Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Chapecoense-sc Win 0%
Draw 0%
Bahia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chapecoense-sc1.08
Bahia1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chapecoense-sc
WWDLW
21 GF / 42 GA
Bahia
WLDWL
35 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.4
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
13
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
12
3.3
Shots on Goal
4.43
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chapecoense-sc
21 matches
Bahia
25 matches
| Chapecoense-sc | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 7 |
| 21 | Goals For | 35 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.3 | Shots On Goal | 4.43 |
| 12.3 | Total Shots | 12.96 |
| 3.7 | Corners | 5.52 |
| 42.2% | Ball Possession | 53.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Chapecoense-sc won 5 times, Bahia won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Chapecoense-sc's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.85 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Chapecoense-sc 4-5-1 / Bahia 4-3-3
H2H summary: Chapecoense-sc wins 5, draws 4, Bahia wins 4
Last matches: Chapecoense-sc
25.07.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
2
2
D
23.07.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
0
4
L
17.07.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Palmeiras
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
2
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
1
4
L
12.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
0
4
L
22.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Internacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
0
0
D
16.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
3
3
D
05.02.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
Last matches: Bahia
30.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
0
0
D
26.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
1
1
D
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
17.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Atletico Torque
4
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Botafogo
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Gremio
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Santos
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Palmeiras
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
18.03.26
Ser
Bahia
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Vitoria
1
1
D
H2H: Chapecoense-sc vs Bahia
17.07.26
H2H
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
L
01.10.22
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
3
1
W
14.06.22
H2H
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
0
1
W
24.10.21
H2H
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
3
0
L
04.07.21
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
0
2
L
07.11.19
H2H
Bahia
Chapecoense-SC
1
1
D
28.07.19
H2H
Chapecoense-SC
Bahia
0
0
D
04.11.18
H2H
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
1
0
L
19.07.18
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
1
1
D
26.11.17
H2H
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
0
1
W
02.08.17
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
1
1
D
12.10.14
H2H
Bahia
Chapecoense-sc
0
1
W
01.06.14
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
2
1
W
Last matches: Chapecoense-sc
23.07.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Flamengo
0
4
L
17.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Remo
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
RB Bragantino
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
1
4
L
05.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Vitoria
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico-MG
0
4
L
20.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Corinthians
0
0
D
16.03.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Gremio
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
3
3
D
28.01.26
Ser
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
4
2
W
H2H at home: Chapecoense-sc
01.10.22
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
3
1
W
04.07.21
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
0
2
L
19.07.18
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
1
1
D
02.08.17
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
1
1
D
01.06.14
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
2
1
W
Last matches: Bahia
30.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Fluminense
0
0
D
21.07.26
Ser
Bahia
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Bahia
Fluminense
0
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Coritiba
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Bahia
Sao Paulo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Flamengo
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Bahia
Mirassol
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Remo
1
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
Bahia
Internacional
1
0
W
18.02.26
CON
Bahia
O'Higgins
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Bahia
Corinthians
2
1
W
H2H away: Bahia
01.10.22
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
3
1
L
04.07.21
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
0
2
W
28.07.19
H2H
Chapecoense-SC
Bahia
0
0
D
19.07.18
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
1
1
D
02.08.17
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
1
1
D
01.06.14
H2H
Chapecoense-sc
Bahia
2
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 |
Bahia
Away
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
Home
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B