POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Referee: S. Marciniak
Gornik Zabrze
Match Timeline
Radomiak Radom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
M. Khlan
Gornik Zabrze
13'
M. Khlan · Assist: Y. Ikia Dimi
Gornik Zabrze
🟨
23'
Maurides
Radomiak Radom
🟨
23'
Luquinhas
Radomiak Radom
28'
S. Liseth · Assist: L. Sadilek
Gornik Zabrze
42'
L. Sadilek · Assist: E. Janza
Gornik Zabrze
45'
L. Sadilek · Assist: S. Liseth
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
46'
V. Lopes ↔ E. Balde
Radomiak Radom
🔄
46'
R. Baro ↔ I. Camara
Radomiak Radom
53'
E. Janza · Assist: M. Khlan
Gornik Zabrze
🟨
56'
João Pedro
Radomiak Radom
🔄
57'
M. Lubik ↔ T. Loska
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
57'
P. Hellebrand ↔ B. Donio
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
61'
Joao Pedro ↔ J. Blasco
Radomiak Radom
🔄
61'
Maurides ↔ S. Soumah
Radomiak Radom
🔄
69'
S. Liseth ↔ L. Podolski
Gornik Zabrze
72'
E. Balde · Assist: A. Dieguez
Radomiak Radom
🟨
75'
Adrián Diéguez
Radomiak Radom
🔄
76'
J. Grzesik ↔ O. Markiewicz
Radomiak Radom
🔄
79'
L. Sadilek ↔ J. Kubicki
Gornik Zabrze
🔄
79'
P. Olkowski ↔ M. Sacek
Gornik Zabrze
80'
S. Soumah · Assist: A. Dieguez
Radomiak Radom
🟨
87'
Zié Ouattara
Radomiak Radom

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Gornik Zabrze Win 78%
Draw 0%
Radomiak Radom Win 22%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gornik Zabrze1.37
Radomiak Radom1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
WWDLW
44 GF / 36 GA
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
WLDWL
50 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
16
BTTS Yes
23
15
Over 2.5
19
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 33 matches
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 33 matches
Gornik Zabrze Statistic Radomiak Radom
15 Wins 11
8 Draws 11
10 Losses 11
44 Goals For 50
36 Goals Against 47
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
16 BTTS Yes 23
22 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 19
7 Over 3.5 14
10 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 6
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.06
15.76 Total Shots 13.79
5.73 Corners 4.61
51.7% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Radomiak Radom. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gornik Zabrze expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Radomiak Radom in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Radomiak Radom having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Gornik Zabrze Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 53 points from 33 games, Gornik Zabrze bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 15 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, with a 44:36 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on O. Sow (7 goals), S. Liseth (7 goals), Maksym Khlan (4 goals), with creative support from Lukáš Ambros (5 assists), J. Kubicki (4 assists), Maksym Khlan (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Radomiak Radom Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Radomiak Radom have collected 44 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses, while the 50:47 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Maurides (8 goals), J. Grzesik (7 goals), Abdoul Tapsoba (6 goals), with creative support from R. Wolski (7 assists), J. Grzesik (5 assists), Zie Ouattara (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Gornik Zabrze won 5 times, Radomiak Radom won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Gornik Zabrze's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3 / Radomiak Radom 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Gornik Zabrze wins 5, draws 4, Radomiak Radom wins 4
Stats
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
Shots on Goal
11
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
48% Ball Possession 52%
25 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 2
9 Blocked Shots 5
15 Shots insidebox 7
10 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
444 Total passes 481
381 Passes accurate 412
4.56 expected_goals 0.86
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Gornik Zabrze
Formation
Radomiak Radom
M. Lubik
M. Lubik
P. Olkowski
P. Olkowski
R. Janicki
R. Janicki
Josema
Josema
E. Janza
🎯
E. Janza
P. Hellebrand
P. Hellebrand
Y. Ikia Dimi
🎯
Y. Ikia Dimi
L. Ambros
L. Ambros
L. Sadilek
⚽ 2 🎯
L. Sadilek
M. Khlan
⚽ 2 🎯
M. Khlan
S. Liseth
🎯
S. Liseth
F. Majchrowicz
F. Majchrowicz
Zie Ouattara
Zie Ouattara
S. Kingue
S. Kingue
A. Dieguez
🎯
A. Dieguez
J. Grzesik
J. Grzesik
C. Donis
C. Donis
V. Lopes
V. Lopes
R. Baro
R. Baro
Luquinhas
Luquinhas
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
Maurides
Maurides
Gornik Zabrze 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
M. Lubik
↓ 57'
G
16
P. Olkowski
↓ 79'
D
26
R. Janicki
D
20
Josema
D
64
E. Janza
⚽ 53' 🎯 42'
D
8
P. Hellebrand
↓ 57'
M
7
Y. Ikia Dimi
🎯 13'
M
18
L. Ambros
M
13
L. Sadilek
⚽ 42' ⚽ 45' 🎯 28' ↓ 79'
M
33
M. Khlan
⚽ 9' ⚽ 13' 🎯 53'
M
23
S. Liseth
⚽ 28' 🎯 45' ↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
99
T. Loska
↑ 57'
G
10
L. Podolski
↑ 69'
F
4
P. Bochniewicz
D
14
J. Kubicki
↑ 79'
M
61
M. Sacek
↑ 79'
D
67
O. Zmrzly
D
28
B. Donio
↑ 57'
M
15
R. Massimo
M
36
M. Rakoczy
M
17
K. Lukoszek
M
77
B. Rupanov
F
Radomiak Radom 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
F. Majchrowicz
G
24
Zie Ouattara
🟨 87'
D
14
S. Kingue
D
26
A. Dieguez
🎯 72' 🎯 80' 🟨 75'
D
13
J. Grzesik
↓ 76'
D
77
C. Donis
M
7
V. Lopes
↓ 46'
M
6
R. Baro
↓ 46'
M
82
Luquinhas
🟨 23'
M
20
Joao Pedro
↓ 61' 🟨 56'
M
25
Maurides
↓ 61' 🟨 23'
F
Substitutes
44
W. Koptas
G
75
M. Jerke
G
21
E. Balde
⚽ 72' ↑ 46'
F
5
J. Blasco
↑ 61'
D
19
S. Soumah
⚽ 80' ↑ 61'
F
16
M. Cichocki
D
2
I. Camara
↑ 46'
M
28
M. Kaput
M
33
O. Markiewicz
↑ 76'
D
17
A. Zabicki
M
Last matches: Gornik Zabrze
21.07.26
UEF
Gornik Zabrze
Fenerbahçe
0
1
L
10.07.26
Fri
Gornik Zabrze
FC Nordsjaelland
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gornik Zabrze
WSG Wattens
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Gornik Zabrze
Red Bull Salzburg
1
2
L
28.06.26
Fri
Gornik Zabrze
Hallescher FC
2
1
W
24.06.26
Fri
Gornik Zabrze
Puszcza Niepołomice
3
0
W
16.05.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
13.05.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
0
0
D
09.05.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
24.04.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
18.04.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
11.04.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
04.04.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Cracovia Krakow
3
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Gornik Zabrze
Górnik Zabrze II
2
1
W
22.03.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Widzew Łódź
0
0
D
15.03.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
3
1
W
08.03.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Motor Lublin
0
0
D
28.02.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
1
3
L
21.02.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
16.02.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Nieciecza
1
1
D
Last matches: Radomiak Radom
18.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Pogoń Siedlce
1
2
L
17.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa II
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
10.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Dynamo Kyiv
2
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
ŁKS Łódź
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2
3
L
16.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
3
L
11.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
04.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
3
1
W
26.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
18.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
11.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
06.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
1
1
D
20.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Piast Gliwice
1
3
L
13.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
1
1
D
08.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
GKS Katowice
0
1
L
05.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
3
1
W
01.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Nieciecza
1
1
D
22.02.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
13.02.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Korona Kielce
0
2
L
H2H: Gornik Zabrze vs Radomiak Radom
23.05.26
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
6
2
W
28.11.25
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
4
0
L
15.02.25
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
3
2
W
25.09.24
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
1
L
09.08.24
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
1
2
W
09.12.23
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
1
1
D
23.07.23
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
2
L
12.02.23
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
30.07.22
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
0
3
W
29.04.22
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
06.11.21
H2H
Radomiak Radom
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
L
22.09.21
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
2
0
W
15.08.20
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
3
3
D
Last matches: Gornik Zabrze
24.06.26
Fri
Gornik Zabrze
Puszcza Niepołomice
3
0
W
09.05.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
18.04.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Korona Kielce
1
0
W
04.04.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Cracovia Krakow
3
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Gornik Zabrze
Górnik Zabrze II
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
3
1
W
21.02.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
07.02.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
31.01.26
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Piast Gliwice
2
1
W
17.01.26
Fri
Gornik Zabrze
Ried
2
1
W
21.11.25
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Wisla Plock
1
1
D
02.11.25
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Arka Gdynia
5
1
W
26.10.25
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
2
1
W
05.10.25
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Legia Warszawa
3
1
W
21.09.25
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Widzew Łódź
3
2
W
30.08.25
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Motor Lublin
0
1
L
23.08.25
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
3
0
W
08.08.25
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Nieciecza
0
1
L
20.07.25
Eks
Gornik Zabrze
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
H2H at home: Gornik Zabrze
23.05.26
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
6
2
W
15.02.25
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
3
2
W
25.09.24
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
1
L
23.07.23
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
2
L
12.02.23
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
29.04.22
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
22.09.21
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
2
0
W
15.08.20
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
3
3
D
Last matches: Radomiak Radom
14.07.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
1
3
L
11.05.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
26.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Wisla Plock
1
0
W
11.04.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Zaglebie Lubin
0
1
L
20.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Piast Gliwice
1
3
L
01.03.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Nieciecza
1
1
D
22.02.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Jagiellonia
1
1
D
08.02.26
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Raków Częstochowa
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Stal Rzeszów
2
1
W
19.01.26
Fri
Radomiak Radom
Portimonense
1
1
D
06.12.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Pogon Szczecin
2
2
D
23.11.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Lech Poznan
1
4
L
03.11.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Lechia Gdansk
2
1
W
17.10.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
2
3
L
29.09.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Motor Lublin
2
2
D
14.09.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
1
4
L
29.08.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
GKS Katowice
2
3
L
08.08.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Korona Kielce
0
3
L
25.07.25
Eks
Radomiak Radom
Arka Gdynia
1
1
D
H2H away: Radomiak Radom
23.05.26
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
6
2
L
15.02.25
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
3
2
L
25.09.24
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
1
W
23.07.23
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
2
W
12.02.23
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
29.04.22
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
0
0
D
22.09.21
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
2
0
L
15.08.20
H2H
Gornik Zabrze
Radomiak Radom
3
3
D

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation