Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
49.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Carlisle
51 matches
Boreham Wood
52 matches
| Carlisle | Statistic | Boreham Wood |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Wins | 31 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 11 | Losses | 11 |
| 98 | Goals For | 108 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 66 |
| 1.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.08 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 42 | Over 1.5 | 46 |
| 32 | Over 2.5 | 38 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 20 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 21 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 6 | Total Shots | 19.5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 21% | Ball Possession | 58% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Boreham Wood have the edge after taking the first leg 2-0, leaving Carlisle needing to respond to a 2-goal deficit. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Boreham Wood. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Boreham Wood having the stronger overall control. Boreham Wood look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Ahead of this knockout test, Carlisle arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 95 points after 46 matches. Their record of 29 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats with goals at 87:51 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking weight falls on R. Linney (19 goals), G. Kelly (13 goals), L. Armstrong (11 goals), with creative support from R. Linney (10 assists), C. Conn-Clarke (8 assists), J. Ellis (7 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 15 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Boreham Wood come into this tie placed 4 in their league with 90 points from 46 matches. Their record of 27 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats with goals at 95:58 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking weight falls on M. Rush (25 goals), Z. Brunt (16 goals), A. Abdulmalik (13 goals), with creative support from Z. Brunt (12 assists), A. Abdulmalik (8 assists), E. Sousa (7 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Carlisle won 1 times, Boreham Wood won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Carlisle's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Lineups
Carlisle
Brackley Town
Carlisle
Truro City
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
Carlisle
Morecambe
Carlisle
Gateshead
Carlisle
Braintree
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
Carlisle
Boston United
Carlisle
Tamworth
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
Carlisle
Southend
Carlisle
Eastleigh
Carlisle
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
Carlisle
Forest Green
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
Carlisle
Rochdale
Carlisle
Altrincham
Carlisle
York
Carlisle
Solihull Moors
Boreham Wood
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
Forest Green
Boreham Wood
Sutton Utd
Boreham Wood
Morecambe
Boreham Wood
Hartlepool
Boreham Wood
Solihull Moors
Boreham Wood
Wealdstone
Boreham Wood
Truro City
Boreham Wood
Aldershot Town
Boreham Wood
Gateshead
Boreham Wood
FC Halifax Town
Boreham Wood
Woking
Boreham Wood
Brackley Town
Boreham Wood
York
Boreham Wood
Tamworth
Boreham Wood
Southend
Boreham Wood
Forest Green
Boreham Wood
Eastleigh
Boreham Wood
Yeovil Town
Boreham Wood
Rochdale
Carlisle
Brackley Town
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
Carlisle
Gateshead
Carlisle
Boston United
Carlisle
Southend
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
Carlisle
Scunthorpe
Carlisle
Altrincham
Carlisle
York
Carlisle
Wealdstone
Carlisle
Morecambe
Carlisle
Woking
Carlisle
Tamworth
Carlisle
Eastleigh
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
Carlisle
Forest Green
Carlisle
Boston United
Carlisle
Hartlepool
Carlisle
Rochdale
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
Boreham Wood
Morecambe
Boreham Wood
Solihull Moors
Boreham Wood
Truro City
Boreham Wood
Aldershot Town
Boreham Wood
FC Halifax Town
Boreham Wood
Woking
Boreham Wood
Tamworth
Boreham Wood
Southend
Boreham Wood
Eastleigh
Boreham Wood
Rochdale
Boreham Wood
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree
Boreham Wood
Wealdstone
Boreham Wood
Gateshead
Boreham Wood
Brackley Town
Boreham Wood
Forest Green
Boreham Wood
York
Boreham Wood
Eastbourne Borough
Boreham Wood
Yeovil Town
Boreham Wood
Scunthorpe
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Carlisle
Home
|
46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 |
Boreham Wood
Away
|
46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|