TURKEY 1. LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Aktepe Stadium
Referee: F. Tokail
Keçiörengücü
Match Timeline
Manisa F.K.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
J. Fernandes · Assist: H. Bulut
Keçiörengücü
🟥
36'
Yasin Güreler
Manisa F.K.
VAR
36'
Yasin Güreler
Manisa F.K.
45'
A. Celik
Manisa F.K.
67'
Wellington Nascimento · Assist: O. Roshi
Keçiörengücü
🔄
68'
A. Vargas ↔ B. Adekanye
Manisa F.K.
🔄
68'
O. Kahraman ↔ M. Kiprit
Manisa F.K.
🔄
72'
H. Ayan ↔ E. Rroca
Keçiörengücü
🟥
78'
Mamadou Cissokho
Manisa F.K.
🟨
79'
Umut Erdem
Manisa F.K.
🟨
80'
Odise Roshi
Keçiörengücü
🟨
81'
Christophe Herelle
Manisa F.K.
🔄
83'
A. Dere ↔ S. Lus
Keçiörengücü
🔄
83'
I. Karaogul ↔ E. Develi
Keçiörengücü
🔄
83'
Y. Benrahou ↔ A. Ibik
Manisa F.K.
🔄
86'
V. Karakus ↔ S. Bodur
Manisa F.K.
🔄
90'
O. Roshi ↔ E. Yilmaz
Keçiörengücü
🔄
90'
F. Ezeh ↔ O. Diaby
Keçiörengücü

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70%
-
BTTS BTTS No
55.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Keçiörengücü Win 70%
Draw 10.7%
Manisa F.K. Win 19.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Keçiörengücü1.72
Manisa F.K.1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
WWDLW
67 GF / 41 GA
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K.
WLDWL
51 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
22
BTTS Yes
18
21
Over 2.5
19
4.69
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 36 matches
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K. 36 matches
Keçiörengücü Statistic Manisa F.K.
14 Wins 15
12 Draws 7
10 Losses 14
67 Goals For 51
41 Goals Against 54
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
22 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 27
21 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 9
4.69 Shots On Goal 4.33
12.69 Total Shots 11.11
4.22 Corners 3.64
47.1% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Keçiörengücü's more proactive style and Manisa F.K.'s more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Keçiörengücü expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Manisa F.K. in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Manisa F.K. having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Manisa F.K.. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Keçiörengücü Analysis

Keçiörengücü are currently 8 in the standings with 54 points from 36 matches. The record of 14 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 67:40 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Diouf (17 goals), F. Ezeh (10 goals), J. Fernandes (9 goals), with creative support from I. Akdag (9 assists), F. Ezeh (6 assists), J. Fernandes (6 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Manisa F.K. Analysis

From their first 36 matches, Manisa F.K. have collected 52 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 50:54 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Diony (19 goals), Y. Benrahou (5 goals), B. Suleyman (4 goals), with creative support from J. Lindseth (7 assists), Yusuf Talum (6 assists), L. Diony (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Keçiörengücü won 5 times, Manisa F.K. won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Keçiörengücü's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.3%)
Predicted formations: Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1 / Manisa F.K. 4-3-3
H2H summary: Keçiörengücü wins 5, draws 5, Manisa F.K. wins 1
Stats
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K.
Shots on Goal
11
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
0
8 Corner Kicks 5
12 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3
64% Ball Possession 36%
31 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Goal 0
12 Shots off Goal 4
8 Blocked Shots 0
16 Shots insidebox 3
15 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 7
381 Total passes 217
314 Passes accurate 165
4.36 expected_goals 0.31
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 2 🟥

Lineups

Keçiörengücü
Formation
Manisa F.K.
E. Satilmis
E. Satilmis
H. Bulut
🎯
H. Bulut
Wellington Nascimento
Wellington Nascimento
A. Celik
A. Celik
A. Dere
A. Dere
I. Karaogul
I. Karaogul
I. Akdag
I. Akdag
O. Roshi
🎯
O. Roshi
H. Ayan
H. Ayan
F. Ezeh
F. Ezeh
J. Fernandes
J. Fernandes
V. Karakus
V. Karakus
A. Karapo
A. Karapo
C. Herelle
C. Herelle
Y. Gureler
Y. Gureler
U. Erdem
U. Erdem
M. Cissokho
M. Cissokho
J. Lindseth
J. Lindseth
O. Kahraman
O. Kahraman
Y. Benrahou
Y. Benrahou
A. Vargas
A. Vargas
L. Diony
L. Diony
Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
18
E. Satilmis
G
10
H. Bulut
🎯 18'
D
15
Wellington Nascimento
⚽ 67'
D
4
A. Celik
⚽ 45'
D
11
A. Dere
↓ 83'
D
36
I. Karaogul
↓ 83'
M
14
I. Akdag
M
7
O. Roshi
🎯 67' ↓ 90' 🟨 80'
M
22
H. Ayan
↓ 72'
M
21
F. Ezeh
↓ 90'
M
78
J. Fernandes
⚽ 18'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Erdogan
G
8
E. Rroca
↑ 72'
M
73
S. Lus
↑ 83'
D
5
O. Caliskan
D
28
E. Yilmaz
↑ 90'
M
23
Mexer
D
17
H. Bilgic
D
6
E. Develi
↑ 83'
M
9
A. Akman
F
70
O. Diaby
↑ 90'
M
Manisa F.K. 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Karakus
↓ 86'
G
45
A. Karapo
D
4
C. Herelle
🟨 81'
D
27
Y. Gureler
🟥 36'
D
19
U. Erdem
🟨 79'
D
25
M. Cissokho
🟥 78'
M
10
J. Lindseth
M
17
O. Kahraman
↓ 68'
M
20
Y. Benrahou
↓ 83'
M
7
A. Vargas
↓ 68'
M
9
L. Diony
F
Substitutes
22
S. Bodur
↑ 86'
G
11
B. Adekanye
↑ 68'
F
23
M. Kiprit
↑ 68'
F
21
E. Akboga
M
24
Y. Dursun
M
13
A. Ibik
↑ 83'
D
77
U. Can Aslan
65
A. Sen
F
70
Y. E. Kose
98
K. Guler
F
Last matches: Keçiörengücü
08.08.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Antalyaspor
3
4
L
07.05.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
0
1
L
02.05.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
4
1
W
19.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Esenler Erokspor
0
1
L
12.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Serik Spor
0
0
D
08.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Iğdır FK
1
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Vanspor FK
3
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Adana Demirspor
7
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sarıyer
1
3
L
11.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
1
1
D
07.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sivasspor
1
0
W
28.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Amed
2
2
D
23.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Pendikspor
1
0
W
18.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Erzurumspor FK
1
2
L
14.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bodrum FK
3
4
L
08.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bandırmaspor
3
1
W
31.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
0
1
L
24.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Boluspor
5
1
W
19.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
İstanbulspor
2
2
D
11.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Hatayspor
5
0
W
Last matches: Manisa F.K.
07.08.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Boluspor
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Sakaryaspor
5
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Serik Spor
1
0
W
12.04.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Vanspor FK
1
0
W
07.04.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Pendikspor
2
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Adana Demirspor
1
2
L
21.03.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Sivasspor
0
1
L
15.03.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Amed
0
2
L
10.03.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Sarıyer
3
0
W
07.03.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Erzurumspor FK
1
8
L
02.03.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Çorum FK
0
1
L
22.02.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Bodrum FK
2
1
W
18.02.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Bandırmaspor
3
2
W
13.02.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Esenler Erokspor
1
3
L
08.02.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Boluspor
4
1
W
31.01.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Iğdır FK
0
0
D
25.01.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
İstanbulspor
1
0
W
17.01.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Hatayspor
2
2
D
12.01.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Ümraniyespor
1
0
W
26.12.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
Sakaryaspor
2
0
W
H2H: Keçiörengücü vs Manisa F.K.
26.04.26
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
2
1
W
20.12.25
H2H
Manisa F.K.
Keçiörengücü
2
2
D
05.04.25
H2H
Manisa F.K.
Keçiörengücü
1
2
W
23.11.24
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
4
0
W
21.01.24
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Manisa F.K.
Keçiörengücü
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
0
3
L
04.12.22
H2H
Manisa F.K.
Keçiörengücü
0
0
D
08.05.22
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
2
1
W
14.12.21
H2H
Manisa F.K.
Keçiörengücü
1
1
D
25.09.18
H2H
Manisa F.K.
Keçiörengücü
1
2
W
Last matches: Keçiörengücü
12.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Serik Spor
0
0
D
04.04.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Vanspor FK
3
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Adana Demirspor
7
0
W
11.03.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sakaryaspor
1
1
D
28.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Amed
2
2
D
18.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Erzurumspor FK
1
2
L
08.02.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bandırmaspor
3
1
W
24.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Boluspor
5
1
W
11.01.26
1.
Keçiörengücü
Hatayspor
5
0
W
28.12.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Ümraniyespor
3
1
W
14.12.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Esenler Erokspor
1
1
D
29.11.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Iğdır FK
1
2
L
01.11.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sarıyer
3
0
W
19.10.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Sivasspor
0
0
D
29.09.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Pendikspor
0
0
D
20.09.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Bodrum FK
2
1
W
31.08.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
Çorum FK
1
2
L
16.08.25
1.
Keçiörengücü
İstanbulspor
0
0
D
H2H at home: Keçiörengücü
26.04.26
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
2
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
4
0
W
21.01.24
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
1
1
D
29.04.23
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
0
3
L
08.05.22
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
2
1
W
Last matches: Manisa F.K.
07.08.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Boluspor
2
1
W
12.04.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Vanspor FK
1
0
W
03.04.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Adana Demirspor
1
2
L
15.03.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Amed
0
2
L
07.03.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Erzurumspor FK
1
8
L
22.02.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Bodrum FK
2
1
W
13.02.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Esenler Erokspor
1
3
L
31.01.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Iğdır FK
0
0
D
17.01.26
1.
Manisa F.K.
Hatayspor
2
2
D
26.12.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
Sakaryaspor
2
0
W
13.12.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
Serik Spor
1
0
W
28.11.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
Pendikspor
0
2
L
08.11.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
Sivasspor
2
3
L
25.10.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
Sarıyer
0
0
D
03.10.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
Çorum FK
1
3
L
24.09.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
Bandırmaspor
4
1
W
13.09.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
Boluspor
0
2
L
25.08.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
İstanbulspor
1
1
D
08.08.25
1.
Manisa F.K.
Ümraniyespor
1
2
L
H2H away: Manisa F.K.
26.04.26
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
2
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
4
0
L
21.01.24
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
1
1
D
29.04.23
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
0
3
W
08.05.22
H2H
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
2
1
L

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation