Login Register
ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
13.10.2026 18:45
Ashton Gate Stadium
Referee: David Webb
Bristol City
Match Timeline
Blackburn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
38'
Oladapo Afolayan · Assist: Sean McLoughlin
Blackburn
🔄
45'
Sam Greenwood ↔ Yu Hirakawa
Bristol City
🔄
62'
Todd Cantwell ↔ Moussa·Baradji
Blackburn
🔄
62'
Ryoya Morishita ↔ Augustus Kargbo
Blackburn
🔄
63'
Oladapo Afolayan ↔ J. Fevrier
Blackburn
🔄
67'
Jason Knight ↔ Brian de Keersmaecker
Bristol City
🔄
67'
Scott Twine ↔ Tomi Horvat
Bristol City
🔄
73'
Kristi Montgomery ↔ Andri Guðjohnsen
Blackburn
🔄
75'
George Tanner ↔ Rio Cardines
Bristol City
🔄
75'
Jed Wallace ↔ Elijah Adebayo
Bristol City

Bristol City vs Blackburn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.1%
Odds 2.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.06
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.1%
2.14 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.06 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Bristol City Win 64.1%
Draw 9.5%
Blackburn Win 26.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol City1.33
Blackburn1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol City Bristol City
WWDLW
24 GF / 21 GA
Blackburn Blackburn
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.43
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
10
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
10
4.44
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bristol City Bristol City 17 matches
Blackburn Blackburn 14 matches
Bristol City Statistic Blackburn
7 Wins 5
5 Draws 5
5 Losses 4
24 Goals For 20
21 Goals Against 17
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
10 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 3
4.44 Shots On Goal 4.56
14.11 Total Shots 12.22
5.22 Corners 6.56
45% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Blackburn. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Bristol City arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 13 points compared to Blackburn in 16 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bristol City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Blackburn in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Blackburn having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bristol City Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Bristol City have collected 13 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:12 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Tolaj (2 goals), D. Ballard (2 goals), J. Knight (1 goals), with creative support from Rio Cardines (5 assists), J. Wallace (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Blackburn Analysis

Blackburn approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 9 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 12:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on O. Afolayan (3 goals), R. Morishita (2 goals), A. Guðjohnsen (2 goals), with creative support from O. Afolayan (2 assists), R. Morishita (1 assists), A. Guðjohnsen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City won 7 times, Blackburn won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:17 from Bristol City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Bristol City 4-2-3-1 / Blackburn 5-4-1
Missing players: Bristol City 5, Blackburn 7
H2H summary: Bristol City wins 7, draws 3, Blackburn wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 15:7 8 20
W W W L D
2 9 5 3 1 17:12 5 18
W D D W W
3 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
4 9 5 1 3 15:13 2 16
W W W D W
5 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
L W W D L
6 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
7 9 3 5 1 13:11 2 14
W D W L D
8 9 4 2 3 16:15 1 14
W D D L W
9 9 4 2 3 10:9 1 14
L L D W W
10 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
D W L L W
11 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
12 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
D L D D L
13 9 3 3 3 14:13 1 12
W D W L L
14 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
15 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
D W L D D
16 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
17 9 3 1 5 12:17 -5 10
L W W L L
18 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
19 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
L L L W L
21 9 1 4 4 11:14 -3 7
L W L D L
22 9 1 4 4 13:17 -4 7
W D L D L
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 9 1 1 7 8:16 -8 4
L D L L W
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One