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15.10.2026 01:30
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Referee: V. Rivas
Colorado Rapids
Match Timeline
Minnesota United FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Darren Yapi
Colorado Rapids
⚽
45'
D. Yapi · Assist: K. Rosenberry
Colorado Rapids
⚽
52'
K. Yeboah
Minnesota United FC
🔄
60'
P. Aaronson ↔ J. Atencio
Colorado Rapids
🔄
60'
K. Rosenberry ↔ S. Abu Farkhi
Colorado Rapids
🔄
65'
M. Caldeira ↔ M. Gonzalez
Minnesota United FC
VAR
67'
Saied Abu Farchi
Colorado Rapids
🟥
68'
Saied Abu Farchi
Colorado Rapids
🔄
70'
D. Yapi ↔ G. Minoungou
Colorado Rapids
🔄
72'
D. Phillip ↔ K. Thompson
Colorado Rapids
🔄
72'
M. Whittaker ↔ I. Sadiq
Colorado Rapids
⚽
74'
G. Minoungou
Colorado Rapids
🟨
79'
Miguel Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🔄
82'
T. Chancalay ↔ A. Jackson
Minnesota United FC
🔄
82'
B. Hlongwane ↔ J. Pereyra
Minnesota United FC
🔄
82'
W. Trapp ↔ N. Triantis
Minnesota United FC
⚽
83'
L. Williams
Minnesota United FC
🟨
87'
Owen Gene
Minnesota United FC
🔄
90+4'
J. Diaz ↔ N. Romero
Minnesota United FC

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colorado Rapids Win 69.3%
Draw 4.3%
Minnesota United FC Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids1.55
Minnesota United FC1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
D L D W D
8 GF / 8 GA
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
D L L L L
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
17
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
20
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 32 matches
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 31 matches
Colorado Rapids Statistic Minnesota United FC
12 Wins 8
5 Draws 10
15 Losses 13
46 Goals For 46
48 Goals Against 53
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
17 BTTS Yes 21
22 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 20
12 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 6
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.86
12.21 Total Shots 13.54
5 Corners 5.32
55.7% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Minnesota United FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colorado Rapids expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Minnesota United FC in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Minnesota United FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Minnesota United FC.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Colorado Rapids have collected 36 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 38:38 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Rafael Navarro (11 goals), P. Aaronson (4 goals), K. Thompson (2 goals), with creative support from P. Aaronson (5 assists), Georgi Minoungou (2 assists), Rafael Navarro (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Minnesota United FC Analysis

Minnesota United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 29 points from 27 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats with a 40:49 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Yeboah (10 goals), A. Markanich (7 goals), Marcus Caldeira (4 goals), with creative support from Joaquín Pereyra (7 assists), T. Chancalay (3 assists), K. Yeboah (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colorado Rapids won 6 times, Minnesota United FC won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:29 from Colorado Rapids's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
Predicted formations: Colorado Rapids 4-3-3 / Minnesota United FC 3-4-1-2
Missing players: Colorado Rapids 5, Minnesota United FC 3
H2H summary: Colorado Rapids wins 6, draws 2, Minnesota United FC wins 7

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 19 7 8 74:34 40 64
W W W L W
2 33 15 10 8 59:50 9 55
D L W D W
3 33 14 10 9 56:48 8 52
W D L D D
4 33 14 9 10 58:48 10 51
L L L L D
5 33 14 9 10 43:42 1 51
L W D D D
6 33 12 11 10 51:38 13 47
L D D W D
7 33 11 11 11 49:55 -6 44
W D D W L
8 33 12 7 14 60:61 -1 43
W W W D L
9 33 12 7 14 46:47 -1 43
L D W D D
10 33 11 10 12 42:45 -3 43
L L D D L
11 33 12 6 15 51:51 0 42
L W W W D
12 33 10 11 12 53:57 -4 41
W W D W D
13 33 9 11 13 57:62 -5 38
W L D D D
14 33 8 10 15 42:63 -21 34
L L W L L
15 33 6 5 22 39:81 -42 23
D L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)