Burton Albion
Match Timeline
Exeter City
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Burton Albion Win 57.1%
Draw 24.2%
Exeter City Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Burton Albion1.34
Exeter City1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Burton Albion
WWDLW
61 GF / 59 GA
Exeter City
WLDWL
57 GF / 68 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
21
BTTS Yes
19
25
Over 2.5
22
3.52
Shots on Goal
3.3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Burton Albion
48 matches
Exeter City
47 matches
| Burton Albion | Statistic | Exeter City |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 14 |
| 13 | Draws | 12 |
| 19 | Losses | 21 |
| 61 | Goals For | 57 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 68 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 17 | Failed To Score | 16 |
| 3.52 | Shots On Goal | 3.3 |
| 11.15 | Total Shots | 10.11 |
| 5.29 | Corners | 4.65 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 49.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Burton Albion won 5 times, Exeter City won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:13 from Burton Albion's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.3%)
Predicted formations: Burton Albion 3-4-1-2 / Exeter City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Burton Albion wins 5, draws 5, Exeter City wins 4
Stats
Burton Albion
Exeter City
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
6
6
Blocked Shots
1
1
Lineups
Burton Albion
Formation
Exeter City
B. Collins
U. Godwin-Malife
J. Moon
A. Hartridge
K. Lofthouse
C. Webster
K. Chauke
J. Armer
A. Cannon
J. Beesley
T. Shade
J. Bycroft
J. McMillan
E. James
P. Sweeney
D. Andrew
C. Cummins
K. McDonald
I. Niskanen
R. Cole
T. Tuterov
J. Wareham
Burton Albion
3-4-1-2
Starting XI
24
B. Collins
G
2
U. Godwin-Malife
D
🎯 61'
18
J. Moon
D
⚽ 61'
16
A. Hartridge
D
15
K. Lofthouse
M
8
C. Webster
M
↓ 90+5'
4
K. Chauke
M
↓ 49'
3
J. Armer
M
42
A. Cannon
F
↓ 71'
9
J. Beesley
F
10
T. Shade
F
Substitutes
27
K. Dudek
G
12
G. Evans
M
↑ 49'
5
T. Vancooten
D
6
T. Sibbick
D
↑ 90+5'
7
J. J. McKiernan
M
↑ 71'
11
F. Tavares
F
41
S. Krubally
F
Exeter City
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
J. Bycroft
G
2
J. McMillan
D
40
E. James
D
↓ 79'
26
P. Sweeney
D
21
D. Andrew
D
↓ 79'
45
C. Cummins
M
29
K. McDonald
M
↓ 71'
14
I. Niskanen
M
⚽ 14'
12
R. Cole
M
↓ 46'
28
T. Tuterov
↓ 75'
9
J. Wareham
F
Substitutes
32
F. Phillips
27
J. Magennis
F
↑ 71'
10
J. Aitchison
F
↑ 46'
7
C. Mendes
F
↑ 75'
6
E. Brierley
M
20
L. Woodhouse
M
↑ 79'
🟨 88'
3
R. Rydel
D
↑ 79'
Last matches: Burton Albion
02.05.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
2
2
D
19.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Peterborough
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Barnsley
1
1
D
28.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
1
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
2
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
3
L
24.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stockport County
3
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Luton
1
1
D
17.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Rotherham
1
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Burton Albion
West Ham
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Port Vale
2
2
D
03.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Doncaster
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Cardiff
2
2
D
27.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bolton
1
2
L
Last matches: Exeter City
02.05.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bradford
1
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Stockport County
3
3
D
11.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Doncaster
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Blackpool
0
1
L
28.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
4
L
10.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
5
L
21.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Peterborough
3
3
D
17.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wycombe
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Northampton
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
31.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Rotherham
0
4
L
27.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Reading
2
2
D
24.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Port Vale
3
1
W
H2H: Burton Albion vs Exeter City
25.04.26
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
03.03.26
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.04.25
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
0
0
D
21.12.24
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
2
L
16.03.24
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
0
L
02.09.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
0
1
L
11.02.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
W
17.09.22
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
0
2
W
06.12.14
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
1
1
D
19.08.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
W
01.02.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
26.10.13
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
0
1
W
23.02.13
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
4
2
W
01.09.12
H2H
Exeter City
Burton Albion
3
0
L
Last matches: Burton Albion
11.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Barnsley
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Bradford
2
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Reading
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stevenage
0
1
L
24.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Stockport County
3
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Rotherham
1
0
W
14.02.26
FA
Burton Albion
West Ham
0
1
L
03.02.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Doncaster
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Cardiff
2
2
D
17.01.26
Lea
Burton Albion
Huddersfield
3
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Wigan
0
2
L
26.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Northampton
5
1
W
13.12.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Wycombe
0
0
D
29.11.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Leyton Orient
0
4
L
15.11.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Blackpool
1
0
W
01.11.25
FA
Burton Albion
St Albans City
6
0
W
18.10.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Peterborough
0
1
L
11.10.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Bolton
3
0
W
27.09.25
Lea
Burton Albion
Plymouth
0
4
L
H2H at home: Burton Albion
25.04.26
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
21.12.24
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
2
L
02.09.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
0
1
L
11.02.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
W
19.08.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
W
01.02.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
23.02.13
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
4
2
W
Last matches: Exeter City
11.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Plymouth
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lea
Exeter City
Blackpool
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Wigan
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Luton
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lea
Exeter City
Barnsley
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Peterborough
3
3
D
07.02.26
Lea
Exeter City
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
27.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Reading
2
2
D
24.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Port Vale
3
1
W
10.01.26
FA
Exeter City
Manchester City
1
10
L
04.01.26
Lea
Exeter City
Huddersfield
2
2
D
29.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
Cardiff
0
1
L
13.12.25
Lea
Exeter City
Bolton
1
2
L
29.11.25
Lea
Exeter City
Bradford
0
1
L
15.11.25
Lea
Exeter City
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
01.11.25
FA
Exeter City
FC Halifax Town
2
0
W
18.10.25
Lea
Exeter City
Stockport County
0
1
L
04.10.25
Lea
Exeter City
Lincoln
1
0
W
20.09.25
Lea
Exeter City
Stevenage
1
2
L
H2H away: Exeter City
25.04.26
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
21.12.24
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
2
W
02.09.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
0
1
W
11.02.23
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
L
19.08.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
0
L
01.02.14
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
1
1
D
23.02.13
H2H
Burton Albion
Exeter City
4
2
L
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 |
Burton Albion
Home
|
46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 |
Exeter City
Away
|
46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two