Avai vs Vila Nova Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
94.7%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
66.8%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
2.57 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.21 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Avai
Vila Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Avai
27 matches
Vila Nova
27 matches
| Avai | Statistic | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 14 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 14 | Losses | 8 |
| 28 | Goals For | 39 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.19 |
| 11.41 | Total Shots | 13.26 |
| 3.7 | Corners | 4.81 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Vila Nova's more proactive style and Avai's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Avai expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control. Vila Nova carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 44 points while Avai sit 17 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vila Nova.
Avai sit 17 with 29 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 28:34 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Daniel Penha (3 goals), Walace dos Santos França (3 goals), Jean Lucas (2 goals), with creative support from Jean Lucas (4 assists), Thayllon Roberth (2 assists), Daniel Penha (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Vila Nova come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 44 points after 26 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a 37:30 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on João Vieira (3 goals), Ryan Lima (3 goals), André Luís (3 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (6 assists), Janderson (5 assists), João Vieira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Avai won 6 times, Vila Nova won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Avai's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vila Nova
Away
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Avai
Home
|
29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|