Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
69.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Columbus Crew
19 matches
FC Cincinnati
25 matches
| Columbus Crew | Statistic | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 11 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 27 | Goals For | 65 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.6 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.04 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.06 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 13.8 |
| 5.25 | Corners | 4.45 |
| 57.4% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Cincinnati. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Cincinnati in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cincinnati having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Columbus Crew have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 16 points from 15 games and a place of 10, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 21:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Hugo Picard (2 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), Mohamed Farsi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, FC Cincinnati have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 20 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 36:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Evander (9 goals), Kévin Denkey (7 goals), Tom Barlow (4 goals), with creative support from Evander (5 assists), Pavel Bucha (4 assists), Ender Echenique (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 7 times, FC Cincinnati won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:20 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Columbus Crew
6
5
5
5
2
2
Lineups
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
Burnley
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
Columbus Crew
Burnley
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43:17 | 26 | 49 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 49:40 | 9 | 39 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38:32 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
FC Cincinnati
Away
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 49:47 | 2 | 31 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 7 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 27 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 31:43 | -12 | 26 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 34:51 | -17 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 31:37 | -6 | 24 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 28:36 | -8 | 24 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 21 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 31:38 | -7 | 21 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 21 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Columbus Crew
Home
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
W
|