Vancouver FC vs York United Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Vancouver FC
York United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vancouver FC
25 matches
York United
22 matches
| Vancouver FC | Statistic | York United |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 31 | Goals For | 31 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.09 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 1.76 | Shots On Goal | 2.38 |
| 5.96 | Total Shots | 5.9 |
| 2.52 | Corners | 1.71 |
| 21.2% | Ball Possession | 22.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Vancouver FC's more proactive style and York United's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Vancouver FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring York United. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vancouver FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and York United in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward York United having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Vancouver FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 30 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 30:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Bah (2 goals), L. Mousset (1 goals), with creative support from Thomas Geoffrey Field (1 assists), L. Toomey (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
From their first 20 matches, York United have collected 23 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 29:42 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Accettola (2 goals), T. Skublak (1 goals), L. Singh (1 goals), with creative support from T. Skublak (1 assists), O. León (1 assists), S. Yeates (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver FC won 3 times, York United won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:24 from Vancouver FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42:13 | 29 | 50 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 34:16 | 18 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 34:37 | -3 | 34 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 |
Vancouver FC
Home
|
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
| 5 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 23 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
York United
Away
|
20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 29:42 | -13 | 23 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
| 7 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 26:44 | -18 | 11 |
D
L
D
D
W
|