CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium
Referee: Qiu Zhaojun
Yunnan Yukun
Match Timeline
Sichuan Jiuniu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
T. Chow · Assist: Wesley Moraes
Sichuan Jiuniu
23'
Caio Vinicius · Assist: Shi Ke
Yunnan Yukun
37'
O. Taty Maritu · Assist: Abdusalam Bunyamin
Yunnan Yukun
VAR
40'
Oscar Taty Maritu
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
45+3'
Teng Yi
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
49'
Yao Junsheng ↔ Zhao Jianfei
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
49'
T. Chow ↔ Xia Dalong
Sichuan Jiuniu
56'
Abdusalam Bunyamin · Assist: O. Taty Maritu
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
64'
Abdusalam Bunyamin ↔ J. Saeter
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
64'
Ye Chugui ↔ A. Ionita II
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
69'
Oscar Taty Maritu
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
74'
Caio Vinícius
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
80'
Tsui Wang-Kit ↔ Zhang Chenliang
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
81'
Zhifeng Wang
Yunnan Yukun
VAR
86'
Wesley Moraes
Sichuan Jiuniu
🟨
90+12'
Yiming Yang
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
90+1'
Xu Xin ↔ Hu Ruibao
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
90+1'
Cleber ↔ Huang Zichang
Yunnan Yukun
90'
Wesley Moraes
Sichuan Jiuniu
90'
J. Saeter
Sichuan Jiuniu
90'
Caio Vinicius
Yunnan Yukun

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Yunnan Yukun Win 67.9%
Draw 6.6%
Sichuan Jiuniu Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yunnan Yukun1.87
Sichuan Jiuniu1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WWDLW
41 GF / 42 GA
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
WLDWL
25 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.32
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.74
16
BTTS Yes
10
17
Over 2.5
10
5.16
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 21 matches
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 19 matches
Yunnan Yukun Statistic Sichuan Jiuniu
7 Wins 6
5 Draws 2
9 Losses 11
41 Goals For 25
42 Goals Against 33
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.74
16 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 14
17 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 6
5.16 Shots On Goal 3.89
15.42 Total Shots 12
5.05 Corners 5.16
50.6% Ball Possession 44.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Yunnan Yukun's more proactive style and Sichuan Jiuniu's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Yunnan Yukun expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sichuan Jiuniu in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sichuan Jiuniu having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sichuan Jiuniu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sichuan Jiuniu.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 25 points after 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 36:35 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Oscar Taty Maritu (2 goals), Cléber (1 goals), Abdusalam Bunyamin (1 goals), with creative support from Oscar Taty Maritu (1 assists), Cléber (1 assists), Caio Vinícius (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sichuan Jiuniu Analysis

With 20 points from 19 games and a place of 10, Sichuan Jiuniu still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 25:33 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gabriel Xavier (1 goals), Yiming Yang (1 goals), Junsheng Yao (1 goals), with creative support from Wesley Moraes (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Yunnan Yukun won 4 times, Sichuan Jiuniu won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:10 from Yunnan Yukun's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 6.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Yunnan Yukun 4-2-3-1 / Sichuan Jiuniu 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Yunnan Yukun wins 4, draws 0, Sichuan Jiuniu wins 0
Stats
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 11
6 Offsides 4
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 7
4 Shots outsidebox 2
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
336 Total passes 277
252 Passes accurate 205
1.34 expected_goals 1.74
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Yunnan Yukun
Formation
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wang Zhifeng
Wang Zhifeng
Tsui Wang-Kit
Tsui Wang-Kit
Shi Ke
🎯
Shi Ke
Yi Teng
Yi Teng
Yang Zihao
Yang Zihao
Ye Chugui
Ye Chugui
Xu Xin
Xu Xin
Caio Vinicius
⚽ 2
Caio Vinicius
Abdusalam Bunyamin
🎯
Abdusalam Bunyamin
Cleber
Cleber
O. Taty Maritu
🎯
O. Taty Maritu
Peng Peng
Peng Peng
Tang Miao
Tang Miao
Yang Yiming
Yang Yiming
H. Shen
H. Shen
Z. Xuan
Z. Xuan
Yao Junsheng
Yao Junsheng
D. Owusu-Sekyere
D. Owusu-Sekyere
Zhang Yufeng
Zhang Yufeng
T. Chow
T. Chow
A. Ademi
A. Ademi
Wesley Moraes
🎯
Wesley Moraes
Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3
Starting XI
23
Wang Zhifeng
🟨 81'
G
3
Tsui Wang-Kit
↓ 80'
D
5
Shi Ke
🎯 23'
D
18
Yi Teng
🟨 45+3'
D
21
Yang Zihao
D
7
Ye Chugui
↓ 64'
M
8
Xu Xin
↓ 90+1'
M
34
Caio Vinicius
⚽ 23' ⚽ 90' 🟨 74'
M
39
Abdusalam Bunyamin
⚽ 56' 🎯 37' ↓ 64'
9
Cleber
↓ 90+1'
F
11
O. Taty Maritu
⚽ 37' 🎯 56' 🟨 69'
F
Substitutes
1
Bao Yaxiong
G
24
Yu Jianxian
G
30
J. Saeter
⚽ 90' ↑ 64'
27
Han Zilong
M
25
Deng Hanwen
D
2
Hu Ruibao
↑ 90+1'
D
26
Zhang Chenliang
↑ 80'
D
10
A. Ionita II
↑ 64'
M
33
A. Burca
D
19
Huang Zichang
↑ 90+1'
F
22
Duan Liuyu
M
36
Fei Ernanduo
F
Sichuan Jiuniu 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
13
Peng Peng
G
16
Tang Miao
D
23
Yang Yiming
🟨 90+12'
D
46
H. Shen
D
20
Z. Xuan
D
6
Yao Junsheng
↓ 49'
M
31
D. Owusu-Sekyere
M
19
Zhang Yufeng
M
8
T. Chow
⚽ 17' ↓ 49'
M
11
A. Ademi
M
7
Wesley Moraes
⚽ 90' 🎯 17'
F
Substitutes
35
Wei Minzhe
G
1
J. Ji
G
49
H. Zhang
4
Jiang Zhipeng
D
14
Li Long
17
Li Ning
M
2
Tian Yifan
D
25
Zhao Jianfei
↑ 49'
D
29
Xia Dalong
↑ 49'
F
39
Yu Menghui
M
56
Wang Yuheng
M
54
J. Yao
F
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
22.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
15.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
08.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
0
W
01.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
2
3
L
17.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
2
D
10.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
3
4
L
03.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
26.06.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
2
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
20.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
21.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
04.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
Last matches: Sichuan Jiuniu
22.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown
1
1
D
15.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
07.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
0
4
L
02.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
2
0
W
18.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
0
2
L
11.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
3
0
W
04.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
27.06.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chengdu Better City
2
3
L
30.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Jonoon
3
2
W
24.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shanghai Shenhua
2
1
W
19.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Dalian Zhixing
1
1
D
15.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Henan Jianye
0
1
L
10.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shandong Luneng
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
1
0
W
21.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
0
1
L
17.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
3
4
L
05.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
5
2
W
H2H: Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu
26.07.26
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
12.04.26
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
3
4
W
26.07.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
3
1
W
28.03.25
H2H
Sichuan Jiuniu
Yunnan Yukun
3
4
W
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
15.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
08.08.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
0
W
17.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
2
D
03.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
21.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
4
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
3
1
W
H2H at home: Yunnan Yukun
26.07.26
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
26.07.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
3
1
W
Last matches: Sichuan Jiuniu
15.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
07.08.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Beijing Guoan
0
4
L
18.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Wuhan Three Towns
0
2
L
04.07.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
24.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Shanghai Shenhua
2
1
W
15.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Henan Jianye
0
1
L
06.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Qingdao Youth Island
0
1
L
06.03.26
Sup
Sichuan Jiuniu
Chengdu Better City
1
5
L
H2H away: Sichuan Jiuniu
26.07.26
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
L
26.07.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
3
1
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 6 4 49:29 20 48
L W L D D
2 24 11 8 5 48:32 16 36
D W W W W
3 24 8 12 4 28:29 -1 36
W D D W W
4 24 11 3 10 35:40 -5 36
W D L W D
5 24 10 5 9 49:45 4 35
D W W L W
6 24 12 3 9 42:40 2 33
L W W W L
7 24 7 9 8 25:28 -3 30
L D L L L
8 24 9 7 8 39:33 6 29
W D W W L
9 24 11 5 8 47:42 5 28
W L W W L
10 24 8 3 13 33:43 -10 27
D W L W L
11 23 8 6 9 34:40 -6 25
D L L W D
12 23 7 4 12 33:39 -6 25
D L L W L
13 23 8 6 9 31:33 -2 24
D L D D W
14 23 7 7 9 32:30 2 18
D L L W W
15 22 4 9 9 30:38 -8 16
D L D W W
16 24 6 3 15 32:46 -14 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation