ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Brunton Park
Carlisle
Match Timeline
Brackley Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
L. Armstrong · Assist: D. Ajiboye
Carlisle
31'
J. Ellis
Carlisle
🟨
44'
A. Elliott-Wheeler
Brackley Town
🟨
52'
S. Pollock
Brackley Town
🔄
62'
D. Ajiboye ↔ J. Luamba
Carlisle
🔄
62'
L. Armstrong ↔ C. Wyke
Carlisle
🔄
63'
J. Williams ↔ H. Atkinson
Carlisle
🔄
73'
B. Wodskou ↔ C. Hall
Brackley Town
🔄
73'
S. Pollock ↔ Z. Brown
Brackley Town
🔄
73'
A. Elliott-Wheeler ↔ R. Haynes
Brackley Town
🔄
74'
S. Wearne ↔ C. Conn-Clarke
Carlisle
🔄
81'
M. Lowe ↔ K. Morrison
Brackley Town
🔄
81'
Z. Lilly ↔ M. Nottingham
Brackley Town
🔄
85'
E. Yeboah ↔ G. Kelly
Carlisle
90'
G. Kelly · Assist: C. Conn-Clarke
Carlisle

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
51.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Carlisle Win 100%
Draw 0%
Brackley Town Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Carlisle1.8
Brackley Town1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Carlisle Carlisle
WWDLW
95 GF / 61 GA
Brackley Town Brackley Town
WLDWL
53 GF / 84 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.04
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
27
BTTS Yes
28
31
Over 2.5
23
3
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Carlisle Carlisle 50 matches
Brackley Town Brackley Town 51 matches
Carlisle Statistic Brackley Town
31 Wins 11
8 Draws 15
11 Losses 25
95 Goals For 53
61 Goals Against 84
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
27 BTTS Yes 28
41 Over 1.5 38
31 Over 2.5 23
17 Over 3.5 13
17 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 18
3 Shots On Goal 2
6 Total Shots 6.67
5 Corners 3
21% Ball Possession 25.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Carlisle's more proactive style and Brackley Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Carlisle arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 92 points compared to Brackley Town in 21 on 42, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Brackley Town arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Brackley Town. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Brackley Town having the stronger overall control.

Carlisle Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 92 points from 45 games, Carlisle bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 28 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 83:51, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Linney (19 goals), G. Kelly (12 goals), L. Armstrong (10 goals), with creative support from R. Linney (10 assists), C. Conn-Clarke (7 assists), J. Ellis (7 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 14 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Brackley Town Analysis

With 42 points from 45 games and a place of 21, Brackley Town still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 12 draws, and 23 losses, together with goals at 38:71, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Byrne (7 goals), C. Hall (6 goals), M. Roberts (5 goals), with creative support from M. Roberts (3 assists), T. Lyttle (3 assists), Z. Lilly (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 14 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Carlisle won 2 times, Brackley Town won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from Carlisle's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
H2H summary: Carlisle wins 2, draws 0, Brackley Town wins 0

Lineups

Carlisle
Formation
Brackley Town
A. Mair
A. Mair
J. Williams
J. Williams
B. Mugabi
B. Mugabi
A. Hayden
A. Hayden
R. Galvin
R. Galvin
C. Whelan
C. Whelan
J. Ellis
J. Ellis
D. Ajiboye
🎯
D. Ajiboye
S. Wearne
S. Wearne
E. Yeboah
E. Yeboah
L. Armstrong
L. Armstrong
H. Rhone
H. Rhone
T. Lyttle
T. Lyttle
G. Dean
G. Dean
Z. Lilly
Z. Lilly
M. Lowe
M. Lowe
C. Tripp
C. Tripp
S. Byrne
S. Byrne
A. Elliott-Wheeler
A. Elliott-Wheeler
S. Pollock
S. Pollock
M. Roberts
M. Roberts
B. Wodskou
B. Wodskou
Carlisle 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
A. Mair
22
J. Williams
↓ 63'
26
B. Mugabi
6
A. Hayden
12
R. Galvin
8
C. Whelan
18
J. Ellis
⚽ 31'
7
D. Ajiboye
🎯 6' ↓ 62'
16
S. Wearne
↓ 74'
25
E. Yeboah
↓ 85'
29
L. Armstrong
⚽ 6' ↓ 62'
Substitutes
2
A. Davies
3
C. Harper
9
G. Kelly
⚽ 90' ↑ 85'
11
J. Luamba
↑ 62'
23
C. Wyke
↑ 62'
31
H. Atkinson
↑ 63'
38
C. Conn-Clarke
🎯 90' ↑ 74'
Brackley Town 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
30
H. Rhone
2
T. Lyttle
6
G. Dean
19
Z. Lilly
↓ 81'
11
M. Lowe
↓ 81'
34
C. Tripp
23
S. Byrne
17
A. Elliott-Wheeler
↓ 73' 🟨 44'
7
S. Pollock
↓ 73' 🟨 52'
10
M. Roberts
15
B. Wodskou
↓ 73'
Substitutes
1
J. Maxted
13
A. Worby
5
K. Morrison
↑ 81'
27
C. Hall
↑ 73'
8
Z. Brown
↑ 73'
37
R. Haynes
↑ 73'
12
M. Nottingham
↑ 81'
Last matches: Carlisle
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
14.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
3
1
W
10.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
3
2
W
07.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Rochdale
0
1
L
31.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Altrincham
3
1
W
21.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
York
0
3
L
17.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Solihull Moors
3
3
D
Last matches: Brackley Town
18.04.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Aldershot Town
2
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Scunthorpe
0
1
L
06.04.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Boston United
1
1
D
03.04.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Forest Green
0
4
L
28.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Tamworth
0
1
L
24.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Braintree
1
1
D
21.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
York
0
4
L
17.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Solihull Moors
1
1
D
14.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Woking
1
4
L
10.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Eastleigh
1
2
L
07.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Boreham Wood
3
5
L
03.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Rochdale
2
3
L
28.02.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Altrincham
0
2
L
24.02.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Wealdstone
1
2
L
21.02.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Southend
0
3
L
14.02.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Gateshead
2
1
W
11.02.26
Nat
Brackley Town
FC Halifax Town
1
1
D
31.01.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Sutton Utd
1
1
D
24.01.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Hartlepool
0
0
D
20.01.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Truro City
3
3
D
H2H: Carlisle vs Brackley Town
25.04.26
H2H
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
03.09.25
H2H
Brackley Town
Carlisle
0
1
W
Last matches: Carlisle
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
10.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
3
2
W
31.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Altrincham
3
1
W
21.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
York
0
3
L
03.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Wealdstone
2
0
W
30.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
1
0
W
10.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Woking
1
3
L
29.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
2
1
W
15.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
1
1
D
04.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
2
0
W
18.10.25
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
4
2
W
11.10.25
FA
Carlisle
Boston United
5
2
W
01.10.25
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
3
1
W
27.09.25
Nat
Carlisle
Rochdale
0
2
L
13.09.25
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
H2H at home: Carlisle
25.04.26
H2H
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
Last matches: Brackley Town
11.04.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Scunthorpe
0
1
L
03.04.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Forest Green
0
4
L
21.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
York
0
4
L
10.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Eastleigh
1
2
L
07.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Boreham Wood
3
5
L
03.03.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Rochdale
2
3
L
24.02.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Wealdstone
1
2
L
14.02.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Gateshead
2
1
W
31.01.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Sutton Utd
1
1
D
20.01.26
Nat
Brackley Town
Truro City
3
3
D
10.01.26
FA
Brackley Town
Walton & Hersham
0
1
L
30.12.25
Nat
Brackley Town
Boston United
2
1
W
13.12.25
FA
Brackley Town
Boreham Wood
3
3
D
29.11.25
Nat
Brackley Town
Woking
0
2
L
18.11.25
Nat
Brackley Town
Morecambe
0
2
L
15.11.25
Nat
Brackley Town
Altrincham
1
2
L
05.11.25
Nat
Brackley Town
Braintree
1
0
W
25.10.25
Nat
Brackley Town
Southend
0
2
L
11.10.25
FA
Brackley Town
Woking
1
1
D
04.10.25
Nat
Brackley Town
FC Halifax Town
0
2
L
H2H away: Brackley Town
25.04.26
H2H
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
L

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation