Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Llaneros
Atletico Nacional
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Llaneros
29 matches
Atletico Nacional
34 matches
| Llaneros | Statistic | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 23 |
| 12 | Draws | 1 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 28 | Goals For | 65 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 32 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.91 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.46 | Shots On Goal | 6.23 |
| 10.25 | Total Shots | 16.32 |
| 4.96 | Corners | 5.29 |
| 46.7% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Atletico Nacional's more proactive style and Llaneros's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Nacional. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico Nacional look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Llaneros expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Atletico Nacional in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Nacional having the stronger overall control. Atletico Nacional carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Llaneros sit 14 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 22 points from 19 games and a place of 14, Llaneros still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats with a 17:20 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Ospina (6 goals), J. Vásquez (6 goals), Carlos Cortés (3 goals), with creative support from N. Ospina (4 assists), L. Miranda (3 assists), J. RamÃrez (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 1 place with 40 points from 19 games, Atletico Nacional bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 13 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, with a 35:15 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Morelos (13 goals), J. Rengifo (7 goals), A. Sarmiento (7 goals), with creative support from J. Rengifo (7 assists), A. Morelos (6 assists), A. Sarmiento (6 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Llaneros won 0 times, Atletico Nacional won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:7 from Llaneros's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Away
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 |
Llaneros
Home
|
19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
D
L
W
D
|