POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Chorten Arena
Referee: W. Myc
Jagiellonia
Match Timeline
Zaglebie Lubin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
29'
Igor Orlikowski
Zaglebie Lubin
32'
A. Pululu
Jagiellonia
🟨
39'
Guilherme Montóia
Jagiellonia
🔄
46'
M. Grzybek ↔ L. Lucic
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
46'
J. Ligocki ↔ A. Radwanski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
63'
G. Montoia ↔ B. Wdowik
Jagiellonia
🟨
69'
Adam Radwański
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
72'
I. Orlikowski ↔ J. Sypek
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
72'
D. Dabrowski ↔ M. Dziewiatowski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
76'
B. Vital ↔ A. Konstantopoulos
Jagiellonia
🔄
84'
A. Pozo ↔ M. Nahuel
Jagiellonia
🔄
84'
J. Imaz ↔ E. Kozlowski
Jagiellonia
🔄
84'
A. Pululu ↔ S. Bazdar
Jagiellonia
🔄
84'
J. Corluka ↔ M. Kosidis
Zaglebie Lubin
🟨
90+3'
Michał Nalepa
Zaglebie Lubin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Jagiellonia Win 47.8%
Draw 18.7%
Zaglebie Lubin Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Jagiellonia1.42
Zaglebie Lubin1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
WWDLW
76 GF / 55 GA
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
WLDWL
45 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
30
BTTS Yes
16
29
Over 2.5
15
4.85
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 47 matches
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 33 matches
Jagiellonia Statistic Zaglebie Lubin
21 Wins 13
16 Draws 9
10 Losses 11
76 Goals For 45
55 Goals Against 37
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
30 BTTS Yes 16
38 Over 1.5 22
29 Over 2.5 15
14 Over 3.5 10
14 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 10
4.85 Shots On Goal 3.64
13.13 Total Shots 11.94
4.7 Corners 3.7
51.7% Ball Possession 39.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Zaglebie Lubin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Jagiellonia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Zaglebie Lubin in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Zaglebie Lubin having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Zaglebie Lubin.

Jagiellonia Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 53 points from 33 games, Jagiellonia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses, with a 55:41 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Afimico Pululu (14 goals), Jesús Imaz (13 goals), B. Vital (4 goals), with creative support from Jesús Imaz (6 assists), Afimico Pululu (5 assists), A. Pozo (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Zaglebie Lubin Analysis

Zaglebie Lubin sit 6 with 48 points after 33 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 45:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Kosidis (6 goals), M. Regula (5 goals), A. Radwanski (4 goals), with creative support from A. Radwanski (6 assists), M. Regula (3 assists), K. Szmyt (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Grzybek unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Jagiellonia won 6 times, Zaglebie Lubin won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Jagiellonia's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1 / Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
Missing players: Jagiellonia 0, Zaglebie Lubin 1
H2H summary: Jagiellonia wins 6, draws 4, Zaglebie Lubin wins 5
Stats
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 1
15 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 10
4 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
394 Total passes 307
320 Passes accurate 236
2.05 expected_goals 2.40
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Jagiellonia
Formation
Zaglebie Lubin
S. Abramowicz
S. Abramowicz
N. Wojtuszek
N. Wojtuszek
B. Vital
B. Vital
Y. Kobayashi
Y. Kobayashi
G. Montoia
G. Montoia
T. Romanczuk
T. Romanczuk
B. Mazurek
B. Mazurek
A. Pozo
A. Pozo
J. Imaz
J. Imaz
K. Szmyt
K. Szmyt
A. Pululu
A. Pululu
J. Buric
J. Buric
M. Grzybek
M. Grzybek
I. Orlikowski
I. Orlikowski
M. Nalepa
M. Nalepa
D. Michalski
D. Michalski
J. Corluka
J. Corluka
J. Ligocki
J. Ligocki
D. Dabrowski
D. Dabrowski
F. Kocaba
F. Kocaba
M. Regula
M. Regula
L. Szabo
L. Szabo
Jagiellonia 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
50
S. Abramowicz
G
15
N. Wojtuszek
D
13
B. Vital
↓ 76'
D
4
Y. Kobayashi
D
23
G. Montoia
↓ 63' 🟨 39'
D
6
T. Romanczuk
M
86
B. Mazurek
M
7
A. Pozo
↓ 84'
M
11
J. Imaz
↓ 84'
M
77
K. Szmyt
M
10
A. Pululu
⚽ 32' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
66
A. Damasiewicz
G
19
M. Nahuel
↑ 84'
M
21
S. Lozano
M
31
L. Flach
M
44
A. Konstantopoulos
↑ 76'
D
85
E. Kozlowski
↑ 84'
M
9
D. Rallis
F
72
K. Jozwiak
M
27
B. Wdowik
↑ 63'
D
17
Y. Sylla
F
14
S. Bazdar
↑ 84'
F
8
D. Drachal
M
Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
J. Buric
G
13
M. Grzybek
↓ 46'
D
31
I. Orlikowski
↓ 72' 🟨 29'
D
25
M. Nalepa
🟨 90+3'
D
4
D. Michalski
D
16
J. Corluka
↓ 84'
D
84
J. Ligocki
↓ 46'
M
8
D. Dabrowski
↓ 72'
M
39
F. Kocaba
M
44
M. Regula
M
17
L. Szabo
F
Substitutes
12
R. Gikiewicz
G
35
L. Lucic
↑ 46'
D
18
A. Radwanski
↑ 46' 🟨 69'
M
19
J. Sypek
↑ 72'
M
88
M. Mlinaric
F
20
M. Dziewiatowski
↑ 72'
M
21
S. Marek
M
11
A. Wozniak
M
6
T. Makowski
M
7
S. Kowalczyk
M
9
M. Kosidis
↑ 84'
F
Last matches: Jagiellonia
17.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
2
2
D
13.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
2
0
W
09.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
3
2
W
24.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
L
19.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
3
0
W
10.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
1
1
D
04.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0
0
D
21.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
17.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Piast Gliwice
1
2
L
06.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lechia Gdansk
0
3
L
01.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
2
2
D
26.02.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
4
2
W
22.02.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
0
3
L
14.02.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
07.02.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
4
1
W
31.01.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Widzew Łódź
3
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Cukaricki
3
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
Last matches: Zaglebie Lubin
15.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
09.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Gornik Zabrze
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
24.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Nieciecza
1
2
L
17.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
1
3
L
20.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Motor Lublin
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
07.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Piast Gliwice
3
1
W
02.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Wisla Plock
2
0
W
23.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
14.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Raków Częstochowa
0
0
D
06.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Slask Wroclaw
2
2
D
30.01.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
22.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Levski Sofia
0
0
D
17.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Podbrezová
2
3
L
16.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Qarabag
1
3
L
H2H: Jagiellonia vs Zaglebie Lubin
23.05.26
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
30.11.25
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
11.07.25
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
21.04.25
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
1
3
L
19.10.24
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
1
3
W
20.04.24
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
1
2
W
20.10.23
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
3
0
W
18.03.23
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
2
2
D
04.09.22
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
03.04.22
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
2
1
W
01.10.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
0
1
W
06.03.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
3
0
L
26.09.20
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
07.12.19
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
02.08.19
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
2
2
D
Last matches: Jagiellonia
09.05.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
3
2
W
24.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
L
04.04.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0
0
D
21.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
17.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
GKS Katowice
2
1
W
14.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Piast Gliwice
1
2
L
01.03.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Legia Warszawa
2
2
D
22.02.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Radomiak Radom
1
1
D
19.02.26
UEF
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
0
3
L
07.02.26
Eks
Jagiellonia
Motor Lublin
4
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Jagiellonia
Cukaricki
3
0
W
11.12.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
27.11.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
KuPS
1
0
W
02.11.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Raków Częstochowa
1
2
L
18.10.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Arka Gdynia
4
0
W
05.10.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
3
1
W
02.10.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
Hamrun Spartans
1
0
W
31.08.25
Eks
Jagiellonia
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
21.08.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
Dinamo Tirana
3
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
Jagiellonia
Silkeborg
2
2
D
H2H at home: Jagiellonia
23.05.26
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
W
11.07.25
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
21.04.25
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
1
3
L
20.10.23
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
3
0
W
18.03.23
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
2
2
D
03.04.22
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
2
1
W
26.09.20
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
07.12.19
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
Last matches: Zaglebie Lubin
09.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Gornik Zabrze
2
0
W
17.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
07.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
1
3
L
20.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Motor Lublin
0
1
L
07.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Piast Gliwice
3
1
W
23.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
06.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Slask Wroclaw
2
2
D
22.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Widzew Łódź
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Levski Sofia
0
0
D
14.12.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Raków Częstochowa
1
0
W
24.11.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1
5
L
03.11.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
24.10.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Nieciecza
1
1
D
04.10.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
1
3
L
12.09.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
2
1
W
25.08.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Wisla Plock
1
2
L
28.07.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
GKS Katowice
2
2
D
19.07.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Widzew Łódź
0
1
L
H2H away: Zaglebie Lubin
23.05.26
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
L
11.07.25
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
W
21.04.25
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
1
3
W
20.10.23
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
3
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
2
2
D
03.04.22
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
2
1
L
26.09.20
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
W
07.12.19
H2H
Jagiellonia
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
W

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation

Missing Players

Jagiellonia 0 missing
No missing players data
Zaglebie Lubin 1 missing
-
M. Grzybek
Missing Fixture Broken leg
OUT