🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
24.09.2026 01:30
Lumen Field

Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
45.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 2-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 23.1%
Draw 45.9%
Real Salt Lake Win 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.51
Real Salt Lake1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
45 GF / 42 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
47 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.62
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
18
BTTS Yes
22
17
Over 2.5
20
4.75
Shots on Goal
5.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 32 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 29 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic Real Salt Lake
13 Wins 10
8 Draws 7
11 Losses 12
45 Goals For 47
42 Goals Against 48
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.62
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
18 BTTS Yes 22
25 Over 1.5 27
17 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 2
8 Failed To Score 5
4.75 Shots On Goal 5.32
13.18 Total Shots 14.08
4.61 Corners 4.92
50% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Real Salt Lake. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Seattle Sounders expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Real Salt Lake in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Salt Lake having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Real Salt Lake arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders sit 14 with 28 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 25:30 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Rothrock (3 goals), A. Rusnák (2 goals), Jesús Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnák (5 assists), J. Morris (3 assists), Jesús Ferreira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 29 points from 24 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats with a 37:39 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Solans (4 goals), Zavier Gozo (4 goals), D. Luna (4 goals), with creative support from S. Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), D. Luna (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 4 times, Real Salt Lake won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (76.9%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-3
Missing players: Seattle Sounders 5, Real Salt Lake 7
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 4, draws 4, Real Salt Lake wins 7

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)