MEXICO LIGA MX
21.09.2026 00:00
Estadio Hidalgo
Referee: Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina
CF Pachuca
Match Timeline
Club Tijuana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
Gilberto Mora
Club Tijuana
🟨
33'
Ivan Tona
Club Tijuana
🟨
33'
Oussama Idrissi
CF Pachuca
42'
Jesus Gomez · Assist: Jesús Vega
Club Tijuana
🔄
45'
Rodolfo Pizarro ↔ Adrián Alcaraz
CF Pachuca
🔄
45'
Alan Bautista ↔ Mauricio Isais
CF Pachuca
🔄
45'
Oussama Idrissi ↔ Javier Vallejo
CF Pachuca
55'
Salomón Rondón · Assist: Javier Vallejo
CF Pachuca
🔄
63'
Gilberto Mora ↔ José Rivero
Club Tijuana
🔄
63'
Ramiro Árciga ↔ Yael Padilla
Club Tijuana
🔄
68'
Francisco Venegas ↔ Gael Álvarez
CF Pachuca
🔄
71'
Angel Zapata ↔ Frank Boya
Club Tijuana
🟨
74'
Yael Padilla
Club Tijuana
🔄
80'
Carlos Sánchez ↔ Sebastian Santos
CF Pachuca
🔄
84'
Mourad El Ghezouani ↔ Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze
Club Tijuana
🔄
84'
Jesús Vega ↔ Pablo Ortíz
Club Tijuana
90'
Salomón Rondón · Assist: Sergio Barreto
CF Pachuca
🟥
90+1'
Benjamín Mora Mendívil
CF Pachuca
🟨
90+3'
Diego Fernando Abreu Firenze
Club Tijuana

CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61.4%
1.17
BTTS Yes
75%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.90
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.38
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
CF Pachuca Win 43.3%
Draw 18.1%
Club Tijuana Win 38.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
CF Pachuca1.56
Club Tijuana1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WWDLW
16 GF / 9 GA
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
WLDWL
14 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 9 matches
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 9 matches
CF Pachuca Statistic Club Tijuana
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
16 Goals For 14
9 Goals Against 11
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 2
4.25 Shots On Goal 3.71
15.13 Total Shots 13.29
4.5 Corners 4.29
45.3% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CF Pachuca expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Club Tijuana in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Tijuana having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Tijuana.

CF Pachuca Analysis

CF Pachuca are currently 9 in the standings with 11 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. Rondón (7 goals), O. Idrissi (1 goals), E. Montiel (1 goals), with creative support from O. Idrissi (2 assists), C. Sánchez (2 assists), E. Montiel (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Club Tijuana Analysis

Club Tijuana sit 6 with 13 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Mora (2 goals), Mourad (2 goals), R. Árciga (1 goals), with creative support from G. Mora (1 assists), Y. Padilla (1 assists), J. Vega (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CF Pachuca won 7 times, Club Tijuana won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:26 from CF Pachuca's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82%)
Predicted formations: CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1 / Club Tijuana 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: CF Pachuca wins 7, draws 2, Club Tijuana wins 6

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 1 2 20:9 11 19
L W W W W
2 9 5 3 1 17:8 9 18
D W W D W
3 8 5 2 1 17:8 9 17
D L W W W
4 9 5 0 4 16:15 1 15
L W W W L
5 8 4 2 2 11:8 3 14
D W W L D
6 8 4 2 2 12:10 2 14
D L W L W
7 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
D W L D W
8 9 4 2 3 11:11 0 14
D L W L W
9 9 4 2 3 13:15 -2 14
D L D L W
10 8 4 1 3 14:10 4 13
W D L L W
11 9 3 3 3 15:10 5 12
D W W D D
12 9 3 3 3 12:13 -1 12
D L W L D
13 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
W L L W D
14 9 1 5 3 8:13 -5 8
D L D D L
15 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L L D L D
16 9 1 4 4 9:13 -4 7
L D D D W
17 9 2 1 6 9:15 -6 7
W W L D L
18 9 1 0 8 6:23 -17 3
W L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)