ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Pirelli Stadium
Referee: E. Bell
Burton Albion
Match Timeline
Exeter City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
I. Niskanen
Exeter City
🔄
46'
R. Cole ↔ J. Aitchison
Exeter City
🔄
49'
K. Chauke ↔ G. Evans
Burton Albion
61'
J. Moon · Assist: U. Godwin-Malife
Burton Albion
🔄
71'
A. Cannon ↔ J. J. McKiernan
Burton Albion
🔄
71'
K. McDonald ↔ J. Magennis
Exeter City
🔄
75'
T. Tuterov ↔ C. Mendes
Exeter City
🔄
79'
E. James ↔ L. Woodhouse
Exeter City
🔄
79'
D. Andrew ↔ R. Rydel
Exeter City
🟨
88'
Luca Woodhouse
Exeter City
🔄
90+5'
C. Webster ↔ T. Sibbick
Burton Albion

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61%
-
Probability Distribution
Burton Albion Win 57.1%
Draw 24.2%
Exeter City Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burton Albion1.34
Exeter City1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burton Albion Burton Albion
WWDLW
61 GF / 59 GA
Exeter City Exeter City
WLDWL
57 GF / 68 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
21
BTTS Yes
19
25
Over 2.5
22
3.52
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Burton Albion Burton Albion 48 matches
Exeter City Exeter City 47 matches
Burton Albion Statistic Exeter City
16 Wins 14
13 Draws 12
19 Losses 21
61 Goals For 57
59 Goals Against 68
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
21 BTTS Yes 19
33 Over 1.5 31
25 Over 2.5 22
12 Over 3.5 13
14 Clean Sheets 15
17 Failed To Score 16
3.52 Shots On Goal 3.3
11.15 Total Shots 10.11
5.29 Corners 4.65
45.3% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Burton Albion won 5 times, Exeter City won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Burton Albion's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Burton Albion 3-4-1-2 / Exeter City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Burton Albion wins 5, draws 5, Exeter City wins 4
Stats
Burton Albion Burton Albion
Exeter City Exeter City
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 1
11 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
318 Total passes 354
219 Passes accurate 246
2.27 expected_goals 1.10
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Burton Albion
Formation
Exeter City
B. Collins
B. Collins
U. Godwin-Malife
🎯
U. Godwin-Malife
J. Moon
J. Moon
A. Hartridge
A. Hartridge
K. Lofthouse
K. Lofthouse
C. Webster
C. Webster
K. Chauke
K. Chauke
J. Armer
J. Armer
A. Cannon
A. Cannon
J. Beesley
J. Beesley
T. Shade
T. Shade
J. Bycroft
J. Bycroft
J. McMillan
J. McMillan
E. James
E. James
P. Sweeney
P. Sweeney
D. Andrew
D. Andrew
C. Cummins
C. Cummins
K. McDonald
K. McDonald
I. Niskanen
I. Niskanen
R. Cole
R. Cole
T. Tuterov
T. Tuterov
J. Wareham
J. Wareham
Burton Albion 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
24
B. Collins
G
2
U. Godwin-Malife
🎯 61'
D
18
J. Moon
⚽ 61'
D
16
A. Hartridge
D
15
K. Lofthouse
M
8
C. Webster
↓ 90+5'
M
4
K. Chauke
↓ 49'
M
3
J. Armer
M
42
A. Cannon
↓ 71'
F
9
J. Beesley
F
10
T. Shade
F
Substitutes
27
K. Dudek
G
12
G. Evans
↑ 49'
M
5
T. Vancooten
D
6
T. Sibbick
↑ 90+5'
D
7
J. J. McKiernan
↑ 71'
M
11
F. Tavares
F
41
S. Krubally
F
Exeter City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
J. Bycroft
G
2
J. McMillan
D
40
E. James
↓ 79'
D
26
P. Sweeney
D
21
D. Andrew
↓ 79'
D
45
C. Cummins
M
29
K. McDonald
↓ 71'
M
14
I. Niskanen
⚽ 14'
M
12
R. Cole
↓ 46'
M
28
T. Tuterov
↓ 75'
9
J. Wareham
F
Substitutes
32
F. Phillips
27
J. Magennis
↑ 71'
F
10
J. Aitchison
↑ 46'
F
7
C. Mendes
↑ 75'
F
6
E. Brierley
M
20
L. Woodhouse
↑ 79' 🟨 88'
M
3
R. Rydel
↑ 79'
D
Last matches: Burton Albion
02.05.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
2
2
D
19.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Peterborough
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Barnsley
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
3
L
24.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stockport County
3
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Luton
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Rotherham
1
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Burton Albion
West Ham
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Port Vale
2
2
D
03.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Doncaster
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Cardiff
2
2
D
27.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bolton
1
2
L
Last matches: Exeter City
02.05.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bradford
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Stockport County
3
3
D
11.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Doncaster
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Blackpool
0
1
L
28.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
4
L
10.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
5
L
21.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Peterborough
3
3
D
17.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wycombe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Northampton
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Rotherham
0
4
L
27.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Reading
2
2
D
24.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Port Vale
3
1
W
H2H: Burton Albion vs Exeter City
25.04.26
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
03.03.26
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.04.25
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
0
0
D
21.12.24
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
2
L
16.03.24
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
0
L
02.09.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
0
1
L
11.02.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
W
17.09.22
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
0
2
W
06.12.14
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
19.08.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
W
01.02.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
26.10.13
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
0
1
W
23.02.13
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
4
2
W
01.09.12
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
3
0
L
Last matches: Burton Albion
11.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Barnsley
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
0
1
L
24.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stockport County
3
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Rotherham
1
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Burton Albion
West Ham
0
1
L
03.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Doncaster
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Cardiff
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Huddersfield
3
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Wigan
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
5
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
0
D
29.11.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
0
4
L
15.11.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
1
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Burton Albion
St Albans City
6
0
W
18.10.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Peterborough
0
1
L
11.10.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Bolton
3
0
W
27.09.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Plymouth
0
4
L
H2H at home: Burton Albion
25.04.26
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
21.12.24
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
2
L
02.09.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
0
1
L
11.02.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
W
19.08.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
W
01.02.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
23.02.13
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
4
2
W
Last matches: Exeter City
11.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Blackpool
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Peterborough
3
3
D
07.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Reading
2
2
D
24.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Port Vale
3
1
W
10.01.26
FA
Exeter City
Manchester City
1
10
L
04.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Huddersfield
2
2
D
29.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
1
L
13.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
2
L
29.11.25
Lea
Exeter City
Bradford
0
1
L
15.11.25
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
01.11.25
FA
Exeter City
FC Halifax Town
2
0
W
18.10.25
Lea
Exeter City
Stockport County
0
1
L
04.10.25
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
1
0
W
20.09.25
Lea
Exeter City
Stevenage
1
2
L
H2H away: Exeter City
25.04.26
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
21.12.24
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
2
W
02.09.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
0
1
W
11.02.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
L
19.08.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
L
01.02.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
23.02.13
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
4
2
L

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two