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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
13.10.2026 18:45
Molineux Stadium
Referee: Tim Robinson
Wolves
Live Timeline
Bolton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Mateus Mane
Wolves
⚽
28'
Atsuki Ito
Bolton
🟨
45+1'
Gaizka Larrazabal
Bolton

Wolves vs Bolton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.41
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.59
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.5%
1.41 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.59 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wolves Win 70.5%
Draw 4.6%
Bolton Win 25%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wolves1.7
Bolton1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wolves Wolves
WWDLW
22 GF / 13 GA
Bolton Bolton
WLDWL
18 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
4.25
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wolves Wolves 12 matches
Bolton Bolton 14 matches
Wolves Statistic Bolton
7 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 6
22 Goals For 18
13 Goals Against 21
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 8
8 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 4
4.25 Shots On Goal 4.78
15.5 Total Shots 14.22
6.25 Corners 5.89
52.9% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Wolves's more proactive style and Bolton's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bolton arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Wolves arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 14 points compared to Bolton in 15 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bolton. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Wolves Analysis

Wolves approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 14 points after 7 outings. The return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 15:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Fer López (3 goals), R. Jiménez (3 goals), Rodrigo Gomes (2 goals), with creative support from Fer López (2 assists), André (2 assists), Rodrigo Gomes (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Bolton Analysis

With 10 points from 8 games and a place of 15, Bolton still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 11:15 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Gale (3 goals), S. Dalby (2 goals), Ruben Rodrigues (1 goals), with creative support from Ruben Rodrigues (1 assists), M. Conway (1 assists), K. Dong (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Wolves won 3 times, Bolton won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:19 from Wolves's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Wolves 4-2-3-1 / Bolton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Wolves 5, Bolton 1
H2H summary: Wolves wins 3, draws 4, Bolton wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 15:7 8 20
W W W L D
2 9 5 3 1 17:12 5 18
W D D W W
3 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
4 9 5 1 3 15:13 2 16
W W W D W
5 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
L W W D L
6 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
7 9 3 5 1 13:11 2 14
W D W L D
8 9 4 2 3 16:15 1 14
W D D L W
9 9 4 2 3 10:9 1 14
L L D W W
10 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
D W L L W
11 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
12 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
D L D D L
13 9 3 3 3 14:13 1 12
W D W L L
14 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
15 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
D W L D D
16 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
17 9 3 1 5 12:17 -5 10
L W W L L
18 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
19 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
L L L W L
21 9 1 4 4 11:14 -3 7
L W L D L
22 9 1 4 4 13:17 -4 7
W D L D L
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 9 1 1 7 8:16 -8 4
L D L L W
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One