ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Jakemans Community Stadium
Boston United
Match Timeline
Hartlepool
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
17'
T. Parkes ↔ B. Walker
Hartlepool
🟨
39'
A. Reid
Hartlepool
🟨
45'
J. Richards
Boston United
🔄
61'
M. Daly ↔ V. Oliver
Hartlepool
🔄
61'
A. Reid ↔ C. Caton
Hartlepool
🔄
65'
M. Lavinier ↔ L. Barrington
Boston United
🔄
65'
J. Hazel ↔ L. N. John-Lewis
Boston United
65'
M. Kouogun · Assist: J. Miley
Hartlepool
🟨
67'
C. Teale
Boston United
79'
C. Teale · Assist: J. Richards
Boston United
🔄
81'
C. Teale ↔ T. Cursons
Boston United
🔄
81'
A. Campbell ↔ N. Ferguson
Hartlepool
83'
F. Maguire
Boston United
88'
T. Cursons · Assist: L. N. John-Lewis
Boston United
🟨
90+4'
O. Gallagher
Boston United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Boston United Win 43.8%
Draw 13.7%
Hartlepool Win 42.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boston United1.32
Hartlepool1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boston United Boston United
WWDLW
63 GF / 72 GA
Hartlepool Hartlepool
WLDWL
56 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
29
BTTS Yes
22
25
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boston United Boston United 47 matches
Hartlepool Hartlepool 48 matches
Boston United Statistic Hartlepool
14 Wins 18
15 Draws 15
18 Losses 15
63 Goals For 56
72 Goals Against 62
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
29 BTTS Yes 22
37 Over 1.5 33
25 Over 2.5 20
13 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 17
12 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hartlepool having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hartlepool. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Boston United Analysis

So far, Boston United have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 56 points from 45 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 14 draws, and 17 losses, while the 56:65 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. N. John-Lewis (11 goals), T. Cursons (8 goals), J. Hiwula (7 goals), with creative support from F. Maguire (9 assists), M. Carson (7 assists), M. Lavinier (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hartlepool Analysis

Hartlepool are currently 8 in the standings with 68 points from 45 matches. The record of 18 wins, 14 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 47:52 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Reid (12 goals), A. Campbell (5 goals), J. Francis (4 goals), with creative support from M. Daly (5 assists), J. Miley (5 assists), A. Campbell (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Boston United won 1 times, Hartlepool won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Boston United's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
H2H summary: Boston United wins 1, draws 1, Hartlepool wins 2

Lineups

Boston United
Formation
Hartlepool
L. Chadwick
L. Chadwick
C. Teale
C. Teale
J. Rooney
J. Rooney
J. Grimes
J. Grimes
M. Lavinier
M. Lavinier
O. Gallagher
O. Gallagher
J. Richards
🎯
J. Richards
M. Carson
M. Carson
F. Maguire
F. Maguire
D. Hill
D. Hill
J. Hazel
J. Hazel
A. Smith
A. Smith
J. Smith-Sway
J. Smith-Sway
J. Hunter
J. Hunter
M. Kouogun
M. Kouogun
T. Parkes
T. Parkes
J. Benn
J. Benn
A. Campbell
A. Campbell
N. Sheron
N. Sheron
J. Miley
🎯
J. Miley
M. Daly
M. Daly
A. Reid
A. Reid
Boston United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
L. Chadwick
4
C. Teale
⚽ 79' ↓ 81' 🟨 67'
20
J. Rooney
23
J. Grimes
40
M. Lavinier
↓ 65'
26
O. Gallagher
🟨 90+4'
19
J. Richards
🎯 79' 🟨 45'
15
M. Carson
10
F. Maguire
⚽ 83'
8
D. Hill
9
J. Hazel
↓ 65'
Substitutes
21
D. Cameron
2
B. Grist
7
L. Barrington
↑ 65'
14
L. N. John-Lewis
🎯 88' ↑ 65'
17
A. Lankshear
18
T. Cursons
⚽ 88' ↑ 81'
22
A. Raikhy
Hartlepool 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
A. Smith
24
J. Smith-Sway
15
J. Hunter
5
M. Kouogun
⚽ 65'
4
T. Parkes
↓ 17'
2
J. Benn
10
A. Campbell
↓ 81'
14
N. Sheron
18
J. Miley
🎯 65'
28
M. Daly
↓ 61'
19
A. Reid
↓ 61' 🟨 39'
Substitutes
99
H. Conyard
8
N. Ferguson
↑ 81'
9
D. Johnson
17
S. Folarin
27
V. Oliver
↑ 61'
35
C. Caton
↑ 61'
38
B. Walker
↑ 17'
Last matches: Boston United
18.04.26
Nat
Boston United
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
14.04.26
Nat
Boston United
Wealdstone
1
1
D
11.04.26
Nat
Boston United
Truro City
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Boston United
Brackley Town
1
1
D
03.04.26
Nat
Boston United
York
0
1
L
24.03.26
Nat
Boston United
Altrincham
2
2
D
21.03.26
Nat
Boston United
Carlisle
2
6
L
14.03.26
Nat
Boston United
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
07.03.26
Nat
Boston United
Rochdale
0
1
L
03.03.26
Nat
Boston United
Woking
2
2
D
24.02.26
Nat
Boston United
Forest Green
3
2
W
21.02.26
Nat
Boston United
Tamworth
0
0
D
14.02.26
Nat
Boston United
Scunthorpe
6
3
W
10.02.26
Nat
Boston United
Gateshead
1
0
W
07.02.26
Nat
Boston United
Sutton Utd
1
0
W
31.01.26
Nat
Boston United
Boreham Wood
2
1
W
24.01.26
Nat
Boston United
Southend
3
3
D
17.01.26
Nat
Boston United
FC Halifax Town
1
2
L
10.01.26
Nat
Boston United
Braintree
0
0
D
03.01.26
Nat
Boston United
Eastleigh
1
2
L
Last matches: Hartlepool
21.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Southend
4
3
W
18.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Forest Green
2
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
06.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Rochdale
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
0
0
D
31.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
0
7
L
25.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Morecambe
3
2
W
21.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Eastleigh
1
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Truro City
1
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
FC Halifax Town
0
1
L
03.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Sutton Utd
0
2
L
25.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Carlisle
3
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Solihull Moors
4
3
W
11.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
York
2
3
L
07.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Tamworth
1
1
D
31.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Aldershot Town
0
3
L
24.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Brackley Town
0
0
D
20.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Gateshead
2
1
W
17.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Altrincham
1
0
W
10.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Woking
0
4
L
H2H: Boston United vs Hartlepool
25.04.26
H2H
Boston United
Hartlepool
3
1
W
03.09.25
H2H
Hartlepool
Boston United
1
1
D
22.03.25
H2H
Hartlepool
Boston United
4
1
L
10.09.24
H2H
Boston United
Hartlepool
1
2
L
Last matches: Boston United
11.04.26
Nat
Boston United
Truro City
1
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Boston United
York
0
1
L
24.03.26
Nat
Boston United
Altrincham
2
2
D
14.03.26
Nat
Boston United
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
03.03.26
Nat
Boston United
Woking
2
2
D
21.02.26
Nat
Boston United
Tamworth
0
0
D
10.02.26
Nat
Boston United
Gateshead
1
0
W
07.02.26
Nat
Boston United
Sutton Utd
1
0
W
24.01.26
Nat
Boston United
Southend
3
3
D
03.01.26
Nat
Boston United
Eastleigh
1
2
L
30.12.25
Nat
Boston United
Brackley Town
1
2
L
20.12.25
Nat
Boston United
Aldershot Town
0
2
L
22.11.25
Nat
Boston United
Carlisle
1
2
L
08.11.25
Nat
Boston United
Rochdale
1
3
L
21.10.25
Nat
Boston United
Morecambe
0
4
L
18.10.25
Nat
Boston United
Scunthorpe
1
1
D
01.10.25
Nat
Boston United
Forest Green
0
0
D
24.09.25
Nat
Boston United
Braintree
2
0
W
20.09.25
Nat
Boston United
Boreham Wood
0
2
L
06.09.25
Nat
Boston United
Solihull Moors
1
2
L
H2H at home: Boston United
25.04.26
H2H
Boston United
Hartlepool
3
1
W
10.09.24
H2H
Boston United
Hartlepool
1
2
L
Last matches: Hartlepool
11.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
03.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
0
0
D
31.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
0
7
L
25.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Morecambe
3
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Truro City
1
0
W
21.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Solihull Moors
4
3
W
11.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
York
2
3
L
07.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Tamworth
1
1
D
24.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Brackley Town
0
0
D
10.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Woking
0
4
L
30.12.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Rochdale
2
1
W
21.12.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Braintree
0
0
D
22.11.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Eastleigh
2
0
W
08.11.25
Nat
Hartlepool
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
18.10.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Sutton Utd
3
3
D
11.10.25
FA
Hartlepool
Gainsborough Trinity
1
1
D
01.10.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Carlisle
1
3
L
23.09.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Gateshead
1
0
W
20.09.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Aldershot Town
0
1
L
06.09.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Forest Green
0
1
L
H2H away: Hartlepool
25.04.26
H2H
Boston United
Hartlepool
3
1
L
10.09.24
H2H
Boston United
Hartlepool
1
2
W

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation