Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
90.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chapecoense-sc
23 matches
Sao Paulo
22 matches
| Chapecoense-sc | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 13 | Losses | 9 |
| 25 | Goals For | 27 |
| 47 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 2.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.27 | Shots On Goal | 4.05 |
| 12.27 | Total Shots | 12.36 |
| 3.77 | Corners | 6.36 |
| 42.8% | Ball Possession | 54.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Sao Paulo's more proactive style and Chapecoense-sc's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sao Paulo. Sao Paulo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 26 points while Chapecoense-sc sit 20 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Chapecoense-sc sit 20 with 10 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 20:43, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Walter Clar (3 goals), Jean Carlos (2 goals), Marcinho (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Pacheco (3 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Walter Clar (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sao Paulo sit 12 with 26 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats with a 26:25 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Luciano (5 goals), Jonathan Calleri (5 goals), Ferreirinha (4 goals), with creative support from Wendell (3 assists), Luciano (2 assists), Jonathan Calleri (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 4 times, Sao Paulo won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Chapecoense-sc's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45:21 | 24 | 52 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 48:21 | 27 | 48 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 45 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 42 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 37:30 | 7 | 40 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 39 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 29:25 | 4 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 34 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 30 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
Home
|
24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25:49 | -24 | 14 |
L
W
D
L
D
|