COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
Referee: F. Ossa Orozco
Alianza Valledupar
Match Timeline
Bucaramanga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
F. Charrupi · Assist: E. Batalla
Bucaramanga
28'
C. Vergara · Assist: D. Quinones
Alianza Valledupar
34'
L. Pons · Assist: F. Sambueza
Bucaramanga
🟨
37'
Fabián Sambueza
Bucaramanga
🟨
47'
Freddy Hinestroza
Bucaramanga
🔄
63'
L. Flores ↔ A. Zarate
Bucaramanga
🔄
67'
C. Esparragoza ↔ F. Cantillo
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
69'
Felipe Pardo
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
69'
F. Charrupi ↔ Fabry
Bucaramanga
🔄
69'
F. Hinestroza ↔ A. Murrilo
Bucaramanga
🔄
75'
F. Pardo ↔ I. Alba
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
75'
D. Quinones ↔ M. Martinez
Alianza Valledupar
🔄
76'
N. Castrillon ↔ A. Gutierrez
Bucaramanga
🔄
76'
L. Pons ↔ B. Caicedo
Bucaramanga
81'
M. Martinez
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
85'
José García
Bucaramanga
🔄
86'
J. Munoz ↔ L. Palacios
Alianza Valledupar
🟨
90+3'
Emerson Batalla
Bucaramanga
90'
E. Batalla · Assist: B. Caicedo
Bucaramanga

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.1%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Alianza Valledupar Win 27.8%
Draw 31.3%
Bucaramanga Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Valledupar0.87
Bucaramanga1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar
WWDLW
16 GF / 31 GA
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
WLDWL
30 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.41
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
11
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
11
2.76
Shots on Goal
4.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 22 matches
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 23 matches
Alianza Valledupar Statistic Bucaramanga
3 Wins 6
10 Draws 10
9 Losses 7
16 Goals For 30
31 Goals Against 25
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
11 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 7
2.76 Shots On Goal 4.23
10.95 Total Shots 13.41
4.29 Corners 4.59
45.4% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Bucaramanga's more proactive style and Alianza Valledupar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bucaramanga. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Alianza Valledupar Analysis

With 17 points from 19 games and a place of 17, Alianza Valledupar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 13:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Cristian Andres Vergara Rivas (1 goals), Felipe Pardo (1 goals), with creative support from Jhildrey Lasso (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bucaramanga Analysis

Bucaramanga sit 13 with 23 points after 19 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 26:20 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Fabián Sambueza (1 goals), Emerson Batalla (1 goals), with creative support from Luciano Pons (1 assists), Leonardo Flores (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Valledupar won 5 times, Bucaramanga won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:27 from Alianza Valledupar's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (72.2%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Valledupar 4-2-3-1 / Bucaramanga 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alianza Valledupar wins 5, draws 2, Bucaramanga wins 8
Stats
Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
0
3 Corner Kicks 0
11 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 0
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 0
1 Shots insidebox 3
7 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
434 Total passes 442
369 Passes accurate 371
0.20 expected_goals 0.97
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Alianza Valledupar
Formation
Bucaramanga
J. Wallens
J. Wallens
Y. Rosales
Y. Rosales
J. Viveros
J. Viveros
P. Franco
P. Franco
J. Lasso
J. Lasso
C. Esparragoza
C. Esparragoza
J. Castillo
J. Castillo
F. Pardo
F. Pardo
D. Quinones
🎯
D. Quinones
J. Munoz
J. Munoz
C. Vergara
C. Vergara
C. Fiermarin
C. Fiermarin
N. Castrillon
N. Castrillon
J. Ortiz
J. Ortiz
C. Romana
C. Romana
J. Garcia
J. Garcia
F. Charrupi
F. Charrupi
L. Flores
L. Flores
F. Hinestroza
F. Hinestroza
F. Sambueza
🎯
F. Sambueza
L. Pons
L. Pons
E. Batalla
🎯
E. Batalla
Alianza Valledupar 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
J. Wallens
G
60
Y. Rosales
D
32
J. Viveros
D
5
P. Franco
D
33
J. Lasso
D
15
C. Esparragoza
↓ 67'
M
7
J. Castillo
M
17
F. Pardo
↓ 75' 🟨 69'
M
10
D. Quinones
🎯 28' ↓ 75'
M
8
J. Munoz
↓ 86'
M
18
C. Vergara
⚽ 28'
F
Substitutes
40
E. Beltran
G
23
I. Alba
↑ 75'
D
77
M. Martinez
⚽ 81' ↑ 75'
F
24
F. Cantillo
↑ 67'
M
88
L. Palacios
↑ 86'
M
14
C. Villegas
F
22
J. Figueroa
D
4
J. Mosquera
D
29
J. Rojas
M
Bucaramanga 4-3-3
Starting XI
25
C. Fiermarin
G
6
N. Castrillon
↓ 76'
D
24
J. Ortiz
D
23
C. Romana
D
4
J. Garcia
🟨 85'
D
21
F. Charrupi
⚽ 5' ↓ 69'
M
28
L. Flores
↓ 63'
M
8
F. Hinestroza
↓ 69' 🟨 47'
M
10
F. Sambueza
🎯 34' 🟨 37'
F
27
L. Pons
⚽ 34' ↓ 76'
F
17
E. Batalla
⚽ 90' 🎯 5' 🟨 90+3'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Novoa
G
22
Fabry
↑ 69'
M
19
A. Gutierrez
↑ 76'
D
9
B. Caicedo
🎯 90' ↑ 76'
F
11
J. Salazar
F
20
A. Zarate
↑ 63'
F
5
A. Murrilo
↑ 69'
F
Last matches: Alianza Valledupar
01.08.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Llaneros
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
13.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Internacional de Bogota
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pereira
3
2
W
01.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
27.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Águilas Doradas
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
1
0
W
19.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Jaguares
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Santa Fe
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Junior
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali
0
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Atletico Nacional
0
3
L
17.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Cucuta
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
0
5
L
28.01.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Chico
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
0
2
L
Last matches: Bucaramanga
04.08.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
1
1
D
31.07.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Llaneros
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Millonarios
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Jaguares
2
2
D
21.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Chico
5
0
W
07.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Águilas Doradas
1
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
America de Cali
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
1
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Junior
0
2
L
19.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Internacional de Bogota
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Pereira
3
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Cali
0
0
D
11.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
5
0
W
27.01.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
2
2
D
H2H: Alianza Valledupar vs Bucaramanga
09.08.26
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
3
L
24.05.26
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
01.02.26
H2H
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
5
0
L
06.09.25
H2H
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
3
1
L
03.08.25
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
1
3
L
23.03.25
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
1
2
L
18.02.25
H2H
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
0
0
D
15.11.24
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
0
4
L
28.04.24
H2H
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
1
0
L
11.10.23
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
1
0
W
12.09.23
H2H
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
0
1
W
25.04.23
H2H
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
25.03.23
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
03.09.22
H2H
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
3
1
L
22.07.22
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
3
1
W
Last matches: Alianza Valledupar
01.08.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportes Tolima
1
2
L
26.07.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Independiente Medellin
0
1
L
01.04.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Deportivo Cali
1
0
W
19.03.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Jaguares
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali
0
3
L
17.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Cucuta
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Chico
1
1
D
11.01.26
Fri
Alianza Valledupar
Union Magdalena
1
1
D
09.11.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Chico
2
0
W
24.10.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Internacional de Bogota
2
0
W
12.10.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Junior
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Llaneros
3
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Millonarios
3
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
America de Cali
1
0
W
15.08.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Once Caldas
0
0
D
03.08.25
Pri
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
1
3
L
H2H at home: Alianza Valledupar
09.08.26
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
3
L
24.05.26
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
1
W
03.08.25
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
1
3
L
23.03.25
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
1
2
L
15.11.24
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
0
4
L
11.10.23
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
1
0
W
25.03.23
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
0
W
22.07.22
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
3
1
W
Last matches: Bucaramanga
25.07.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Millonarios
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
0
2
L
07.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Águilas Doradas
1
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
America de Cali
0
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Junior
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Internacional de Bogota
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
06.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
2
2
D
24.01.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Llaneros
1
1
D
13.01.26
Fri
Bucaramanga
Independiente Medellin
1
3
L
09.12.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
0
0
D
30.11.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
2
0
W
23.11.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
14.11.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Pasto
0
3
L
29.10.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Independiente Medellin
0
3
L
21.10.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Millonarios
1
1
D
04.10.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Envigado
2
1
W
27.09.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
H2H away: Bucaramanga
09.08.26
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
3
W
24.05.26
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
1
L
03.08.25
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
1
3
W
23.03.25
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
1
2
W
15.11.24
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
0
4
W
11.10.23
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
1
0
L
25.03.23
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
2
0
L
22.07.22
H2H
Alianza Valledupar
Bucaramanga
3
1
L

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L L W W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W W W W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
D L D W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L W W L
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D L L D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L W L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W L W D W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D W W W D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W L
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
D W D W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
W L D D W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D L L L W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L L D D D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L D L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L L W L
Post season qualification