), Igor Formiga (1 assists), Willian Machado (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Remo Analysis

Remo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 18 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 21:29 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Alef Manga (4 goals), Jajá (4 goals), Gabriel Taliari (3 goals), with creative support from Alef Manga (3 assists), Vitor Bueno (2 assists), Patrick de Paula (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Mirassol won 1 times, Remo won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Mirassol's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: Mirassol 4-2-3-1 / Remo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Mirassol 6, Remo 4
H2H summary: Mirassol wins 1, draws 1, Remo wins 1

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 17 6 4 53:22 31 57
W W W W L
2 27 16 8 3 47:21 26 56
W D D W L
3 27 13 7 7 41:31 10 46
D L D W D
4 27 12 10 5 42:33 9 46
W W W W D
5 27 12 9 6 41:35 6 45
L W D W W
6 27 12 6 9 39:39 0 42
L W L W W
7 27 11 7 9 36:32 4 40
D W L W D
8 27 10 8 9 41:40 1 38
W W W W D
9 28 10 8 10 37:43 -6 38
L D L W W
10 26 10 6 10 32:29 3 36
D L L W D
11 27 10 6 11 32:30 2 36
W L W W L
12 28 9 8 11 41:45 -4 35
L W D D L
13 27 9 6 12 27:39 -12 33
D W L L W
14 27 8 8 11 28:29 -1 32
L L L L L
15 28 8 8 12 33:42 -9 32
W D W L D
16 27 8 7 12 34:41 -7 31
W W L W L
17 27 7 7 13 30:38 -8 28
L L L W L
18 28 6 10 12 30:36 -6 28
L W L L D
19
Remo Away
28 5 8 15 32:47 -15 23
L L L L L
20 27 3 9 15 29:53 -24 18
D L W L W
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B