POLAND › EKSTRAKLASA

15.09.2026 16:00

Raków Częstochowa

2 - 3

Zaglebie Lubin

Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie

Referee: Daniel Stefanski, Poland

Raków Częstochowa

Match Timeline

Zaglebie Lubin

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Raków Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 75.6%

Odds 1.86

BTTS

Yes

Probability 62.8%

Odds 1.75

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 66.7%

Odds 1.85

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	75.6%	1.86	▥
BTTS	Yes	62.8%	1.75	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.7%	1.85	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	68%	1.39	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	2.88	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	8.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Raków Częstochowa Win 75.6%

Draw 5.5%

Zaglebie Lubin Win 18.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Raków Częstochowa1.56

Zaglebie Lubin1.46

Recent Form (Last 5)

Raków Częstochowa

WWDLW

45 GF / 38 GA

Zaglebie Lubin

WLDWL

27 GF / 23 GA

Key Stats

1.8

Average Goals Scored

1.42

1.52

Average Goals Conceded

1.21

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.46

Shots on Goal

3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Raków Częstochowa 25 matches

Zaglebie Lubin 19 matches

Raków Częstochowa	Statistic	Zaglebie Lubin
9	Wins	7
6	Draws	7
10	Losses	5
45	Goals For	27
38	Goals Against	23
1.8	Avg Goals Scored	1.42
1.52	Avg Goals Conceded	1.21
19	BTTS Yes	10
22	Over 1.5	16
17	Over 2.5	10
10	Over 3.5	6
5	Clean Sheets	7
2	Failed To Score	5
3.46	Shots On Goal	3.71
9	Total Shots	13.71
3.77	Corners	4
40.2%	Ball Possession	43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 8 times, Zaglebie Lubin won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:14 from Raków Częstochowa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)

Predicted formations: Raków Częstochowa 3-4-1-2 / Zaglebie Lubin 3-4-3

H2H summary: Raków Częstochowa wins 8, draws 3, Zaglebie Lubin wins 4

Standings

Ekstraklasa

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	16:8	8	22	D W W W W
2	Legia Warszawa	9	5	4	0	19:8	11	19	W D W D D
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	17:7	10	19	W L W W W
4	Wisla Krakow	9	5	2	2	17:12	5	17	W W D W D
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12:6	6	15	W W D D D
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	12:10	2	15	W L W D W
7	Zaglebie Lubin Away	9	4	3	2	11:10	1	15	L W W D D
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16:15	1	13	L W W W D
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	16:13	3	12	W L L W W
10	Jagiellonia	8	4	0	4	12:13	-1	12	L L W L W
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	9:12	-3	11	W W D L L
12	Widzew Łódź	9	1	6	2	13:13	0	9	D D D L D
13	Cracovia Krakow	9	2	2	5	9:14	-5	8	L L L L W
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7:20	-13	8	L L D W D
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	11:15	-4	6	L L L D D
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	9:15	-6	6	D L L L D
17	Wieczysta Kraków	8	1	2	5	11:17	-6	5	D L D L L
18	Raków Częstochowa Home	9	1	0	8	12:21	-9	3	L L W L L

Qualifying

EL Qualification

Play-offs

Relegation