POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Wojska Polskiego
Referee: J. Przybyl
Legia Warszawa
Match Timeline
Motor Lublin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
Rafał Augustyniak
Legia Warszawa
🟨
30'
Mbaye Ndiaye
Motor Lublin
32'
J. Nsame · Assist: K. Piatkowski
Legia Warszawa
39'
K. Chodyna · Assist: J. Elitim
Legia Warszawa
🔄
46'
J. Leszczynski ↔ R. Pankov
Legia Warszawa
49'
J. Elitim · Assist: R. Adamski
Legia Warszawa
🟨
54'
Marek Kristián Bartoš
Motor Lublin
🔄
54'
S. Samper ↔ J. Labojko
Motor Lublin
🔄
54'
Fabio Ronaldo ↔ B. van Hoeven
Motor Lublin
🔄
54'
K. Karasek ↔ M. Scalet
Motor Lublin
55'
J. Nsame
Legia Warszawa
🔄
66'
M. Ndiaye ↔ P. Stolarski
Motor Lublin
🔄
70'
J. Zewlakow ↔ S. Kovacik
Legia Warszawa
🔄
70'
J. Nsame ↔ M. Rajovic
Legia Warszawa
🔄
74'
A. Najemski ↔ B. Ede
Motor Lublin
🔄
78'
R. Vinagre ↔ A. Jedrzejczyk
Legia Warszawa
🔄
85'
O. Hindrich ↔ K. Tobiasz
Legia Warszawa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Legia Warszawa Win 62.1%
Draw 0%
Motor Lublin Win 37.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Legia Warszawa1.36
Motor Lublin1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
WWDLW
60 GF / 57 GA
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
WLDWL
46 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
29
BTTS Yes
20
23
Over 2.5
16
3.72
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 47 matches
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 33 matches
Legia Warszawa Statistic Motor Lublin
18 Wins 10
15 Draws 13
14 Losses 10
60 Goals For 46
57 Goals Against 49
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
29 BTTS Yes 20
33 Over 1.5 26
23 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 11
12 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 7
3.72 Shots On Goal 3.7
12.64 Total Shots 11.64
4.81 Corners 5.33
45% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Legia Warszawa's more proactive style and Motor Lublin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Motor Lublin. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Legia Warszawa expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Motor Lublin in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Motor Lublin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Legia Warszawa come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Legia Warszawa Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Legia Warszawa have collected 46 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses, while the 38:37 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Rajovic (6 goals), R. Adamski (4 goals), Antonio Čolak (3 goals), with creative support from Bartosz Kapustka (2 assists), Ermal Krasniqi (2 assists), J. Elitim (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Motor Lublin Analysis

With 43 points from 33 games and a place of 11, Motor Lublin still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 46:49, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Czubak (19 goals), M. Ndiaye (8 goals), B. Wolski (5 goals), with creative support from B. Wolski (7 assists), I. Rodrigues (4 assists), B. van Hoeven (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Legia Warszawa won 4 times, Motor Lublin won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:10 from Legia Warszawa's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Legia Warszawa 5-3-2 / Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Legia Warszawa wins 4, draws 2, Motor Lublin wins 1
Stats
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
Shots on Goal
11
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
2
5 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 2
10 Shots insidebox 3
8 Shots outsidebox 7
5 Goalkeeper Saves 6
452 Total passes 334
394 Passes accurate 258
2.33 expected_goals 0.54
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Legia Warszawa
Formation
Motor Lublin
O. Hindrich
O. Hindrich
K. Piatkowski
🎯
K. Piatkowski
R. Augustyniak
R. Augustyniak
J. Leszczynski
J. Leszczynski
K. Chodyna
K. Chodyna
B. Kapustka
B. Kapustka
J. Elitim
🎯
J. Elitim
R. Vinagre
R. Vinagre
J. Zewlakow
J. Zewlakow
J. Nsame
⚽ 2
J. Nsame
R. Adamski
🎯
R. Adamski
G. Tratnik
G. Tratnik
T. Santos
T. Santos
M. Bartos
M. Bartos
A. Najemski
A. Najemski
F. Luberecki
F. Luberecki
S. Samper
S. Samper
M. Ndiaye
M. Ndiaye
K. Karasek
K. Karasek
B. Wolski
B. Wolski
Fabio Ronaldo
Fabio Ronaldo
K. Czubak
K. Czubak
Legia Warszawa 3-4-3
Starting XI
89
O. Hindrich
↓ 85'
G
91
K. Piatkowski
🎯 32'
D
8
R. Augustyniak
🟨 7'
D
56
J. Leszczynski
↓ 46'
D
11
K. Chodyna
⚽ 39'
M
67
B. Kapustka
M
22
J. Elitim
⚽ 49' 🎯 39'
M
19
R. Vinagre
↓ 78'
M
20
J. Zewlakow
↓ 70'
F
18
J. Nsame
⚽ 32' ⚽ 55' ↓ 70'
F
9
R. Adamski
🎯 49'
F
Substitutes
1
K. Tobiasz
↑ 85'
G
14
A. Colak
F
44
D. Szymanski
M
77
E. Krasniqi
F
6
H. Arreiol
M
53
W. Urbanski
M
99
S. Kovacik
↑ 70'
F
55
A. Jedrzejczyk
↑ 78'
D
12
R. Pankov
↑ 46'
D
29
M. Rajovic
↑ 70'
F
82
K. Urbanski
M
Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
33
G. Tratnik
G
29
T. Santos
D
39
M. Bartos
🟨 54'
D
18
A. Najemski
↓ 74'
D
24
F. Luberecki
D
6
S. Samper
↓ 54'
M
30
M. Ndiaye
↓ 66' 🟨 30'
M
10
K. Karasek
↓ 54'
M
68
B. Wolski
M
11
Fabio Ronaldo
↓ 54'
M
9
K. Czubak
F
Substitutes
99
P. Kukulski
G
3
H. Matthys
D
77
R. Dadashov
F
21
J. Labojko
↑ 54'
M
2
P. Meyer
D
42
B. Ede
↑ 74'
D
16
F. Lewandowski
M
28
P. Stolarski
↑ 66'
D
17
F. Wojcik
D
19
B. van Hoeven
↑ 54'
M
8
M. Scalet
↑ 54'
M
23
F. Haxha
M
Last matches: Legia Warszawa
24.07.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Aris
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
AS Trencin
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Nürnberg II
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Bayern München II
2
0
W
17.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
10.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Nieciecza
1
0
W
01.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
0
4
L
17.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
11.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Riga
3
1
W
22.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
13.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
08.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Cracovia Krakow
1
0
W
01.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
Last matches: Motor Lublin
17.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Hapoel Katamon
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Polonia Warszawa
2
1
W
03.07.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Warta Poznań
4
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
Dinamo Bucuresti
3
1
W
16.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Cracovia Krakow
3
3
D
10.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
4
0
W
02.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
17.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
GKS Katowice
2
3
L
12.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
20.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
13.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Nieciecza
2
1
W
08.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
0
0
D
28.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
2
0
W
20.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
15.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Lechia Gdansk
2
3
L
07.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
1
4
L
01.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Pogon Szczecin
2
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Motor Lublin
IMT Novi Beograd
5
1
W
H2H: Legia Warszawa vs Motor Lublin
23.05.26
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
4
0
W
01.12.25
H2H
Motor Lublin
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
10.03.25
H2H
Motor Lublin
Legia Warszawa
3
3
D
01.09.24
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
5
2
W
16.07.23
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
0
0
D
10.12.22
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
4
0
W
01.07.22
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
2
3
L
01.12.21
H2H
Motor Lublin
Legia Warszawa
1
2
W
Last matches: Legia Warszawa
18.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Aris
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
10.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
AS Trencin
1
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3
1
W
01.05.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
17.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
11.04.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Riga
3
1
W
22.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
08.03.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Cracovia Krakow
1
0
W
21.02.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Wisla Plock
2
1
W
01.02.26
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Korona Kielce
1
2
L
22.01.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Sparta Praha
3
3
D
19.01.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Polessya
0
0
D
16.01.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Sigma Olomouc
1
0
W
12.01.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Puskas Academy
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
Legia Warszawa
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
3
2
W
18.12.25
UEF
Legia Warszawa
Lincoln Red Imps FC
4
1
W
14.12.25
Eks
Legia Warszawa
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
H2H at home: Legia Warszawa
23.05.26
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
4
0
W
01.09.24
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
5
2
W
16.07.23
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
0
0
D
10.12.22
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
4
0
W
01.07.22
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
2
3
L
Last matches: Motor Lublin
10.05.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Widzew Łódź
0
2
L
17.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
GKS Katowice
2
3
L
06.04.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
13.03.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Nieciecza
2
1
W
20.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
07.02.26
Eks
Motor Lublin
Jagiellonia
1
4
L
06.12.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Arka Gdynia
0
1
L
22.11.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Cracovia Krakow
2
1
W
02.11.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
05.10.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
21.09.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Zaglebie Lubin
2
2
D
30.08.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
23.08.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Korona Kielce
0
2
L
11.08.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Lechia Gdansk
3
3
D
26.07.25
Eks
Motor Lublin
Pogon Szczecin
1
4
L
H2H away: Motor Lublin
23.05.26
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
4
0
L
01.09.24
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
5
2
L
16.07.23
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
0
0
D
10.12.22
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
4
0
L
01.07.22
H2H
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
2
3
W

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation