26.08.2026 00:30
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Referee: D. Herrera
Independiente del Valle
Match Timeline
Deportes Tolima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
58'
Adrián Parra
Deportes Tolima
59'
D. A. Romero Padilla
Independiente del Valle
🔄
62'
S. Aguayo ↔ E. Lopez
Deportes Tolima
🔄
62'
J. Mosquera ↔ K. Florez
Deportes Tolima
🟨
65'
Homer Martinez
Deportes Tolima
🔄
67'
H. Quintana ↔ R. Briones
Independiente del Valle
70'
C. Gonzalez · Assist: D. A. Romero Padilla
Independiente del Valle
🟨
74'
Junior Sornoza
Independiente del Valle
🔄
76'
E. Pata ↔ J. Angulo
Independiente del Valle
🔄
76'
A. Parra Osorio ↔ L. Sanchez
Deportes Tolima
🔄
76'
H. E. Martinez Yepez ↔ J. Angulo
Deportes Tolima
🟨
80'
Sebastián Guzmán
Deportes Tolima
🔄
82'
J. Sornoza ↔ J. Mendez
Independiente del Valle
🔄
82'
C. Gonzalez ↔ D. Reasco
Independiente del Valle
🔄
82'
A. Rodriguez ↔ M. Perello
Independiente del Valle
84'
J. Hernandez
Deportes Tolima
90'
M. Perello · Assist: R. Briones
Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Independiente del Valle Win 68.6%
Draw 3.9%
Deportes Tolima Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente del Valle1.72
Deportes Tolima1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
WWDLW
77 GF / 34 GA
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
WLDWL
49 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
2.26
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
17
BTTS Yes
15
21
Over 2.5
15
6.06
Shots on Goal
4.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 34 matches
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 39 matches
Independiente del Valle Statistic Deportes Tolima
27 Wins 17
2 Draws 10
5 Losses 12
77 Goals For 49
34 Goals Against 36
2.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
17 BTTS Yes 15
28 Over 1.5 25
21 Over 2.5 15
15 Over 3.5 8
14 Clean Sheets 16
4 Failed To Score 13
6.06 Shots On Goal 4.64
17.24 Total Shots 12.62
6.06 Corners 4.74
53.1% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 2 times, Deportes Tolima won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Independiente del Valle 4-1-4-1 / Deportes Tolima 4-4-2
H2H summary: Independiente del Valle wins 2, draws 1, Deportes Tolima wins 1

Standings

Group H
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W L W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:1 8 13
L W W W W
3 6 3 0 3 7:11 -4 9
W L W L L
4 6 0 0 6 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals