Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Corinthians Win 0%
Draw 0%
Fluminense Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Corinthians1.12
Fluminense1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Corinthians
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
Fluminense
WLDWL
43 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.65
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
12
BTTS Yes
18
6
Over 2.5
14
3.88
Shots on Goal
5.54
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Corinthians
25 matches
Fluminense
26 matches
| Corinthians | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 13 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 27 | Goals For | 43 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.88 | Shots On Goal | 5.54 |
| 12.25 | Total Shots | 14.67 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 4.92 |
| 56.9% | Ball Possession | 60.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 6 times, Fluminense won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:19 from Corinthians's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Corinthians 4-2-3-1 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Corinthians wins 6, draws 4, Fluminense wins 5
Last matches: Corinthians
12.07.26
Fri
Corinthians
Cascavel
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
Last matches: Fluminense
12.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
2
3
L
H2H: Corinthians vs Fluminense
02.04.26
H2H
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
L
14.09.25
H2H
Fluminense
Corinthians
0
1
W
16.04.25
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
0
2
L
18.08.24
H2H
Fluminense
Corinthians
0
0
D
28.04.24
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
3
0
W
20.10.23
H2H
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
3
D
28.05.23
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
2
0
W
27.10.22
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
0
2
L
15.09.22
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
3
0
W
24.08.22
H2H
Fluminense
Corinthians
2
2
D
02.07.22
H2H
Fluminense
Corinthians
4
0
L
14.10.21
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
0
W
27.06.21
H2H
Fluminense
Corinthians
1
1
D
14.01.21
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
5
0
W
13.09.20
H2H
Fluminense
Corinthians
2
1
L
Last matches: Corinthians
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Coritiba
0
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Corinthians
Bahia
1
2
L
H2H at home: Corinthians
16.04.25
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
0
2
L
28.04.24
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
3
0
W
28.05.23
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
2
0
W
27.10.22
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
0
2
L
15.09.22
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
3
0
W
14.10.21
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
0
W
14.01.21
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
5
0
W
Last matches: Fluminense
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
19.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
2
3
L
12.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Remo
2
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Palmeiras
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Bahia
1
1
D
H2H away: Fluminense
16.04.25
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
0
2
W
28.04.24
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
3
0
L
28.05.23
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
2
0
L
27.10.22
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
0
2
W
15.09.22
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
3
0
L
14.10.21
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
0
L
14.01.21
H2H
Corinthians
Fluminense
5
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Fluminense
Away
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 |
Corinthians
Home
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B