SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
15.10.2026 18:00
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Al-Ahli Jeddah Win 0%
Draw 0%
Al-Nassr Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Ahli Jeddah1.59
Al-Nassr1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
WWDLW
21 GF / 22 GA
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr
WLDWL
21 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
7
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
8
4.57
Shots on Goal
6.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 12 matches
Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 11 matches
Al-Ahli Jeddah Statistic Al-Nassr
4 Wins 6
2 Draws 1
6 Losses 4
21 Goals For 21
22 Goals Against 15
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
7 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
4.57 Shots On Goal 6.29
13.14 Total Shots 16.43
3.43 Corners 8.29
44.9% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 2 times, Al-Nassr won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:27 from Al-Ahli Jeddah's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-2-3-1 / Al-Nassr 4-4-2
H2H summary: Al-Ahli Jeddah wins 2, draws 5, Al-Nassr wins 8

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 23:5 18 18
W L W W W
2 7 5 2 0 12:6 6 17
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
D W L W W
4 7 5 1 1 16:8 8 16
D W W W W
5 7 5 0 2 13:6 7 15
W W W L L
6 7 4 0 3 16:10 6 12
W L W L L
7 7 3 3 1 12:10 2 12
L W D W D
8 7 3 2 2 7:5 2 11
D W L W D
9 7 3 2 2 11:11 0 11
D D W L L
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W D D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:16 -8 8
W D L W D
12 7 1 3 3 7:11 -4 6
D L D W D
13 7 0 5 2 3:10 -7 5
D D L L D
14 7 0 4 3 6:11 -5 4
D L L D D
15 7 0 3 4 4:11 -7 3
L L D D D
16 7 0 3 4 5:13 -8 3
L D D L D
17 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D L D
18 7 0 2 5 5:13 -8 2
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1