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15.10.2026 02:30
Dignity Health Sports Park
Referee: C. Penso
Los Angeles Galaxy
Match Timeline
Portland Timbers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
M. Reus · Assist: R. Taylor
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
29'
Pablo Ruíz
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
31'
Sergi Roberto
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
38'
Jímer Fory
Portland Timbers
🟨
47'
Justin Haak
Los Angeles Galaxy
🟨
62'
Kristoffer Velde
Portland Timbers
🔄
63'
J. Fory ↔ I. Smith
Portland Timbers
🔄
72'
J. Paintsil ↔ H. Miller
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
72'
R. Taylor ↔ E. Thommy
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
72'
S. Roberto ↔ L. Sanabria
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
74'
J. Caicedo ↔ E. Izoita
Portland Timbers
🔄
74'
V. Janssen ↔ A. Aravena
Portland Timbers
⚽
80'
J. Haak · Assist: M. Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
81'
J. Ortiz ↔ D. Chara
Portland Timbers
🔄
81'
A. Lassiter ↔ O. Fernandez
Portland Timbers
🟨
82'
David Pereira Da Costa
Portland Timbers
🔄
82'
M. Reus ↔ E. Wynder
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
86'
C. Garces ↔ M. Yoshida
Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 63.8%
Draw 5.3%
Portland Timbers Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Angeles Galaxy1.66
Portland Timbers1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
L W W D L
9 GF / 14 GA
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
D L L L D
7 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
1.79
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.91
27
BTTS Yes
25
28
Over 2.5
24
5.11
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 43 matches
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 33 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Statistic Portland Timbers
16 Wins 10
12 Draws 8
15 Losses 15
64 Goals For 59
68 Goals Against 63
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.91
27 BTTS Yes 25
37 Over 1.5 30
28 Over 2.5 24
13 Over 3.5 17
11 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 7
5.11 Shots On Goal 4.54
13.14 Total Shots 13.46
5.31 Corners 4.79
48.7% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Portland Timbers. Portland Timbers arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

So far, Los Angeles Galaxy have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 36 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 37:44 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Reus (6 goals), J. Paintsil (5 goals), Gabriel Pec (4 goals), with creative support from M. Reus (4 assists), Gabriel Pec (2 assists), J. Paintsil (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 32 points from 27 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 48:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), K. Velde (6 goals), David Pereira da Costa (3 goals), with creative support from David Pereira da Costa (7 assists), K. Velde (5 assists), C. Bassett (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 5 times, Portland Timbers won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:31 from Los Angeles Galaxy's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
Predicted formations: Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2-3-1 / Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Los Angeles Galaxy 2, Portland Timbers 6
H2H summary: Los Angeles Galaxy wins 5, draws 5, Portland Timbers wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 19 7 8 74:34 40 64
W W W L W
2 33 15 10 8 59:50 9 55
D L W D W
3 33 14 10 9 56:48 8 52
W D L D D
4 33 14 9 10 58:48 10 51
L L L L D
5 33 14 9 10 43:42 1 51
L W D D D
6 33 12 11 10 51:38 13 47
L D D W D
7 33 11 11 11 49:55 -6 44
W D D W L
8 33 12 7 14 60:61 -1 43
W W W D L
9 33 12 7 14 46:47 -1 43
L D W D D
10 33 11 10 12 42:45 -3 43
L L D D L
11 33 12 6 15 51:51 0 42
L W W W D
12 33 10 11 12 53:57 -4 41
W W D W D
13 33 9 11 13 57:62 -5 38
W L D D D
14 33 8 10 15 42:63 -21 34
L L W L L
15 33 6 5 22 39:81 -42 23
D L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)