Corinthians vs Santos Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
49.4%
|
1.86 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
2.27 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
15.00 |
Corinthians
Santos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Corinthians
33 matches
Santos
24 matches
| Corinthians | Statistic | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 7 |
| 12 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 9 |
| 36 | Goals For | 36 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.84 | Shots On Goal | 3.91 |
| 11.84 | Total Shots | 13.43 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 5.61 |
| 55.3% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Corinthians's more proactive style and Santos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Santos. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Corinthians are currently 9 in the standings with 32 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 25:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Rodrigo Garro (3 goals), Yuri Alberto (3 goals), André Luiz (3 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Garro (6 assists), Yuri Alberto (2 assists), André Luiz (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Santos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 25 points from 22 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 32:35 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gabriel Barbosa (8 goals), Neymar (6 goals), Álvaro Barreal (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Miguelito (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 6 times, Santos won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Corinthians's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Santos
Away
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Corinthians
Home
|
27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
D
|