Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Botafogo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo1.49
Atletico-MG1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo
WWDLW
36 GF / 35 GA
Atletico-MG
WLDWL
23 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
16
BTTS Yes
8
15
Over 2.5
8
4.95
Shots on Goal
4.26
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
22 matches
Atletico-MG
19 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 36 | Goals For | 23 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.95 | Shots On Goal | 4.26 |
| 12.82 | Total Shots | 12.84 |
| 3.82 | Corners | 4.63 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 45.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 7 times, Atletico-MG won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:13 from Botafogo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Botafogo 4-4-2 / Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Botafogo wins 7, draws 2, Atletico-MG wins 6
Last matches: Botafogo
16.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Santos
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
29.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
4
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Palmeiras
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
04.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
19.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Botafogo
Fluminense
0
1
L
Last matches: Atletico-MG
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H: Botafogo vs Atletico-MG
10.05.26
H2H
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
20.09.25
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
20.04.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
0
L
30.11.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
3
W
21.11.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
0
0
D
07.07.24
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
3
0
W
17.09.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
0
L
07.05.23
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
07.11.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
0
2
W
17.07.22
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
26.11.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
2
1
L
20.08.20
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
04.12.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
2
0
L
08.09.19
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
01.08.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
2
0
L
Last matches: Botafogo
16.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Santos
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
30.01.26
Ser
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo
20.09.25
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
07.07.24
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
3
0
W
07.05.23
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
17.07.22
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
20.08.20
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
08.09.19
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico-MG
20.09.25
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
07.07.24
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
3
0
L
07.05.23
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
17.07.22
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
20.08.20
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2
1
L
08.09.19
H2H
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
2
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 |
Botafogo
Home
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
Away
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B