Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
33.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
26%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Carrarese
Cesena
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Carrarese
37 matches
Cesena
37 matches
| Carrarese | Statistic | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 12 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 15 |
| 46 | Goals For | 42 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.95 | Shots On Goal | 3.89 |
| 13.03 | Total Shots | 12.97 |
| 5.54 | Corners | 4.73 |
| 49.9% | Ball Possession | 50% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cesena. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Carrarese expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Cesena in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cesena having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Carrarese are currently 10 in the standings with 43 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 13 draws, and 13 losses, while the 46:50 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Abiuso (11 goals), N. Schiavi (6 goals), Luis Hasa (5 goals), with creative support from S. Zanon (6 assists), F. Abiuso (5 assists), Emanuele Zuelli (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Cesena sit 9 with 45 points after 36 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, while the 42:52 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Shpendi (10 goals), R. Ciervo (5 goals), Gianluca Frabotta (4 goals), with creative support from T. Berti (7 assists), C. Shpendi (4 assists), R. Ciervo (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Carrarese won 3 times, Cesena won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:17 from Carrarese's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.
Carrarese
3
2
9
2
11
2
Lineups
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
Frosinone
Carrarese
Pescara
Carrarese
Reggiana
Carrarese
Spezia
Carrarese
Bari
Carrarese
Sampdoria
Carrarese
Juve Stabia
Carrarese
Palermo
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Mantova
Carrarese
Monza
Carrarese
Modena
Carrarese
Padova
Carrarese
Sudtirol
Carrarese
Venezia
Carrarese
Empoli
Carrarese
Avellino
Carrarese
Bari
Carrarese
Mantova
Cesena
Padova
Cesena
Sampdoria
Cesena
Palermo
Cesena
Juve Stabia
Cesena
Sudtirol
Cesena
Catanzaro
Cesena
Mantova
Cesena
Frosinone
Cesena
Modena
Cesena
Monza
Cesena
Empoli
Cesena
Spezia
Cesena
Venezia
Cesena
Virtus Entella
Cesena
Pescara
Cesena
Avellino
Cesena
Bari
Cesena
Reggiana
Cesena
Empoli
Cesena
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Pescara
Carrarese
Spezia
Carrarese
Sampdoria
Carrarese
Palermo
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Monza
Carrarese
Sudtirol
Carrarese
Empoli
Carrarese
Bari
Carrarese
Mantova
Carrarese
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
Reggiana
Carrarese
Frosinone
Carrarese
Venezia
Carrarese
Juve Stabia
Carrarese
Modena
Carrarese
Avellino
Carrarese
Padova
Cesena
Palermo
Cesena
Juve Stabia
Cesena
Mantova
Cesena
Modena
Cesena
Empoli
Cesena
Virtus Entella
Cesena
Avellino
Cesena
Reggiana
Cesena
Catanzaro
Cesena
Padova
Cesena
Monza
Cesena
Bari
Cesena
Sudtirol
Cesena
Spezia
Cesena
Frosinone
Cesena
Venezia
Cesena
Sampdoria
Cesena
Pescara