Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Santos Laguna Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.86
Santos Laguna0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
28 GF / 15 GA
Santos Laguna
WLDWL
6 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.15
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
7
BTTS Yes
2
9
Over 2.5
3
6.55
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
13 matches
Santos Laguna
7 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Draws | 0 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 28 | Goals For | 6 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 2.15 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 6.55 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 18 | Total Shots | 11.5 |
| 4.82 | Corners | 6.25 |
| 60.8% | Ball Possession | 46.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 9 times, Santos Laguna won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:22 from Toluca's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.79 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Santos Laguna 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 9, draws 1, Santos Laguna wins 4
Last matches: Toluca
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
Last matches: Santos Laguna
17.08.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
0
1
L
02.08.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club America
0
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
1
L
19.07.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
2
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
Santos Laguna
America de Cali
0
1
L
28.06.26
Fri
Santos Laguna
NY Cosmos
2
1
W
23.06.26
Fri
Santos Laguna
Annapolis Blues
2
0
W
26.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
3
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Atlas
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
CF Pachuca
2
4
L
05.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club America
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Puebla
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
0
3
L
09.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Tijuana
2
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Queretaro
2
2
D
22.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Leon
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Mazatlán
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
H2H: Toluca vs Santos Laguna
15.01.26
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
17.07.25
H2H
Santos Laguna
Toluca
2
4
W
07.04.25
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
23.09.24
H2H
Santos Laguna
Toluca
2
0
L
22.02.24
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
06.11.23
H2H
Santos Laguna
Toluca
3
1
L
24.02.23
H2H
Santos Laguna
Toluca
0
5
W
17.10.22
H2H
Santos Laguna
Toluca
1
2
W
14.10.22
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
4
3
W
23.07.22
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
16.01.22
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
25.10.21
H2H
Santos Laguna
Toluca
2
2
D
19.04.21
H2H
Santos Laguna
Toluca
3
1
L
20.09.20
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
1
2
L
09.05.20
H2H
Santos Laguna
Toluca
0
0
D
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
H2H at home: Toluca
15.01.26
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
07.04.25
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
22.02.24
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
14.10.22
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
4
3
W
23.07.22
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
2
1
W
16.01.22
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
20.09.20
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
1
2
L
Last matches: Santos Laguna
02.08.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club America
0
3
L
19.07.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
2
3
L
28.06.26
Fri
Santos Laguna
NY Cosmos
2
1
W
23.06.26
Fri
Santos Laguna
Annapolis Blues
2
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
12.04.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
CF Pachuca
2
4
L
14.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
0
3
L
09.03.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Tijuana
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club Queretaro
2
2
D
22.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Leon
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
4
L
15.01.26
Lig
Santos Laguna
Toluca
1
3
L
01.11.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Necaxa
1
4
L
22.10.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Mazatlán
2
2
D
05.10.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Club America
0
3
L
28.09.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Monterrey
0
1
L
14.09.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Atlas
2
2
D
23.08.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
FC Juarez
1
2
L
17.08.25
Lig
Santos Laguna
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
H2H away: Santos Laguna
15.01.26
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
L
07.04.25
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
2
1
L
22.02.24
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
1
0
L
14.10.22
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
4
3
L
23.07.22
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
2
1
L
16.01.22
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
L
20.09.20
H2H
Toluca
Santos Laguna
1
2
W
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 10 |
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 9 |
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Home
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
D
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 1 |
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 |
Santos Laguna
Away
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:13 | -11 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)