COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
04.10.2026 01:15
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Independiente Medellin Win 0%
Draw 0%
Santa Fe Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente Medellin1.35
Santa Fe1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin
WWDLW
58 GF / 49 GA
Santa Fe Santa Fe
WLDWL
59 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
27
BTTS Yes
28
24
Over 2.5
19
4.54
Shots on Goal
4.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 39 matches
Santa Fe Santa Fe 40 matches
Independiente Medellin Statistic Santa Fe
18 Wins 14
9 Draws 17
12 Losses 9
58 Goals For 59
49 Goals Against 45
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
27 BTTS Yes 28
30 Over 1.5 32
24 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 6
4.54 Shots On Goal 4.59
13.62 Total Shots 12.36
4.84 Corners 4.67
50% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Independiente Medellin won 3 times, Santa Fe won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Independiente Medellin's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Independiente Medellin 4-2-3-1 / Santa Fe 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Independiente Medellin wins 3, draws 6, Santa Fe wins 5

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W L D D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W W D L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W D W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W D D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W D L W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D L D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L D D D W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification