POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Exbud Arena
Referee: B. Frankowski
Korona Kielce
Match Timeline
GKS Katowice
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
A. Jedrych
GKS Katowice
🔄
58'
H. Zwozny ↔ S. Davidovic
Korona Kielce
🔄
65'
E. Markovic ↔ M. Wdowiak
GKS Katowice
66'
M. Pieczek · Assist: D. Blanik
Korona Kielce
🔄
77'
M. Olsen ↔ M. Wedrychowski
GKS Katowice
🔄
77'
I. Shkurin ↔ J. Kokosinski
GKS Katowice
🔄
77'
D. Rasak ↔ A. Blad
GKS Katowice
🔄
80'
M. Stepinski ↔ V. Nikolov
Korona Kielce
🟨
86'
Wiktor Długosz
Korona Kielce
🔄
87'
S. Gustafson ↔ Nono
Korona Kielce
🔄
87'
D. Blanik ↔ M. Cebula
Korona Kielce
🟨
90+3'
Marcin Cebula
Korona Kielce
🔄
90'
↔ M. Kuusk
GKS Katowice

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
81.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Korona Kielce Win 58.6%
Draw 0%
GKS Katowice Win 41.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Korona Kielce1.3
GKS Katowice1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
WWDLW
36 GF / 35 GA
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
WLDWL
42 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
15
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
15
3.79
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 29 matches
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 29 matches
Korona Kielce Statistic GKS Katowice
10 Wins 13
7 Draws 4
12 Losses 12
36 Goals For 42
35 Goals Against 40
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
15 BTTS Yes 13
23 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 8
3.79 Shots On Goal 4.83
15 Total Shots 13.03
5.17 Corners 4.9
45.4% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward GKS Katowice. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Korona Kielce have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Korona Kielce Analysis

Korona Kielce approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 37 points from 29 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 36:34, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Dawid Błanik (7 goals), K. Sotiriou (5 goals), M. Pieczek (4 goals), with creative support from Dawid Błanik (3 assists), K. Sotiriou (2 assists), M. Pieczek (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

GKS Katowice Analysis

So far, GKS Katowice have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 43 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 39:38 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Nowak (8 goals), L. Klemenz (7 goals), Arkadiusz Jędrych (6 goals), with creative support from B. Nowak (11 assists), A. Czerwinski (5 assists), Marcin Wasielewski (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Korona Kielce won 2 times, GKS Katowice won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Korona Kielce's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Korona Kielce 3-4-3 / GKS Katowice 3-4-3
H2H summary: Korona Kielce wins 2, draws 1, GKS Katowice wins 4
Stats
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 3
9 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 5
12 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
437 Total passes 354
333 Passes accurate 253
1.36 expected_goals 1.57
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Korona Kielce
Formation
GKS Katowice
X. Dziekonski
X. Dziekonski
B. Smolarczyk
B. Smolarczyk
P. Resta
P. Resta
M. Pieczek
M. Pieczek
H. Zwozny
H. Zwozny
S. Gustafson
S. Gustafson
M. Remacle
M. Remacle
K. Matuszewski
K. Matuszewski
W. Dlugosz
W. Dlugosz
D. Blanik
🎯
D. Blanik
M. Stepinski
M. Stepinski
D. Kudla
D. Kudla
A. Czerwinski
A. Czerwinski
A. Jedrych
A. Jedrych
M. Olsen
M. Olsen
E. Jirka
E. Jirka
D. Rasak
D. Rasak
S. Milewski
S. Milewski
M. Wasielewski
M. Wasielewski
E. Markovic
E. Markovic
B. Nowak
B. Nowak
I. Shkurin
I. Shkurin
Korona Kielce 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
X. Dziekonski
G
24
B. Smolarczyk
D
5
P. Resta
D
6
M. Pieczek
⚽ 66'
D
37
H. Zwozny
↓ 58'
M
86
S. Gustafson
↓ 87'
M
8
M. Remacle
M
3
K. Matuszewski
M
71
W. Dlugosz
🟨 86'
F
7
D. Blanik
🎯 66' ↓ 87'
F
14
M. Stepinski
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
87
R. Mamla
G
10
Nono
↑ 87'
M
23
S. Rubezic
D
9
S. Davidovic
↑ 58'
M
21
K. Ciszek
D
44
K. Sotiriou
D
77
M. Cebula
↑ 87' 🟨 90+3'
M
26
V. Popov
D
11
V. Nikolov
↑ 80'
F
15
N. Niski
D
20
K. Minuczyc
M
GKS Katowice 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
D. Kudla
G
30
A. Czerwinski
D
4
A. Jedrych
⚽ 35'
D
14
M. Olsen
↓ 77'
97
E. Jirka
M
26
D. Rasak
↓ 77'
M
22
S. Milewski
M
23
M. Wasielewski
M
15
E. Markovic
↓ 65'
F
27
B. Nowak
F
80
I. Shkurin
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
34
W. Pankowski
G
2
M. Kuusk
↑ 90'
D
16
G. Rogala
D
10
M. Wedrychowski
↑ 77'
M
24
K. Gruszkowski
D
21
J. Kokosinski
↑ 77'
F
11
A. Blad
↑ 77'
M
70
M. Wdowiak
↑ 65'
M
19
K. Lukasiak
M
Last matches: Korona Kielce
17.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Stal Rzeszów
0
0
D
09.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Omonia Nicosia
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Zemplín Michalovce
4
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
15.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
08.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
01.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
0
1
L
10.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
06.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lechia Gdansk
2
4
L
22.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
16.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
1
2
L
07.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
2
1
W
28.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
0
2
L
22.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
13.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Radomiak Radom
2
0
W
06.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
1
2
L
01.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
2
1
W
20.01.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Dynamo Kyiv
0
0
D
Last matches: GKS Katowice
23.07.26
UEF
GKS Katowice
Žilina
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Raków Częstochowa
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Stal Rzeszów
3
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Miedz Legnica
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Piast Gliwice
0
1
L
28.06.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
2
0
W
25.06.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
Świt Skolwin
7
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D
17.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
10.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Piast Gliwice
0
0
D
03.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
5
1
W
17.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Motor Lublin
3
2
W
12.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lech Poznan
3
3
D
04.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
21.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
17.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
1
2
L
14.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
08.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Radomiak Radom
1
0
W
28.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
3
1
W
22.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
1
2
L
H2H: Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice
25.04.26
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
GKS Katowice
Korona Kielce
1
0
L
05.05.25
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
2
1
W
04.11.24
H2H
GKS Katowice
Korona Kielce
1
2
W
10.12.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
14.05.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
2
L
06.11.21
H2H
GKS Katowice
Korona Kielce
1
0
L
Last matches: Korona Kielce
17.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
0
2
L
14.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Stal Rzeszów
0
0
D
09.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Omonia Nicosia
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Zemplín Michalovce
4
0
W
15.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
01.05.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
1
1
D
10.04.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
22.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
07.03.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Nieciecza
2
1
W
22.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
06.02.26
Eks
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
1
2
L
20.01.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Dynamo Kyiv
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
Korona Kielce
Spartak Trnava
3
1
W
08.12.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
29.11.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
09.11.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Raków Częstochowa
1
4
L
18.10.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
27.09.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Lechia Gdansk
3
0
W
13.09.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
23.08.25
Eks
Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
2
0
W
H2H at home: Korona Kielce
25.04.26
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
05.05.25
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
2
1
W
10.12.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
14.05.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
2
L
Last matches: GKS Katowice
23.07.26
UEF
GKS Katowice
Žilina
1
2
L
23.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D
10.05.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Piast Gliwice
0
0
D
12.04.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lech Poznan
3
3
D
21.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Cracovia Krakow
0
1
L
17.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Radomiak Radom
1
0
W
22.02.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Arka Gdynia
1
2
L
30.01.26
Eks
GKS Katowice
Zaglebie Lubin
2
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
GKS Katowice
FK Jablonec
0
3
L
07.12.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Raków Częstochowa
0
1
L
31.10.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Nieciecza
3
0
W
17.10.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Motor Lublin
5
2
W
26.09.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
12.09.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Lechia Gdansk
0
2
L
23.08.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
0
3
L
10.08.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
02.08.25
Eks
GKS Katowice
Widzew Łódź
0
3
L
H2H away: GKS Katowice
25.04.26
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
05.05.25
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
2
1
L
10.12.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
0
1
W
14.05.22
H2H
Korona Kielce
GKS Katowice
1
2
W

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation