COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
24.09.2026 00:30

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
America de Cali Win 69%
Draw 3.8%
Águilas Doradas Win 27.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
America de Cali1.42
Águilas Doradas1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
America de Cali America de Cali
WWDLW
51 GF / 29 GA
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WLDWL
32 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.19
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
13
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
14
4.65
Shots on Goal
3.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America de Cali America de Cali 35 matches
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 27 matches
America de Cali Statistic Águilas Doradas
18 Wins 9
8 Draws 10
9 Losses 8
51 Goals For 32
29 Goals Against 37
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
13 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 6
17 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 6
4.65 Shots On Goal 3.74
13.32 Total Shots 11.52
3.84 Corners 4.56
54.4% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by America de Cali's more proactive style and Águilas Doradas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Águilas Doradas. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. America de Cali arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 33 points compared to Águilas Doradas in 12 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

America de Cali Analysis

America de Cali arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 33 points after 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 25:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Yeison Guzmán (10 goals), D. Rosero (4 goals), T. Ángel (3 goals), with creative support from R. Carrascal (9 assists), L. Quiñones (4 assists), Yeison Guzmán (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

So far, Águilas Doradas have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jorge Rivaldo (10 goals), F. Lozano (3 goals), R. Márquez (3 goals), with creative support from E. Arízalas (5 assists), Bryan Urueña (4 assists), A. Ricaurte (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, America de Cali won 7 times, Águilas Doradas won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from America de Cali's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
Predicted formations: America de Cali 4-2-3-1 / Águilas Doradas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: America de Cali wins 7, draws 4, Águilas Doradas wins 4

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W L D D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W W D L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W D D L
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
D L W W L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D L D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification