POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Exbud Arena
Referee: P. Gryckiewicz
Korona Kielce
Match Timeline
Piast Gliwice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
53'
Juande · Assist: G. Tomasiewicz
Piast Gliwice
56'
D. Blanik · Assist: W. Dlugosz
Korona Kielce
🔄
58'
L. Sanca ↔ H. Vallejo
Piast Gliwice
🔄
58'
J. Felix ↔ G. Barkovskiy
Piast Gliwice
🔄
68'
T. Svetlin ↔ S. Davidovic
Korona Kielce
🔄
68'
M. Stepinski ↔ V. Nikolov
Korona Kielce
🟨
70'
Simon Gustafson
Korona Kielce
🔄
78'
M. Remacle ↔ Nono
Korona Kielce
🔄
78'
D. Blanik ↔ Antonin
Korona Kielce
🔄
80'
J. Lokilo ↔ A. Katsantonis
Piast Gliwice
🔄
80'
Q. Boisgard ↔ O. Lesniak
Piast Gliwice
🔄
84'
K. Matuszewski ↔ K. Sotiriou
Korona Kielce
🟨
89'
Wiktor Długosz
Korona Kielce
🔄
90+1'
G. Tomasiewicz ↔ S. Mucha
Piast Gliwice

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Korona Kielce Win 43.6%
Draw 16.9%
Piast Gliwice Win 39.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Korona Kielce1.27
Piast Gliwice1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
WWDLW
37 GF / 36 GA
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
WLDWL
39 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
16
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
16
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 30 matches
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 30 matches
Korona Kielce Statistic Piast Gliwice
10 Wins 11
8 Draws 6
12 Losses 13
37 Goals For 39
36 Goals Against 40
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
16 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 16
5 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 9
3.8 Shots On Goal 4.1
15.07 Total Shots 14.73
5.17 Corners 5.27
45.8% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Korona Kielce's more proactive style and Piast Gliwice's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Piast Gliwice. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Korona Kielce expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Piast Gliwice in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Piast Gliwice having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Korona Kielce Analysis

Korona Kielce are currently 12 in the standings with 38 points from 30 matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 37:36 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Dawid Błanik (7 goals), K. Sotiriou (5 goals), M. Pieczek (5 goals), with creative support from Dawid Błanik (4 assists), K. Sotiriou (2 assists), M. Pieczek (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Piast Gliwice Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Piast Gliwice have collected 39 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 39:40 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Jirka (6 goals), G. Barkovskiy (4 goals), J. Felix (4 goals), with creative support from J. Felix (3 assists), L. Sanca (3 assists), Patryk Dziczek (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Korona Kielce won 1 times, Piast Gliwice won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:18 from Korona Kielce's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Korona Kielce 3-4-3 / Piast Gliwice 4-4-2
H2H summary: Korona Kielce wins 1, draws 6, Piast Gliwice wins 6
Stats
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 6
15 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Goal 4
2 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 9
1 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
404 Total passes 386
323 Passes accurate 295
1.11 expected_goals 1.83
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Korona Kielce
Formation
Piast Gliwice
X. Dziekonski
X. Dziekonski
B. Smolarczyk
B. Smolarczyk
P. Resta
P. Resta
M. Pieczek
M. Pieczek
W. Dlugosz
🎯
W. Dlugosz
S. Gustafson
S. Gustafson
T. Svetlin
T. Svetlin
K. Matuszewski
K. Matuszewski
M. Remacle
M. Remacle
D. Blanik
D. Blanik
M. Stepinski
M. Stepinski
D. Holec
D. Holec
F. Borowski
F. Borowski
Juande
Juande
I. Drapinski
I. Drapinski
J. Lewicki
J. Lewicki
J. Lokilo
J. Lokilo
G. Tomasiewicz
🎯
G. Tomasiewicz
P. Dziczek
P. Dziczek
L. Sanca
L. Sanca
J. Felix
J. Felix
Q. Boisgard
Q. Boisgard
Korona Kielce 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
X. Dziekonski
G
24
B. Smolarczyk
D
5
P. Resta
D
6
M. Pieczek
D
71
W. Dlugosz
🎯 56' 🟨 89'
M
86
S. Gustafson
🟨 70'
M
88
T. Svetlin
↓ 68'
M
3
K. Matuszewski
↓ 84'
M
8
M. Remacle
↓ 78'
F
7
D. Blanik
⚽ 56' ↓ 78'
F
14
M. Stepinski
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
87
R. Mamla
G
10
Nono
↑ 78'
M
23
S. Rubezic
D
37
H. Zwozny
D
9
S. Davidovic
↑ 68'
M
21
K. Ciszek
D
44
K. Sotiriou
↑ 84'
D
77
M. Cebula
M
26
V. Popov
D
11
V. Nikolov
↑ 68'
F
70
Antonin
↑ 78'
F
Piast Gliwice 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
30
D. Holec
G
28
F. Borowski
D
5
Juande
⚽ 53'
D
29
I. Drapinski
D
36
J. Lewicki
D
98
J. Lokilo
↓ 80'
M
20
G. Tomasiewicz
🎯 53' ↓ 90+1'
M
10
P. Dziczek
M
11
L. Sanca
↓ 58'
M
7
J. Felix
↓ 58'
F
17
Q. Boisgard
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Grelich
G
4
J. Czerwinski
D
22
T. Mokwa
D
70
A. Katsantonis
↑ 80'
F
80
H. Vallejo
↑ 58'
F
23
S. Mucha
↑ 90+1'
M
90
I. Lima
M
31
O. Lesniak
↑ 80'
M
9
A. Dalmau
F
63
G. Barkovskiy
↑ 58'
F
3
E. Fikaj
D
18
O. Maziarz
M
Last matches: Korona Kielce
17.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Stal Rzeszów
0
0
D
09.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Omonia Nicosia
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Zemplín Michalovce
4
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
15.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
08.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
25.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
0
1
L
10.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lechia Gdansk
2
4
L
22.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
16.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
1
2
L
07.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
2
1
W
28.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
0
2
L
22.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
13.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Radomiak Radom
2
0
W
06.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
1
2
L
01.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
2
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Dynamo Kyiv
0
0
D
Last matches: Piast Gliwice
18.07.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
Odra Opole
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
Miedz Legnica
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
Baník Ostrava
1
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
GKS Katowice
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
23.05.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
17.05.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
1
3
L
10.05.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
GKS Katowice
0
0
D
27.04.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
4
1
W
20.04.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Lechia Gdansk
1
1
D
13.04.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Pogon Szczecin
0
2
L
06.04.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Nieciecza
2
3
L
20.03.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
3
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
07.03.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Zaglebie Lubin
1
3
L
27.02.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Cracovia Krakow
3
2
W
20.02.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
15.02.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznan
0
3
L
09.02.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
03.02.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznan
1
0
W
H2H: Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice
01.05.26
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
31.10.25
H2H
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
18.10.24
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
0
2
L
13.07.24
H2H
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
3
0
L
05.05.24
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
03.02.24
H2H
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
0
0
D
03.11.23
H2H
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
0
0
D
12.05.23
H2H
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
2
1
L
29.10.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
05.06.20
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
2
L
26.10.19
H2H
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
1
0
L
13.04.19
H2H
Piast Gliwice
Korona Kielce
4
0
L
11.11.18
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
0
W
Last matches: Korona Kielce
17.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Stal Rzeszów
0
0
D
09.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Omonia Nicosia
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Zemplín Michalovce
4
0
W
15.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
25.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
22.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
07.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
2
1
W
22.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
06.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
1
2
L
20.01.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Dynamo Kyiv
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Spartak Trnava
3
1
W
08.12.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
29.11.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
09.11.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
1
4
L
18.10.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
27.09.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lechia Gdansk
3
0
W
13.09.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
23.08.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
2
0
W
H2H at home: Korona Kielce
01.05.26
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
18.10.24
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
0
2
L
05.05.24
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
29.10.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
05.06.20
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
2
L
11.11.18
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
0
W
Last matches: Piast Gliwice
01.07.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
GKS Katowice
1
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
23.05.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Widzew Łódź
1
2
L
20.04.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Lechia Gdansk
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Nieciecza
2
3
L
14.03.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
27.02.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Cracovia Krakow
3
2
W
15.02.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Lech Poznan
0
3
L
31.01.26
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
L
22.01.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
Odense
1
0
W
22.01.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
Viborg
0
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
Brondby
1
1
D
10.01.26
Fri
Piast Gliwice
Sigma Olomouc
0
2
L
14.12.25
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Legia Warszawa
1
0
W
22.11.25
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Raków Częstochowa
3
1
W
08.11.25
Eks
Piast Gliwice
GKS Katowice
3
1
W
25.10.25
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Arka Gdynia
1
2
L
03.10.25
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Pogon Szczecin
1
2
L
20.09.25
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
0
1
L
30.08.25
Eks
Piast Gliwice
Zaglebie Lubin
2
2
D
H2H away: Piast Gliwice
01.05.26
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
18.10.24
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
0
2
W
05.05.24
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
29.10.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
05.06.20
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
2
W
11.11.18
H2H
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
0
L

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation