Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.8%
|
2.29 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
2.02 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.21 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Botafogo
Fluminense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
24 matches
Fluminense
29 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 13 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 37 | Goals For | 45 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.55 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.96 | Shots On Goal | 5.59 |
| 12.88 | Total Shots | 15.11 |
| 3.92 | Corners | 5.15 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 60.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fluminense. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
So far, Botafogo have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 29 points from 20 matches. The record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 34:32 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Danilo Santos (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), with creative support from Alex Telles (3 assists), Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo Santos (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Fluminense arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 34 points after 21 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 30:25 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by John Kennedy (8 goals), Luciano Acosta (3 goals), Rodrigo Castillo (3 goals), with creative support from Luciano Acosta (3 assists), Agustín Canobbio (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 9 times, Fluminense won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from Botafogo's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Botafogo
7
4
7
5
6
5
Lineups
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Bahia
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Gremio
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Flamengo
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Botafogo
Vitoria
Botafogo
Santos
Botafogo
Corinthians
Botafogo
Remo
Botafogo
Internacional
Botafogo
Coritiba
Botafogo
Mirassol
Botafogo
Flamengo
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Gremio
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Bahia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Fluminense
Away
|
21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Botafogo
Home
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
| 9 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27:27 | 0 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 26 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:27 | -3 | 25 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26:36 | -10 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
D
L
L
L
L
|