Coritiba
Match Timeline
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Coritiba Win 58.8%
Draw 7.5%
Chapecoense-sc Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coritiba1.51
Chapecoense-sc1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coritiba
WWDLW
25 GF / 28 GA
Chapecoense-sc
WLDWL
21 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2
9
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
11
3.33
Shots on Goal
3.3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Coritiba
21 matches
Chapecoense-sc
21 matches
| Coritiba | Statistic | Chapecoense-sc |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 25 | Goals For | 21 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 42 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.3 |
| 10.67 | Total Shots | 12.3 |
| 3.38 | Corners | 3.7 |
| 40.1% | Ball Possession | 42.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 6 times, Chapecoense-sc won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Coritiba's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Coritiba 4-2-3-1 / Chapecoense-sc 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Coritiba wins 6, draws 3, Chapecoense-sc wins 5
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Coritiba
Home
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
Away
|
26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B