🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
ScottsMiracle-Gro Field
Referee: A. Chapman
Columbus Crew
Match Timeline
FC Cincinnati
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
K. Denkey · Assist: Evander
FC Cincinnati
41'
J. Thiare · Assist: D. Chambost
Columbus Crew
45+6'
D. Gazdag
Columbus Crew
🔄
46'
S. Bangoura ↔ A. Gomes
Columbus Crew
🔄
64'
K. Mboma ↔ T. Barlow
FC Cincinnati
🔄
64'
E. Echenique ↔ B. J. Ramirez Leon
FC Cincinnati
🟨
66'
M. Miazga
FC Cincinnati
🔄
70'
D. Chambost ↔ T. Karumanchi
Columbus Crew
🔄
70'
M. Miazga ↔ K. Smith
FC Cincinnati
🔄
70'
K. Denkey ↔ A. Jabbari
FC Cincinnati
🔄
79'
J. Thiare ↔ H. Picard
Columbus Crew
🔄
85'
O. Nwobodo ↔ T. Anunga
FC Cincinnati
🔄
85'
D. Gazdag ↔ C. Adams
Columbus Crew
🔄
85'
S. Moreira ↔ M. Amundsen
Columbus Crew
🟥
90+4'
G. Valenzuela
FC Cincinnati

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.5%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Columbus Crew Win 50.1%
Draw 4.5%
FC Cincinnati Win 45.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Columbus Crew1.67
FC Cincinnati2.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
WWDLW
27 GF / 28 GA
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
WLDWL
65 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
2.6
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
2.04
13
BTTS Yes
17
11
Over 2.5
17
4.06
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 19 matches
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 25 matches
Columbus Crew Statistic FC Cincinnati
5 Wins 11
5 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
27 Goals For 65
28 Goals Against 51
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 2.6
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 2.04
13 BTTS Yes 17
16 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 16
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 2
4.06 Shots On Goal 6
11.5 Total Shots 13.8
5.25 Corners 4.45
57.4% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Cincinnati. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Columbus Crew expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Cincinnati in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cincinnati having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Columbus Crew have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Columbus Crew Analysis

With 16 points from 15 games and a place of 10, Columbus Crew still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 21:23 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Diego Rossi (4 goals), Maximilian Arfsten (3 goals), Hugo Picard (2 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Arfsten (2 assists), Hugo Picard (2 assists), Mohamed Farsi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Cincinnati Analysis

So far, FC Cincinnati have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 20 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 36:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Evander (9 goals), Kévin Denkey (7 goals), Tom Barlow (4 goals), with creative support from Evander (5 assists), Pavel Bucha (4 assists), Ender Echenique (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Columbus Crew won 7 times, FC Cincinnati won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:20 from Columbus Crew's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Columbus Crew 4-4-2 / FC Cincinnati 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Columbus Crew 3, FC Cincinnati 0
H2H summary: Columbus Crew wins 7, draws 4, FC Cincinnati wins 4
Stats
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
4 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 2
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 6
6 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
532 Total passes 462
482 Passes accurate 408
2.29 expected_goals 0.84
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Columbus Crew
Formation
FC Cincinnati
Patrick Schulte
Patrick Schulte
Steven Moreira
Steven Moreira
Rudy Camacho
Rudy Camacho
Sean Zawadzki
Sean Zawadzki
Mohamed Farsi
Mohamed Farsi
Dylan Chambost
🎯
Dylan Chambost
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
Maximilian Arfsten
Maximilian Arfsten
Taha Habroune
Taha Habroune
Dániel Gazdag
Dániel Gazdag
Jamal Thiaré
Jamal Thiaré
Roman Celentano
Roman Celentano
Samuel Gidi
Samuel Gidi
Matt Miazga
Matt Miazga
Miles Robinson
Miles Robinson
Pavel Bucha
Pavel Bucha
Gerardo Valenzuela
Gerardo Valenzuela
Obinna Nwobodo
Obinna Nwobodo
Ender Echenique
Ender Echenique
Kenji Mboma Dem
Kenji Mboma Dem
Kévin Denkey
Kévin Denkey
Evander
🎯
Evander
Columbus Crew 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
28
Patrick Schulte
G
31
Steven Moreira
↓ 85'
D
4
Rudy Camacho
D
25
Sean Zawadzki
D
23
Mohamed Farsi
M
7
Dylan Chambost
🎯 41' ↓ 70'
M
17
Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
↓ 46'
M
27
Maximilian Arfsten
M
16
Taha Habroune
F
8
Dániel Gazdag
⚽ 45+6' ↓ 85'
F
19
Jamal Thiaré
⚽ 41' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
20
André Gomes
↑ 46'
M
50
Tarun Karumanchi
↑ 70'
M
30
Hugo Picard
↑ 79'
M
18
Malte Amundsen
↑ 85'
D
46
Chase Adams
F
1
Nicholas Hagen
G
12
Cesar Ruvalcaba
D
45
Owen Presthus
D
14
Amar Sejdic
M
90
Nariman Akhundzade
F
FC Cincinnati 3-4-3
Starting XI
18
Roman Celentano
G
11
Samuel Gidi
D
21
Matt Miazga
↓ 70' 🟨 66'
D
12
Miles Robinson
D
20
Pavel Bucha
M
22
Gerardo Valenzuela
🟥 90+4'
M
5
Obinna Nwobodo
↓ 85'
M
66
Ender Echenique
↓ 64'
M
17
Kenji Mboma Dem
↓ 64'
F
9
Kévin Denkey
⚽ 9' ↓ 70'
F
10
Evander
🎯 9'
F
Substitutes
29
Bryan Ramirez
↑ 64'
D
16
Tom Barlow
↑ 64'
F
24
Kyle Smith
↑ 70'
D
99
Ayoub Jabbari
↑ 70'
F
27
Tah Anunga
↑ 85'
M
13
Evan Louro
G
2
Alvas Powell
D
4
Nick Hagglund
D
15
Teenage Hadebe
D
Last matches: Columbus Crew
23.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
2
3
L
19.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
L
15.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1
3
L
01.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Inter Miami
2
2
D
22.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Burnley
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
1
1
D
13.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York Red Bulls
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New England Revolution
1
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
3
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Toronto FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
01.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Sporting Kansas City
2
2
D
Last matches: FC Cincinnati
22.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
19.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
2
1
W
15.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
San Jose Earthquakes
4
2
W
22.07.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
3
W
10.07.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Burnley
3
1
W
23.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
6
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
3
3
D
13.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
3
5
L
09.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
25.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
4
L
22.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
4
3
W
20.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
15.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
1
6
L
13.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
H2H: Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati
25.07.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
1
W
08.11.25
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
2
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
4
0
W
27.10.25
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
1
0
L
12.07.25
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
2
4
W
17.05.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
14.09.24
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
11.05.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
1
2
L
02.12.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
2
3
W
20.08.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
3
0
W
20.05.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
3
2
L
27.08.22
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
17.07.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
0
W
27.08.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
3
2
W
09.07.21
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew
2
2
D
Last matches: Columbus Crew
19.08.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
CF Montreal
1
2
L
22.07.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
New York City FC
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Columbus Crew
Burnley
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
02.05.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Minnesota United FC
2
3
L
25.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Los Angeles Galaxy
2
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
Columbus Crew
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
H2H at home: Columbus Crew
25.07.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
4
0
W
17.05.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
11.05.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
1
2
L
20.08.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
3
0
W
17.07.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
0
W
27.08.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
3
2
W
Last matches: FC Cincinnati
15.08.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
3
3
D
09.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
22.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
4
4
D
11.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
4
L
20.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
15.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
1
6
L
28.02.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
0
1
L
19.02.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
4
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
2
3
L
28.01.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
1
1
D
H2H away: FC Cincinnati
25.07.26
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
4
0
L
17.05.25
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
11.05.24
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
1
2
W
20.08.23
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
3
0
L
17.07.22
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
2
0
L
27.08.21
H2H
Columbus Crew
FC Cincinnati
3
2
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 4 2 43:17 26 49
W W W D L
2 21 11 6 4 49:40 9 39
L D L D W
3 20 11 3 6 37:26 11 36
D W W W L
4 21 10 4 7 33:26 7 34
D W L L D
5 21 9 5 7 38:32 6 32
W D W L W
6 21 8 7 6 49:47 2 31
D W D W L
7 21 7 6 8 35:30 5 27
D L L D W
8 21 7 5 9 31:43 -12 26
D L L W L
9 21 7 3 11 34:51 -17 24
W L D L W
10 21 5 9 7 31:37 -6 24
W D W D L
11 21 5 9 7 28:36 -8 24
L L D D W
12 21 6 3 12 25:36 -11 21
W W W L L
13 21 5 6 10 31:38 -7 21
D D W W W
14 21 5 6 10 29:39 -10 21
D W D D L
15 21 5 5 11 30:36 -6 20
L L L D W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Columbus Crew 3 missing
-
A. Gomes
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
W. Abou Ali
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Lennon
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
FC Cincinnati 0 missing
No missing players data