CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
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Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.3%
1.53
BTTS Yes
88%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.39
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Yunnan Yukun Win 46.9%
Draw 18.4%
SHANGHAI SIPG Win 34.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yunnan Yukun1.89
SHANGHAI SIPG1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WWDLW
39 GF / 40 GA
SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG
WLDWL
27 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.42
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.79
15
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
13
4.89
Shots on Goal
3.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 20 matches
SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 19 matches
Yunnan Yukun Statistic SHANGHAI SIPG
7 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
9 Losses 9
39 Goals For 27
40 Goals Against 34
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.79
15 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 16
16 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 3
4.89 Shots On Goal 3.41
13.94 Total Shots 10.76
4.22 Corners 5.59
48.1% Ball Possession 57.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SHANGHAI SIPG. Yunnan Yukun have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Yunnan Yukun expected to line up in 4-3-3 and SHANGHAI SIPG in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SHANGHAI SIPG having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 24 points from 18 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats with a 34:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on O. Maritu (1 goals), Cléber (1 goals), Abdusalam Bunyamin (1 goals), with creative support from O. Maritu (1 assists), Caio Vinícius (1 assists), Ye Chugui (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

SHANGHAI SIPG Analysis

SHANGHAI SIPG are currently 12 in the standings with 15 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 26:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Yunnan Yukun won 0 times, SHANGHAI SIPG won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Yunnan Yukun's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.6%)
Predicted formations: Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3 / SHANGHAI SIPG 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Yunnan Yukun wins 0, draws 0, SHANGHAI SIPG wins 3
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
10.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
3
4
L
03.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
26.06.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
2
4
L
31.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Wuhan Three Towns
1
1
D
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
20.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
0
0
D
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang Urban
2
1
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
26.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Dalian Zhixing
3
1
W
21.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Chengdu Better City
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Sichuan Jiuniu
4
3
W
04.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
1
2
L
21.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
4
0
W
15.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
07.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
3
1
W
09.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
Ural
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Yunnan Yukun
FC Noah
5
5
D
Last matches: SHANGHAI SIPG
04.07.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
L
27.06.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
29.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shenyang Urban
2
3
L
23.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Tianjin Teda
1
1
D
19.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Chengdu Better City
1
0
W
15.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Hangzhou Greentown
2
2
D
10.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
2
2
D
06.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Sichuan Jiuniu
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
25.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Wuhan Three Towns
4
0
W
21.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1
2
L
17.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
11.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shanghai Shenhua
0
1
L
04.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Yunnan Yukun
2
1
W
20.03.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Dalian Zhixing
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Youth Island
4
1
W
07.03.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Henan Jianye
1
2
L
26.01.26
Fri
SHANGHAI SIPG
Zenit
0
6
L
22.01.26
Fri
SHANGHAI SIPG
Zenit
1
4
L
H2H: Yunnan Yukun vs SHANGHAI SIPG
04.04.26
H2H
SHANGHAI SIPG
Yunnan Yukun
2
1
L
12.09.25
H2H
SHANGHAI SIPG
Yunnan Yukun
4
2
L
25.04.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
3
L
Last matches: Yunnan Yukun
03.07.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
24.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Youth Island
2
3
L
16.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shanghai Shenhua
1
0
W
06.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Hangzhou Greentown
1
2
L
02.05.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Guoan
3
3
D
17.04.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Tianjin Teda
0
3
L
21.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Shandong Luneng
4
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Yunnan Yukun
Qingdao Jonoon
3
1
W
H2H at home: Yunnan Yukun
25.04.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
3
L
Last matches: SHANGHAI SIPG
04.07.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Youth Island
1
2
L
27.06.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Henan Jianye
2
1
W
29.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shenyang Urban
2
3
L
19.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Chengdu Better City
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing Guoan
2
2
D
02.05.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Qingdao Jonoon
1
3
L
17.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong Luneng
1
1
D
11.04.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shanghai Shenhua
0
1
L
20.03.26
Sup
SHANGHAI SIPG
Dalian Zhixing
0
1
L
26.01.26
Fri
SHANGHAI SIPG
Zenit
0
6
L
22.01.26
Fri
SHANGHAI SIPG
Zenit
1
4
L
H2H away: SHANGHAI SIPG
25.04.25
H2H
Yunnan Yukun
SHANGHAI SIPG
2
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.46
Draw 4.09
Home 2.54
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.94
Draw 2.69
Home 2.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.39
Over 2.75 1.49
Over 3.0 1.56
Over 3.25 1.76
Over 3.5 1.96
Over 3.75 2.17
Over 4.0 2.54
Over 4.5 3.08
Over 5.5 5.44
Under 1.5 6.65
Under 2.5 3.01
Under 2.75 2.60
Under 3.0 2.45
Under 3.25 2.09
Under 3.5 1.89
Under 3.75 1.70
Under 4.0 1.53
Under 4.5 1.37
Under 5.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.45
Draw 3.80
Home 2.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.62
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 2.88
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 5.50
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 0.5 23.00
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.5 3.10
Under 3.5 1.83
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 5.5 1.14
Under 6.5 1.05
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.40
Draw 3.94
Home 2.66
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 2.46
Home 2.99
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.52
Draw 2.88
Home 2.72
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 1.75 1.08
Over 2.0 1.11
Over 2.25 1.22
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 2.75 1.41
Over 3.0 1.57
Over 3.25 1.72
Over 3.5 1.94
Over 3.75 2.15
Over 4.0 2.51
Over 4.25 2.69
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 4.75 3.40
Over 5.0 5.93
Over 5.25 4.63
Over 5.5 7.29
Over 6.0 20.00
Over 6.5 13.20
Over 7.5 26.00
Over 8.5 32.00
Under 0.5 25.00
Under 1.0 21.00
Under 1.5 10.40
Under 1.75 5.55
Under 2.0 7.80
Under 2.25 3.60
Under 2.5 3.33
Under 2.75 2.66
Under 3.0 2.49
Under 3.25 2.04
Under 3.5 1.88
Under 3.75 1.72
Under 4.0 1.56
Under 4.25 1.43
Under 4.5 1.35
Under 4.75 1.26
Under 5.0 1.16
Under 5.25 1.14
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.0 1.02
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 3.80
Home 2.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 2.60
Home 2.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.65
Draw 3.00
Home 2.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 2.0 1.11
Over 2.25 1.23
Over 2.5 1.34
Over 2.75 1.40
Over 3.0 1.49
Over 3.25 1.68
Over 3.5 1.87
Over 3.75 2.07
Over 4.0 2.43
Over 4.25 2.70
Over 4.5 2.95
Over 4.75 3.45
Over 5.0 4.40
Over 5.25 4.60
Over 5.5 4.90
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.0 5.25
Under 2.25 3.65
Under 2.5 2.95
Under 2.75 2.65
Under 3.0 2.38
Under 3.25 2.02
Under 3.5 1.81
Under 3.75 1.65
Under 4.0 1.48
Under 4.25 1.40
Under 4.5 1.34
Under 4.75 1.25
Under 5.0 1.16
Under 5.25 1.14
Under 5.5 1.13

Standings

Chinese Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 13 3 2 38:17 21 42
D D W W L
2 18 7 7 4 22:20 2 28
D L W L W
3 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W L L W D
4 18 9 3 6 34:31 3 24
W L W L D
5 18 7 3 8 34:33 1 24
L W L D L
6 18 5 9 4 22:28 -6 24
L W W D W
7 17 7 5 5 29:23 6 21
W W W L D
8 18 7 4 7 26:31 -5 20
W L L W L
9 17 6 2 9 24:29 -5 20
W L W W W
10 18 6 2 10 25:31 -6 20
W L L W W
11 17 8 5 4 36:27 9 19
W W D L D
12 17 5 5 7 26:24 2 15
L W L D W
13 17 6 3 8 18:22 -4 15
L L L W W
14 18 6 3 9 29:31 -2 14
L D W L L
15 17 4 6 7 22:22 0 8
W L W D L
16 17 2 7 8 24:34 -10 8
L L D D D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Relegation - League One