TURKEY 1. LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu
Referee: D. Tonusluoglu
Erzurumspor FK
Match Timeline
Bandırmaspor
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
49'
Benhur Keser
Erzurumspor FK
🔄
61'
M. Rodriguez ↔ Fernando Andrade
Erzurumspor FK
🔄
61'
B. Keser ↔ M. Akpinar
Erzurumspor FK
🔄
66'
J. Amaral ↔ M. Gumuskaya
Bandırmaspor
🔄
76'
M. Fettahoglu ↔ E. Tozlu
Erzurumspor FK
🔄
81'
A. Badji ↔ Y. Esendemir
Bandırmaspor
🔄
81'
E. Acar ↔ E. Cinemre
Bandırmaspor
83'
A. Nukan · Assist: H. Ciftci
Bandırmaspor
🟨
84'
Atınç Nukan
Bandırmaspor
🔄
84'
C. Bayrak ↔ A. Ulgen
Erzurumspor FK
🔄
85'
C. Sylla ↔ H. Yener
Erzurumspor FK
🔄
86'
M. Fall ↔ Y. Midilic
Bandırmaspor
90'
E. Tozlu
Erzurumspor FK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
73.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
81.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Erzurumspor FK Win 72.8%
Draw 0%
Bandırmaspor Win 27.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Erzurumspor FK1.7
Bandırmaspor1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
WWDLW
80 GF / 25 GA
Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor
WLDWL
45 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
2.22
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
16
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
13
4.67
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 36 matches
Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 36 matches
Erzurumspor FK Statistic Bandırmaspor
23 Wins 15
10 Draws 11
3 Losses 10
80 Goals For 45
25 Goals Against 33
2.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
16 BTTS Yes 14
33 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 6
19 Clean Sheets 16
1 Failed To Score 11
4.67 Shots On Goal 3.78
12.17 Total Shots 10.69
4.47 Corners 3.94
55.5% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Bandırmaspor. Erzurumspor FK come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Erzurumspor FK arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 79 points compared to Bandırmaspor in 7 on 56, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Erzurumspor FK expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Bandırmaspor in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bandırmaspor having the stronger overall control.

Erzurumspor FK Analysis

Erzurumspor FK approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 79 points after 36 outings. The return of 23 wins, 10 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 77:24, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through E. Tozlu (19 goals), M. Fettahoglu (10 goals), B. Keser (8 goals), with creative support from S. Akgun (7 assists), E. Tozlu (6 assists), G. Crociata (6 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 11 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Bandırmaspor Analysis

Bandırmaspor are currently 7 in the standings with 56 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, while the 43:33 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Douglas Tanque (12 goals), Leandro Bacuna (9 goals), Atınç Nukan (3 goals), with creative support from M. Gumuskaya (6 assists), D. Ndongala (5 assists), Leandro Bacuna (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Erzurumspor FK won 4 times, Bandırmaspor won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Erzurumspor FK's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Erzurumspor FK 4-1-4-1 / Bandırmaspor 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Erzurumspor FK wins 4, draws 3, Bandırmaspor wins 4
Stats
Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
0
4 Corner Kicks 5
9 Fouls 4
4 Offsides 3
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 0
11 Shots insidebox 2
5 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
533 Total passes 273
482 Passes accurate 208
2.81 expected_goals 0.20
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Erzurumspor FK
Formation
Bandırmaspor
E. Anapa
E. Anapa
O. Ovacikli
O. Ovacikli
M. Yumlu
M. Yumlu
A. Gerxhaliu
A. Gerxhaliu
C. Bayrak
C. Bayrak
B. Baiye
B. Baiye
B. Keser
B. Keser
G. Crociata
G. Crociata
M. Rodriguez
M. Rodriguez
M. Fettahoglu
M. Fettahoglu
C. Sylla
C. Sylla
A. Ozcimen
A. Ozcimen
K. Alici
K. Alici
H. Ciftci
🎯
H. Ciftci
A. Nukan
A. Nukan
E. Aydin
E. Aydin
R. Mulumba
R. Mulumba
M. Albayrak
M. Albayrak
E. Acar
E. Acar
J. Amaral
J. Amaral
A. Badji
A. Badji
M. Fall
M. Fall
Erzurumspor FK 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
E. Anapa
G
53
O. Ovacikli
D
22
M. Yumlu
D
4
A. Gerxhaliu
D
23
C. Bayrak
↓ 84'
D
6
B. Baiye
M
77
B. Keser
↓ 61' 🟨 49'
M
24
G. Crociata
M
65
M. Rodriguez
↓ 61'
M
99
M. Fettahoglu
↓ 76'
M
29
C. Sylla
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
98
K. Moradaoglu
G
2
A. Ulgen
↑ 84'
D
7
I. Sever
F
83
M. Onal
M
10
E. Tozlu
⚽ 90' ↑ 76'
F
9
H. Yener
↑ 85'
F
15
G. Giorbelidze
D
19
Fernando Andrade
↑ 61'
F
11
M. Akpinar
↑ 61'
25
O. Kara
D
Bandırmaspor 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
A. Ozcimen
G
27
K. Alici
D
6
H. Ciftci
🎯 83'
D
33
A. Nukan
⚽ 83' 🟨 84'
D
34
E. Aydin
D
92
R. Mulumba
M
53
M. Albayrak
M
30
E. Acar
↓ 81'
M
24
J. Amaral
↓ 66'
M
29
A. Badji
↓ 81'
M
7
M. Fall
↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
16
A. Alkan
G
35
Y. Zorluer
88
Y. Esendemir
↑ 81'
D
8
E. Cinemre
↑ 81'
M
23
G. Burgaz
D
10
M. Gumuskaya
↑ 66'
M
22
Y. Midilic
↑ 86'
D
Last matches: Erzurumspor FK
02.05.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Çorum FK
1
1
D
19.04.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Bodrum FK
1
1
D
13.04.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Boluspor
2
0
W
09.04.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
İstanbulspor
1
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Iğdır FK
2
1
W
22.03.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Esenler Erokspor
2
0
W
15.03.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Hatayspor
3
0
W
11.03.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Ümraniyespor
1
3
L
07.03.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Manisa F.K.
8
1
W
28.02.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Vanspor FK
3
0
W
22.02.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Serik Spor
4
0
W
18.02.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Keçiörengücü
2
1
W
14.02.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Adana Demirspor
7
0
W
09.02.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Sakaryaspor
1
0
W
31.01.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Sarıyer
4
0
W
24.01.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Pendikspor
2
1
W
18.01.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Amed
2
0
W
11.01.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Sivasspor
2
0
W
28.12.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Çorum FK
1
0
W
20.12.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
2
0
W
Last matches: Bandırmaspor
02.05.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Sivasspor
1
0
W
19.04.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Amed
2
0
W
11.04.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Bodrum FK
0
0
D
07.04.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Sarıyer
0
0
D
03.04.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Çorum FK
1
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Boluspor
0
0
D
16.03.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Iğdır FK
0
0
D
12.03.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Esenler Erokspor
1
1
D
07.03.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
İstanbulspor
1
0
W
01.03.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Ümraniyespor
2
1
W
22.02.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Hatayspor
4
0
W
18.02.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Manisa F.K.
2
3
L
14.02.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Serik Spor
0
3
L
08.02.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Keçiörengücü
1
3
L
01.02.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Vanspor FK
2
0
W
23.01.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Adana Demirspor
3
0
W
17.01.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Pendikspor
4
1
W
10.01.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Sakaryaspor
1
1
D
27.12.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
Sivasspor
0
2
L
20.12.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
2
L
H2H: Erzurumspor FK vs Bandırmaspor
26.04.26
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
1
D
20.12.25
H2H
Bandırmaspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
2
W
15.05.25
H2H
Bandırmaspor
Erzurumspor FK
2
0
L
18.01.25
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
2
0
W
11.08.24
H2H
Bandırmaspor
Erzurumspor FK
3
2
L
13.01.24
H2H
Bandırmaspor
Erzurumspor FK
0
0
D
13.08.23
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
1
D
24.04.23
H2H
Bandırmaspor
Erzurumspor FK
2
4
W
27.11.22
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
2
L
23.01.22
H2H
Bandırmaspor
Erzurumspor FK
2
1
L
29.08.21
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
0
W
Last matches: Erzurumspor FK
13.04.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Boluspor
2
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Iğdır FK
2
1
W
15.03.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Hatayspor
3
0
W
07.03.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Manisa F.K.
8
1
W
22.02.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Serik Spor
4
0
W
14.02.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Adana Demirspor
7
0
W
31.01.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Sarıyer
4
0
W
18.01.26
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Amed
2
0
W
28.12.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Çorum FK
1
0
W
14.12.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Bodrum FK
2
2
D
29.11.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
İstanbulspor
4
0
W
09.11.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Esenler Erokspor
1
1
D
24.10.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Ümraniyespor
2
0
W
04.10.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Vanspor FK
1
1
D
24.09.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Keçiörengücü
1
1
D
15.09.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Sakaryaspor
1
1
D
24.08.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Pendikspor
3
3
D
09.08.25
1.
Erzurumspor FK
Sivasspor
2
0
W
H2H at home: Erzurumspor FK
26.04.26
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
1
D
18.01.25
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
2
0
W
13.08.23
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
1
D
27.11.22
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
2
L
29.08.21
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
0
W
Last matches: Bandırmaspor
11.04.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Bodrum FK
0
0
D
03.04.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Çorum FK
1
0
W
21.03.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Boluspor
0
0
D
12.03.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Esenler Erokspor
1
1
D
01.03.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Ümraniyespor
2
1
W
18.02.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Manisa F.K.
2
3
L
08.02.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Keçiörengücü
1
3
L
23.01.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Adana Demirspor
3
0
W
10.01.26
1.
Bandırmaspor
Sakaryaspor
1
1
D
27.12.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
Sivasspor
0
2
L
13.12.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
Amed
1
2
L
30.11.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
Sarıyer
0
1
L
03.11.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
Iğdır FK
1
1
D
20.10.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
İstanbulspor
1
1
D
28.09.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
Hatayspor
3
0
W
19.09.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
Serik Spor
0
1
L
29.08.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
Vanspor FK
2
1
W
16.08.25
1.
Bandırmaspor
Pendikspor
0
2
L
H2H away: Bandırmaspor
26.04.26
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
1
D
18.01.25
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
2
0
L
13.08.23
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
1
D
27.11.22
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
2
W
29.08.21
H2H
Erzurumspor FK
Bandırmaspor
1
0
L

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2 38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation