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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
25.07.2026 12:00
Wuhan Sports Centre
Referee: Yong Cui, China
Wuhan Three Towns
Match Timeline
Chongqing Tongliang Long
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Zhixiong Zhang
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
39'
Lucao ↔ Zhang Yingkai
Chongqing Tongliang Long
⚽
40'
Gustavo Sauer · Assist: Xu Haofeng
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
46'
Wang Jinxian ↔ A. Leautey
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
46'
Zhang Zhixiong ↔ Ruan Qilong
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
46'
↔ Ng Yu-Hei
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
66'
Li Zhenquan ↔ Du Yuezheng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
74'
Adriano Firmino ↔ J. Xiong
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
74'
Liao Chengjian ↔ Zhang Xiaobin
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
74'
Ming Tian ↔ Wang Kang
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
77'
He Guan ↔ Liu Yiming
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
85'
G. Cimpanu ↔ Wu Yongqiang
Chongqing Tongliang Long

Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
76.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Wuhan Three Towns Win 27.9%
Draw 20.2%
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win 51.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wuhan Three Towns1.31
Chongqing Tongliang Long1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
WWDLW
26 GF / 34 GA
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
WLDWL
23 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
12
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
7
4.22
Shots on Goal
3.32

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 18 matches
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 19 matches
Wuhan Three Towns Statistic Chongqing Tongliang Long
3 Wins 7
7 Draws 8
8 Losses 4
26 Goals For 23
34 Goals Against 21
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
12 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 3
4.22 Shots On Goal 3.32
12.06 Total Shots 8.68
4.78 Corners 3.74
45.9% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Chongqing Tongliang Long's more proactive style and Wuhan Three Towns's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Chongqing Tongliang Long. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Chongqing Tongliang Long carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 28 points while Wuhan Three Towns sit 16 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chongqing Tongliang Long having the stronger overall control.

Wuhan Three Towns Analysis

With 8 points from 17 games and a place of 16, Wuhan Three Towns still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 24:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis

Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 28 points after 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, while the 22:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nany Dimata (1 goals), with creative support from Zhang Yingkai (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 times, Chongqing Tongliang Long won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Wuhan Three Towns's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
Predicted formations: Wuhan Three Towns 4-4-2 / Chongqing Tongliang Long 4-4-2
H2H summary: Wuhan Three Towns wins 1, draws 0, Chongqing Tongliang Long wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation