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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
15.10.2026 22:00
Estadio Sierra Nevada

Union Magdalena vs Ind. Yumbo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds 4.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.97
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.15
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.5%
4.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.97 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.15 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
19.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Magdalena Win 26.1%
Draw 5.4%
Ind. Yumbo Win 68.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Magdalena1.16
Ind. Yumbo1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
WWDLW
48 GF / 34 GA
Ind. Yumbo Ind. Yumbo
WLDWL
29 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
20
BTTS Yes
10
15
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 34 matches
Ind. Yumbo Ind. Yumbo 27 matches
Union Magdalena Statistic Ind. Yumbo
15 Wins 11
10 Draws 10
9 Losses 6
48 Goals For 29
34 Goals Against 21
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
20 BTTS Yes 10
27 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 3
7 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ind. Yumbo. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ind. Yumbo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Union Magdalena arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 52 points after 31 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 44:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Ind. Yumbo Analysis

So far, Ind. Yumbo have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 42 points from 26 matches. The record of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 28:20 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Union Magdalena won 1 times, Ind. Yumbo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Union Magdalena's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: Union Magdalena wins 1, draws 0, Ind. Yumbo wins 0

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 17 9 7 41:29 12 60
D L W W W
2 35 15 12 8 47:32 15 57
D D D W D
3 33 16 9 8 34:25 9 57
L W W L L
4 35 15 11 9 55:41 14 56
D L D D L
5 33 15 9 9 47:33 14 54
D D W D W
6 33 12 10 11 33:27 6 46
D W D W D
7 27 11 10 6 29:21 8 43
D W W L W
8 33 9 12 12 28:35 -7 39
D D L W D
9 33 10 8 15 41:44 -3 38
W D L L L
10 27 9 9 9 33:30 3 36
L W W W W
11 27 9 8 10 30:34 -4 35
D L L L W
12 26 7 10 9 33:34 -1 31
D W W W W
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 27 4 10 13 23:41 -18 22
W L D D L
16 27 4 9 14 18:43 -25 21
D D L L D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)